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Alpelisib

Phase 3

Breast Cancer | Small molecule | Oncology |Novartis AG|Last Updated: Jun 2, 2026

Success Probability
Approval Probability 71%
TA Base Rate26%
Adjusted LOA41%
ML RiskLOW_RISK
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Market & Valuation
rNPV $3.2B
Market Size $9.4B
Revenue Basis $1.6B
Competitors 6
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Trial Design
RandomizedDouble-BlindCONTROLLEDDMCBiomarker
Total Trials6
Total Enrollment1,542
FDA Designations
No designations recorded
Clinical Trials (6)
NCT IDTitlePhaseStatusEnrollmentVelocityDesignStartCompletionLast UpdatedSitesCountries
NCT05038735Study to Assess the Efficacy and Safety of Alpelisib Plus Fulvestrant in Participants With HR-positive (HR+), HER2-negative, Advanced Breast Cancer After Treatment With a CDK4/6 Inhibitor and an Aromatase Inhibitor.PHASE3 ACTIVE NOT_RECRUITING 210Dec 17, 2021Feb 26, 2027Jun 2, 202668 Belgium, Bulgaria +15
NCT02437318Study Assessing the Efficacy and Safety of Alpelisib Plus Fulvestrant in Men and Postmenopausal Women With Advanced Breast Cancer Which Progressed on or After Aromatase Inhibitor Treatment.PHASE3 COMPLETED 572Jul 23, 2015Jun 9, 2023Feb 13, 2025197 United States, Argentina +29
NCT05101564Umbrella Trial of Subtype-Targeted Therapies in ER+/HER2- Breast CancerPHASE2 COMPLETED 19Mar 20, 2023Jun 3, 2024Feb 12, 20261 United States
NCT03056755Study Assessing the Efficacy and Safety of Alpelisib Plus Fulvestrant or Letrozole, Based on Prior Endocrine Therapy, in Patients With PIK3CA Mutant, HR+, HER2- Advanced Breast Cancer Who Have Progressed on or After Prior TreatmentsPHASE2 COMPLETED 383Aug 29, 2017Nov 12, 2024Jan 13, 202694 United States, Argentina +17
NCT01923168Study of Letrozole With or Without BYL719 or Buparlisib, for the Neoadjuvant Treatment of Postmenopausal WomenPHASE2 COMPLETED 340Mar 11, 2014Jul 8, 2017Sep 14, 201886 United States, Australia +15
NCT05143229Alpelisib And Sacituzumab Govitecan For Treatment Of Breast CancerPHASE1 ACTIVE NOT_RECRUITING 18Mar 28, 2022Dec 1, 2026May 1, 20267 United States
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Study Endpoints
Primary Endpoints
Progression-free survival (PFS) based on BIRC assessments and using RECIST v1.1 criteria
From randomization to date of the first documented progression or death due to any cause, assessed up to a maximum duration of 60 months.

Progression-free survival (PFS) is defined as the time from the date of randomization to the date of the first documented progression or death due to any cause. PFS will be assessed by the Blinded Independent Review Committee (BIRC) according to RECIST 1.1.

Progression-free Survival (PFS) Per Investigator Assessment in the PIK3CA Mutant Cohort
Once approximately 243 PFS events in the PIK3CA mutant cohort had been observed, up to 33.3 months

PFS was defined as the time from the date of randomization to the date of the first documented progression or death due to any cause. PFS was assessed via a local radiology assessment according to RECIST 1.1. If a patient did not have an event, PFS was censored at the date of last adequate tumor assessment. The PFS distribution was estimated using Kaplan-Meier methodology. Progression was defined as at least a 20% increase in the sum of diameter of all measured target lesions, taking as reference the smallest sum of diameter of all target lesions recorded at or after baseline. In addition to the relative increase of 20%, the sum must also demonstrate an absolute increase of at least 5 mm.

Percentage Change in Ki67
Measured pre-treatment and after treatment 15 or 19 days, based on the duration specified for the assigned therapy

The primary outcome is the percentage change in Ki67 expression comparing pre-treatment to on-treatment specimens. Ki67 values were log-transformed for analysis, and results are summarized as the mean percentage change with 95% confidence intervals.

Core Phase: Percentage of Participants Who Were Alive Without Disease Progression at 6 Months
At 6 months

Percentage of participants who were alive without disease progression at 6-month follow-up based on local investigator assessment per RECIST v1.1 in Cohort A, Cohort B and Cohort C. Participants who progressed, died, or discontinued study before 6 months were counted as a failure.

