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Upadacitinib

Phase 3

Ulcerative Colitis (UC) | Small molecule | Immunology |AbbVie Inc.|Last Updated: Jan 12, 2026

Success Probability
Approval Probability 71%
TA Base Rate26%
Adjusted LOA41%
ML RiskLOW_RISK
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Market & Valuation
rNPV $3.2B
Market Size $9.4B
Revenue Basis $1.6B
Competitors 6
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Trial Design
RandomizedDouble-BlindCONTROLLEDDMCBiomarker
Total Trials3
Total Enrollment2,774
FDA Designations
No designations recorded
Clinical Trials (3)
NCT IDTitlePhaseStatusEnrollmentVelocityDesignStartCompletionLast UpdatedSitesCountries
NCT03653026A Study of the Efficacy and Safety of Upadacitinib (ABT-494) in Participants With Moderately to Severely Active Ulcerative ColitisPHASE3 COMPLETED 522Dec 6, 2018Jan 14, 2021Mar 2, 2022379 United States, Argentina +42
NCT03006068A Study to Evaluate the Long-Term Safety and Efficacy of Upadacitinib (ABT-494) in Participants With Ulcerative Colitis (UC)PHASE3 ACTIVE NOT_RECRUITING 950Jan 31, 2017Jul 1, 2027Jan 12, 2026492 United States, Argentina +44
NCT02819635A Study to Evaluate the Safety and Efficacy of Upadacitinib (ABT-494) for Induction and Maintenance Therapy in Participants With Moderately to Severely Active Ulcerative Colitis (UC)PHASE2 COMPLETED 1,302Sep 26, 2016Dec 13, 2021Jun 30, 2022496 United States, Argentina +44
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Study Endpoints
Primary Endpoints
Percentage of Participants Who Achieved Clinical Remission Per Adapted Mayo Score at Week 8
Week 8

The Adapted Mayo Score is a composite score of UC disease activity based on the following 3 subscores: 1. Stool frequency subscore (SFS), scored from 0 (normal number of stools) to 3 (5 or more stools more than normal). 2. Rectal bleeding subscore (RBS), scored from 0 (no blood seen) to 3 (blood alone passed). 3. Endoscopic subscore, scored from 0 (normal or inactive disease) to 3 (severe disease, spontaneous bleeding, ulceration). The overall Adapted Mayo score ranges from 0 to 9 where higher scores represent more severe disease. Clinical remission is defined as an Adapted Mayo score ≤ 2, with SFS ≤ 1 and not higher than Baseline, RBS of 0, and endoscopic subscore ≤ 1.

Assessing Treatment-Emergent Adverse Events
Up to 288 Weeks

Treatment-emergent adverse events are defined as events that begin or worsen either on or after the first dose of the study drug and within 30 days after the last dose of the study drug in the analysis period.

Substudy 1: Percentage Of Participants Who Achieved Clinical Remission Per Adapted Mayo Score at Week 8
At Week 8

The Adapted Mayo Score is a composite score of UC disease activity based on the following 3 subscores: 1. Stool frequency subscore (SFS), scored from 0 (normal number of stools) to 3 (5 or more stools more than normal) 2. Rectal bleeding subscore (RBS), scored from 0 (no blood seen) to 3 (blood alone passed) 3. Endoscopic subscore, scored from 0 (normal or inactive disease) to 3 (severe disease, spontaneous bleeding, ulceration) The overall Adapted Mayo score ranges from 0 to 9 where higher scores represent more severe disease. For Substudy 1, clinical remission is defined as SFS ≤ 1, RBS of 0, and endoscopic subscore ≤ 1.

Substudy 2: Percentage Of Participants Who Achieved Clinical Remission Per Adapted Mayo Score at Week 8
At Week 8

The Adapted Mayo Score is a composite score of UC disease activity based on the following 3 subscores: 1. Stool frequency subscore (SFS), scored from 0 (normal number of stools) to 3 (5 or more stools more than normal) 2. Rectal bleeding subscore (RBS), scored from 0 (no blood seen) to 3 (blood alone passed) 3. Endoscopic subscore, scored from 0 (normal or inactive disease) to 3 (severe disease, spontaneous bleeding, ulceration) The overall Adapted Mayo score ranges from 0 to 9 where higher scores represent more severe disease. For Substudy 2, clinical remission is defined as SFS ≤ 1 and not greater than Baseline, RBS of 0, and endoscopic subscore ≤ 1. In Substudy 2, evidence of friability during endoscopy in participants with otherwise "mild" endoscopic activity conferred an endoscopic subscore of 2.

Substudy 3: Percentage Of Participants Who Achieved Clinical Remission Per Adapted Mayo Score at Week 52
At Week 52

The Adapted Mayo Score is a composite score of UC disease activity based on the following 3 subscores: 1. Stool frequency subscore (SFS), scored from 0 (normal number of stools) to 3 (5 or more stools more than normal). 2. Rectal bleeding subscore (RBS), scored from 0 (no blood seen) to 3 (blood alone passed). 3. Endoscopic subscore, scored from 0 (normal or inactive disease) to 3 (severe disease, spontaneous bleeding, ulceration). The overall Adapted Mayo score ranges from 0 to 9 where higher scores represent more severe disease. For Substudy 3, clinical remission is defined as SFS ≤ 1 and not greater than Baseline, RBS of 0, and endoscopic subscore ≤ 1. In addition, evidence of friability during endoscopy in participants with otherwise "mild" endoscopic activity conferred an endoscopic subscore of 2.

