Recent Updates
Recently added Catalysts

LY451395

Phase 2

Alzheimer's Disease | Small molecule | Neurology |Eli Lilly and Company|Last Updated: Nov 29, 2017

Success Probability
Approval Probability 71%
TA Base Rate26%
Adjusted LOA41%
ML RiskLOW_RISK
Premium
Market & Valuation
rNPV $3.2B
Market Size $9.4B
Revenue Basis $1.6B
Competitors 6
Premium
Trial Design
RandomizedDouble-BlindPLACEBO_CONTROLLED
Total Trials2
Total Enrollment332
FDA Designations
No designations recorded
Clinical Trials (2)
NCT IDTitlePhaseStatusEnrollmentVelocityDesignStartCompletionLast UpdatedSitesCountries
NCT00843518Treatment for Aggression and Agitation in Patients With Alzheimer's DiseasePHASE2 COMPLETED 132Feb 1, 2009Jun 1, 2011Nov 29, 201717 United States
NCT00051909Efficacy and Safety of LY451395 in Patients With Probable Alzheimer's DiseasePHASE2 COMPLETED 200Nov 1, 2002Jun 1, 2003Jul 19, 20069 United States
Unlock Drug Trial Details
Study Endpoints
Primary Endpoints
Mean Change From Baseline in the 4-Item Agitation/Aggression Subscale of the Neuropsychiatric Inventory (NPI-4 A/A) at Week 12
Baseline, Week 12

NPI assessed noncognitive psychopathology in participants with Alzheimer's dementia. A 4-item subscale of the standard 12-item NPI measured the neuropsychiatric symptoms of A/A, with items consisting of agitation/aggression, aberrant motor behavior, irritability/emotional lability, and disinhibition. Scores for each subscale (frequency x severity) were calculated to obtain each item score. The total subscale score ranged from 0 to 48, with higher scores indicating more frequent and/or severe A/A symptoms. If a symptom was not present at all, the site would not enter anything for frequency or severity, and a zero would be imputed for that item. Least Squares (LS) Mean value was adjusted for NPI strata, treatment, pooled site, visit, treatment-by-visit, baseline NPI-4 A/A, and baseline-by-visit interaction.

Secondary Endpoints
Mean Change From Baseline in 10-Item Version of Neuropsychiatric Inventory (NPI-10) at Week 12
Baseline, Week 12
Mean Change From Baseline in the Neuropsychiatric Inventory (NPI) Depression Domain at Week 12
Baseline, Week 12
Mean Change From Baseline in the Neuropsychiatric Inventory (NPI) Psychosis Subscale Score at Week 12
Baseline, Week 12
Unlock Study Endpoints
Study Design & Arms
AllocationRANDOMIZED
MaskingQUADRUPLE
ModelPARALLEL
PurposeTREATMENT
Treatment Arms
ArmTypeDescription
LY451395EXPERIMENTAL3 milligram (mg) LY451395 orally twice daily for 12 weeks; may have been reduced to 1 mg if participant was unable to tolerate
PlaceboPLACEBO_COMPARATORPlacebo orally twice daily for 12 weeks
Interventions
NameTypeDescription
LY451395DRUG3 mg LY451395 orally twice daily for 12 weeks; may have been reduced to 1 mg if participant was unable to tolerate
PlaceboDRUGPlacebo orally twice daily for 12 weeks
Unlock Study Design Details
Eligibility Criteria
Age Range60 Years — N/A
SexALL
Healthy VolunteersNo
Study Sites17

Inclusion Criteria: * Community-dwelling participants with a diagnosis of probable Alzheimer's disease (AD) based on disease criteria from the National Institute of Neurological and Communicative Disorders and Stroke (NINCDS) and the Alzheimer's Association. Mini Mental State Examination (MMSE) sco...

Countries:United States
Unlock Eligibility Criteria