Pathological Complete Response (pCR) Per Investigator Assessment for Alpelisib vs. Placebo for PIK3CA Mutant Cohort
After 24 weeks of treatment

Pathologic complete response (pCR) defined as absence of any residual invasive cancer on hematoxylin and eosin evaluation of the resected breast specimen and all sampled ipsilateral lymph nodes following completion of 24 weeks of treatment by local assessment (ypT0/Tis ypN0). Patients who experienced progression of disease while undergoing neoadjuvant therapy, or who did not receive surgery for any reason, or received antineoplastic treatment other than study drug(s) before surgery were considered as non-responders for the calculation of pCR rate.

Pathological Complete Response (pCR) Per Investigator Assessment for Alpelisib vs. Placebo for PIK3CA Wild-type Cohort
After 24 weeks of treatment

Pathologic complete response (pCR) defined as absence of any residual invasive cancer on hematoxylin and eosin evaluation of the resected breast specimen and all sampled ipsilateral lymph nodes following completion of 24 weeks of treatment by local assessment (ypT0/Tis ypN0). Patients who experienced progression of disease while undergoing neoadjuvant therapy, or who did not receive surgery for any reason, or received antineoplastic treatment other than study drug(s) before surgery were considered as non-responders for the calculation of pCR rate.

Objective Response Rate Per Investigator Assessment According to RECIST 1.1 for Alpelisib vs. Placebo - PIK3CA Mutant Cohort
After 24 weeks of treatment

Objective Response Rate (ORR) defined as the proportion of patients with a Best Overall Response (BOR) of Complete Response (CR) or Partial Response (PR) based on local investigator's assessment according to Response Evaluation Criteria In Solid Tumors Criteria (RECIST) 1.1. BOR was assessed per MRI or Ultrasound and defined as per RECIST 1.1 as CR for a disappearance of all non-nodal target lesions (TL)/non-target lesions (NTL) and a reduction in short axis to \< 10 mm of any pathological lymph nodes assigned as TL/NTL and no new lesion; as PR if not qualifying for CR but with a decrease from baseline ≥ 30% in the sum of diameter of all TL, no progression of NTL and no new lesion.

Objective Response Rate According to RECIST 1.1 Per Investigator Assessment for Alpelisib vs. Placebo - PIK3CA Wild-type Cohort
After 24 weeks of treatment

Objective Response Rate (ORR) defined as the proportion of patients with a Best Overall Response (BOR) of Complete Response (CR) or Partial Response (PR) based on local investigator's assessment according to Response Evaluation Criteria In Solid Tumors Criteria (RECIST) 1.1. BOR was assessed per MRI or Ultrasound and defined as per RECIST 1.1 as CR for a disappearance of all non-nodal target lesions (TL)/non-target lesions (NTL) and a reduction in short axis to \< 10 mm of any pathological lymph nodes assigned as TL/NTL and no new lesion; as PR if not qualifying for CR but with a decrease from baseline ≥ 30% in the sum of diameter of all TL, no progression of NTL and no new lesion.

Recommended phase II dose (RP2D) of alpelisib + sacituzumab govitecan
21 days

Standard 3+3 dose escalation design (three dose levels of alpelisib plus sacituzumab govitecan) with dose-limiting toxicities (DLT) assessed during the first treatment cycle. If two or more of the six patients experienced a dose-limiting toxicity, dosing escalation would cease and maximum tolerated dose (MTD) would be reached. RP2D was the next lower dose at which \<1/6 subjects experienced a DLT.