Secondary Endpoints
Percentage of Participants With Endoscopic Improvement at Week 8
Week 8
Percentage of Participants With Endoscopic Remission at Week 8
Week 8
Percentage of Participants Who Achieved Clinical Response Per Adapted Mayo Score at Week 8
Week 8
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Study Design & Arms
AllocationRANDOMIZED
MaskingQUADRUPLE
ModelPARALLEL
PurposeTREATMENT
Treatment Arms
ArmTypeDescription
Upadacitinib 45 mgEXPERIMENTALParticipants received 45 mg upadacitinib once daily (QD) for 8 weeks. Participants who did not achieve clinical response per Adapted Mayo score at Week 8 received upadacitinib 45 mg once daily for 8 additional weeks in the open-label extension period.
PlaceboPLACEBO_COMPARATORParticipants received placebo matching to upadacitinib once daily for 8 weeks. Participants who did not achieve clinical response per Adapted Mayo score at Week 8 received upadacitinib 45 mg once daily for 8 weeks in the open-label extension period.
Participants receiving Upadacitinib (ABT-494) Dose AEXPERIMENTALThe participants in this arm will receive Upadacitinib (ABT-494) dose A.
Participants receiving Upadacitinib (ABT-494) Dose BEXPERIMENTALThe participants in this arm will receive Upadacitinib (ABT-494) dose B.
Participants receiving Upadacitinib (ABT-494) Dose A or Dose BEXPERIMENTALThe participants in this arm will receive Upadacitinib (ABT-494) dose A or dose B.
Participants receiving PlaceboEXPERIMENTALThe participants in this arm will receive placebo until study is unblinded.
Participants receiving Upadacitinib (ABT-494) Dose CEXPERIMENTALThe participants in this arm will receive Upadacitinib (ABT-494) dose C.
SS1: PlaceboPLACEBO_COMPARATORDuring the 8-week induction phase in Substudy 1, participants received placebo for upadacitinib film-coated tablets once daily by mouth (QD) for 8 weeks.
SS1: Upadacitinib 7.5 mgEXPERIMENTALDuring the 8-week induction phase in Substudy 1, participants received 7.5 mg upadacitinib film-coated tablets once daily by mouth (QD) for 8 weeks.
SS1: Upadacitinib 15 mgEXPERIMENTALDuring the 8-week induction phase in Substudy 1, participants received 15 mg upadacitinib film-coated tablets once daily by mouth (QD) for 8 weeks.
SS1: Upadacitinib 30 mgEXPERIMENTALDuring the 8-week induction phase in Substudy 1, participants received 30 mg upadacitinib film-coated tablets once daily by mouth (QD) for 8 weeks. Additional participants were enrolled during the Substudy 1 analysis period and received 30 mg upadacitinib film-coated tablets once daily by mouth (QD) for 4 weeks.
SS1: Upadacitinib 45 mgEXPERIMENTALDuring the 8-week induction phase in Substudy 1, participants received 45 mg upadacitinib film-coated tablets once daily by mouth (QD) for 8 weeks. Additional participants were enrolled during the Substudy 1 analysis period and received 45 mg upadacitinib film-coated tablets once daily by mouth (QD) for 4 weeks.
SS2: Placebo/Upadacitinib 45 mgEXPERIMENTALDuring the Substudy 2 Part 1 induction period, participants received placebo for upadacitinib film-coated tablets once daily by mouth (QD) for 8 weeks. Participants who did not achieve clinical response at Week 8 of Part 1 were enrolled in an open-label extended treatment period and received 45 mg upadacitinib film-coated tablets once daily by mouth (QD) for an additional 8 weeks.
SS2: Upadacitinib 45 mg/Upadacitinib 45 mgEXPERIMENTALDuring the Substudy 2 Part 1 induction period, participants received 45 mg upadacitinib film-coated tablets once daily by mouth (QD) for 8 weeks. Participants who did not achieve clinical response at Week 8 of Part 1 were enrolled in an open-label expended treatment period and received 45 mg upadacitinib film-coated tablets once daily by mouth (QD) for an additional 8 weeks.
SS3: M14-675 clinical respondersEXPERIMENTALParticipants in Study M14-675 (NCT03653026) who achieved clinical response defined by Adapted Mayo Score at Week 8 or Week 16 in that study and did not meet any study discontinuation criteria were eligible to enroll into Substudy 3. Participants were re-randomized and treated with a blinded treatment assignment (15 mg upadacitinib film-coated tablets once daily by mouth \[QD\], or 30 mg upadacitinib film-coated tablets QD, or placebo for upadacitinib film-coated tablets QD) for up to 52 weeks.
Interventions
NameTypeDescription
PlaceboDRUGTablet for oral administration
UpadacitinibDRUGTablet for oral administration
Upadacitinib (ABT-494)DRUGUpadacitinib (ABT-494) will be administered orally.
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Eligibility Criteria
Age Range16 Years — 75 Years
SexALL
Healthy VolunteersNo
Study Sites379

Inclusion Criteria: \- Male or female participants ≥ 16 and ≤ 75 years of age at Baseline Note: Adolescent participants at the age of 16 or 17 years old will be eligible to participate if approved by the country or regulatory/health authorities. Note: Adolescent participants at the age of 16 or 17...

Countries:United StatesArgentinaAustraliaAustriaBelgiumBosnia and HerzegovinaBrazilCanadaChileChinaColombiaCroatiaCzechiaEstoniaFinlandFranceGermanyGreeceHungaryIrelandIsraelItalyJapanLatviaLithuaniaMalaysiaMexicoNetherlandsNorwayPolandPortugalPuerto RicoRussiaSerbiaSingaporeSlovakiaSouth AfricaSouth KoreaSpainSwitzerlandTaiwanTurkey (Türkiye)UkraineUnited KingdomBelarusSweden
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Recent Changes (Last 90 Days)
LOWMay 26, 2026NCT03006068primaryCompletionDate: changed
LOWMay 24, 2026NCT03006068studyFirstPostDate: changed