Secondary Endpoints
Overall survival (OS)
From the date of randomization to the date of death up to a maximum duration of 60 months
Overall response rate (ORR) with confirmed response based on BIRC assessments and using RECIST v1.1 criteria
From the date of randomization up to a maximum duration of 60 months
Clinical benefit rate (CBR) with confirmed response based on BIRC assessments and using RECIST v1.1 criteria
From the date of randomization up to a maximum duration of 60 months
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Study Design & Arms
AllocationRANDOMIZED
MaskingTRIPLE
ModelCROSSOVER
PurposeTREATMENT
Treatment Arms
ArmTypeDescription
Alpelisib plus fulvestrantEXPERIMENTALAlpelisib 300 mg orally once daily on a continuous dosing schedule, in a 28-day cycle + fulvestrant 500 mg as intramuscular injection on Cycle 1 Day 1 and 15, and on Day 1 on every Cycle thereafter, in a 28 days cycle.
Alpelisib-matching placebo plus fulvestrantPLACEBO_COMPARATORAlpelisib-matching placebo orally once daily on a continuous dosing schedule, in a 28-day cycle + fulvestrant 500 mg as intramuscular injection on Cycle 1 Day 1 and 15 and on Day 1 on every Cycle thereafter, in a 28 days cycle. After Protocol Amendment 5 is implemented, alpelisib matching-placebo will no longer be supplied or administered once participants have been unblinded.
Fulvestrant + alpelisibEXPERIMENTALSubjects treated with alpelisib (300 mg; oral; once daily) in combination with fulvestrant (500 mg; intramuscular injection on Day 1 and Day 15 of Cycle 1, and then Day 1 of each subsequent 28-day cycle)
Fulvestrant + placeboPLACEBO_COMPARATORSubjects were treated with placebo (300 mg; oral; once daily) in combination with fulvestrant (500 mg; intramuscular injection on Day 1 and Day 15 of Cycle 1, and then Day 1 of each subsequent 28-day cycle)
IC1:Alpelisib in combination with Tamoxifen (closed to enrollment)EXPERIMENTALIntegrative subtype IC1, Treatment (14 days, - 2 or + 7 days): Take assigned alpelisib pills, 300 mg (two 150 mg tablets) with food, once daily by mouth. Tamoxifen pills, 20 mg once daily by mouth
IC1:Tamoxifen (closed to enrollment)ACTIVE_COMPARATORIntegrative subtype 1, Treatment (14 days, -2 to +7 days): Take assigned tamoxifen pills, 20 mg once daily by mouth
IC2:Zotatifin in combination with FulvestrantEXPERIMENTALIntegrative subtype 2, Treatment (14 days, - 2 to +7 days). Zotatifin (calculated by weight, 0.10 mg/kg) should be administered as a 60-minute IV infusion on Days 1. A total of 500 mg Fulvestrant should be administered intramuscularly as two 5mL injection on Day 1.
IC2:FulvestrantACTIVE_COMPARATORIntegrative subtype 2, Treatment (14 days, - 2 to +7 days) A total of 500 mg Fulvestrant should be administered intramuscularly as two 5mL injection on Day 1.
IC3:Zotatifin in combination with FulvestrantEXPERIMENTALIntegrative subtype 3, Treatment (14 days, - 2 to +7 days). Zotatifin (calculated by weight, 0.10 mg/kg) should be administered as a 60-minute IV infusion on Days 1. A total of 500 mg Fulvestrant should be administered intramuscularly as two 5mL injection on Day 1.
IC3:FulvestrantACTIVE_COMPARATORIntegrative subtype 3, Treatment (14 days, - 2 to +7 days) A total of 500 mg Fulvestrant should be administered intramuscularly as two 5mL injection on Day 1. on Day 1.
IC4:Zotatifin in combination with FulvestrantEXPERIMENTALIntegrative subtype 4, Treatment (14 days, - 2 to +7 days). Zotatifin (calculated by weight, 0.10 mg/kg) should be administered as a 60-minute IV infusion on Days 1. A total of 500 mg Fulvestrant should be administered intramuscularly as two 5mL injection on Day 1.
IC4:FulvestrantACTIVE_COMPARATORIntegrative subtype 4, Treatment (14 days, - 2 to +7 days) A total of 500 mg Fulvestrant should be administered intramuscularly as two 5mL injection on Day 1..
IC6:Zotatifin in combination with FulvestrantEXPERIMENTALIntegrative subtype 6, Treatment (14 days, - 2 to +7 days). Zotatifin (calculated by weight, 0.10 mg/kg) should be administered as a 60-minute IV infusion on Days 1. A total of 500 mg Fulvestrant should be administered intramuscularly as two 5mL injection on Day 1.
IC6:FulvestrantACTIVE_COMPARATORIntegrative subtype 6, Treatment (14 days, - 2 to +7 days) A total of 500 mg Fulvestrant should be administered intramuscularly as two 5mL injection on Day 1.
IC7:Zotatifin in combination with FulvestrantEXPERIMENTALIntegrative subtype 7, Treatment (14 days, - 2 to +7 days). Zotatifin (calculated by weight, 0.10 mg/kg) should be administered as a 60-minute IV infusion on Days 1. A total of 500 mg Fulvestrant should be administered intramuscularly as two 5mL injection on Day 1.
IC7:FulvestrantACTIVE_COMPARATORIntegrative subtype 7, Treatment (14 days, - 2 to +7 days) A total of 500 mg Fulvestrant should be administered intramuscularly as two 5mL injection on Day 1.
IC8:Zotatifin in combination with FulvestrantEXPERIMENTALIntegrative subtype 8, Treatment (14 days, - 2 to +7 days). Zotatifin (calculated by weight, 0.10 mg/kg) should be administered as a 60-minute IV infusion on Days 1. A total of 500 mg Fulvestrant should be administered intramuscularly as two 5mL injection on Day 1.
IC8:FulvestrantACTIVE_COMPARATORIntegrative subtype 8, Treatment (14 days, - 2 to +7 days) A total of 500 mg Fulvestrant should be administered intramuscularly as two 5mL injection on Day 1.
Cohort A: Pre-treated with CDK 4/6i + AIEXPERIMENTALParticipants who received any Cyclin-Dependent Kinases 4 and 6 inhibitor (CDK 4/6i) plus aromatase inhibitor (AI) as immediate prior treatment will receive alpelisib + fulvestrant
Cohort B: Pre-treated with CDK 4/6i + fulvestrantEXPERIMENTALPatients who received any CDK 4/6i plus fulvestrant as immediate prior treatment will receive alpelisib + letrozole
Cohort C: Pre-treated with systemic chemotherapy or ETEXPERIMENTALParticipants who received systemic chemotherapy or endocrine therapy (ET) (as monotherapy or in combination with targeted treatment except CDK 4/6i + AI) as immediate prior treatment will receive alpelisib + fulvestrant.
Alpelisib + LetrozoleEXPERIMENTALParticipants took alpelisib 300 mg once daily plus letrozole 2.5 mg once daily.
Buparlisib + LetrozoleEXPERIMENTALParticipants took buparlisib 100 mg once daily or 5 days on/2 days off plus letrozole 2.5 mg once daily.
Placebo + LetrozolePLACEBO_COMPARATORParticipants took matching Placebo (of alpelisib 300 mg once daily/buparlisib 100 mg once daily or 5 days on/2 days off) plus Letrozole 2.5 mg once daily.
Dose level 1: alpelisib 250 mg plus sacituzumab govitecan 8 mg/kgEXPERIMENTALAlpelisib: 250 mg by mouth daily Sacituzumab govitecan: 8 mg/kg intravenous on days 1 and 8 of each 21 (+/-2) day cycle
Dose level 2: alpelisib 250 mg plus sacituzumab govitecan 10 mg/kgEXPERIMENTALAlpelisib: 250 mg by mouth daily Sacituzumab govitecan: 10 mg/kg intravenous on days 1 and 8 of each 21 (+/-2) day cycle
Dose level 3: alpelisib 300 mg plus sacituzumab govitecan 10 mg/kgEXPERIMENTALAlpelisib: 300 mg by mouth daily Sacituzumab govitecan: 10 mg/kg intravenous on days 1 and 8 of each 21 (+/-2) day cycle
Interventions
NameTypeDescription
AlpelisibDRUGAlpelisib (tablets) administered at 300mg orally once daily on a continuous dosing schedule starting on Cycle 1 Day 1 in a 28 day cycle.
FulvestrantDRUGFulvestrant (prefilled syringe) 500mg administered intramuscularly at Cycle 1 Day 1 and 15 and then at Day 1 of each subsequent cycle (each cycle is 28 days).
Alpelisib-matching placeboDRUGAlpelisib-matching placebo (tablets) administered orally once daily on a continuous dosing schedule starting on Cycle 1 Day 1 in a 28 day cycle. After Protocol Amendment 5 is implemented, alpelisib matching-placebo will no longer be supplied or administered once participants have been unblinded.
PlaceboDRUG300 mg of placebo tablets for oral use administered once daily
TamoxifenDRUGTamoxifen 20 mg
ZotatifinDRUGZotatifin 0.10mg/kg (by weight)
LetrozoleDRUG2.5 mg of letrozole film-coated tablets administered orally once daily
GoserelinDRUG3.6 mg of goserelin via injectable subcutaneous implant administered every 28 days. Only for men in Cohort B and premenopausal women.
LeuprolideDRUG7.5 mg of leuprolide via injectable intramuscular depot administered every 28 days. Only for men in cohort B and premenopausal women.
buparlisibDRUGBKM120 + Letrozole
Sacituzumab govitecanDRUGTrop-2-directed antibody and topoisomerase inhibitor drug conjugate
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Eligibility Criteria
Age Range18 Years — 100 Years
SexALL
Healthy VolunteersNo
Study Sites68

Key Inclusion Criteria: * Participant is an adult ≥ 18 years old at the time of informed consent and has signed informed consent before any trial related activities and according to local guidelines. * Participant has a histologically and/or cytologically confirmed diagnosis of ER+ and/or PgR+ brea...

Countries:BelgiumBulgariaCanadaCzechiaDenmarkFinlandFranceGermanyGreeceHungaryIrelandItalyPolandPortugalRomaniaSlovakiaSpainUnited StatesArgentinaAustraliaAustriaBrazilChileHong KongIndiaIsraelJapanLebanonMexicoNetherlandsPeruRussiaSouth KoreaSwedenTaiwanThailandUnited KingdomSingaporeColombia
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Competitive Landscape -Breast Cancer 408 trials
CompanyTickerTrialsLead PhaseDrugs
Merck & Co., Inc.MRK12PHASE3Pembrolizumab, Paclitaxel, Doxorubicin, Epirubicin, Cyclophosphamide
AstraZeneca PLCAZN47PHASE3Fulvestrant, Capivasertib, Trastuzumab Deruxtecan, Paclitaxel, Trastuzumab
Gilead Sciences, Inc.GILD13PHASE3Sacituzumab Govitecan-hziy, Eribulin, Capecitabine Product, Gemcitabine, Vinorelbine
Eli Lilly and CompanyLLY27PHASE3Abemaciclib, Standard Adjuvant Endocrine Therapy, Imlunestrant, Tamoxifen, Anastrozole
BioNTech SE Sponsored ADRBNTX7PHASE3DB-1303/BNT323, T-DM1, Capecitabine, Paclitaxel, Nab-paclitaxel
Novartis AG Sponsored ADRNVS30PHASE3Ribociclib, Alpelisib, Fulvestrant, Trastuzumab, Pertuzumab
Olema Pharmaceuticals, Inc.OLMA5PHASE3Palazestrant, Fulvestrant, Anastrozole, Letrozole, Exemestane
Pfizer Inc.PFE34PHASE3ARV-471, Fulvestrant, PF-07220060, letrozole, abemaciclib
BeOne Medicines Ltd. Sponsored ADRONC6PHASE3BGB-43395, Letrozole, Abemaciclib, Palbociclib, Ribociclib
Jazz Pharmaceuticals Public Limited CompanyJAZZ3PHASE3Zanidatamab, Trastuzumab, Eribulin, Vinorelbine, Gemcitabine
Celcuity Inc.CELC3PHASE3Gedatolisib, Palbociclib, Fulvestrant, Alpelisib, Arm A: Gedatolisib + Palbociclib + Fulvestrant
Relay Therapeutics, Inc.RLAY2PHASE3RLY-2608, Capivasertib, Fulvestrant, Palbociclib, Ribociclib
GSK plc Sponsored ADRGSK2PHASE3Niraparib
Greenwich LifeSciences, Inc.GLSI1PHASE3GLSI-100
Bristol-Myers Squibb CompanyBMY5PHASE2Iza-bren, Nab-paclitaxel, Paclitaxel, Capecitabine, Carboplatin
BriaCell Therapeutics CorpBCTX2PHASE3SV-BR-1-GM, Cyclophosphamide, Interferon infiltration of the inoculation site, Retifanlimab, Treatment of Physician's Choice
Incyte CorporationINCY4PHASE2Ruxolitinib, Capecitabine, Regorafenib, Pembrolizumab, Axatilimab
Natera, Inc.NTRA3PHASE2Discontinuation of the anti-HER2 maintenance therapy
Puma Biotechnology, Inc.PBYI3PHASE2Neratinib, Loperamide, Colesevelam, Alisertib, Endocrine therapy
Immutep Ltd Sponsored ADRIMMP1PHASE2eftilagimod alpha, Paclitaxel
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Recent Changes (Last 90 Days)
LOWJun 2, 2026NCT05038735Enrollment: 234 → 210
LOWJun 2, 2026NCT05038735Enrollment: 234 → 210
LOWJun 2, 2026NCT05038735Enrollment: 234 → 210
LOWMay 26, 2026NCT05038735Enrollment: 212 → 234
LOWMay 24, 2026NCT05143229studyFirstPostDate: changed
LOWMay 24, 2026NCT05038735studyFirstPostDate: changed