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LRX712

Phase 2

Osteoarthritis (OA) | Small molecule | Musculoskeletal |Novartis AG|Last Updated: Jan 30, 2026

Success Probability
Approval Probability 71%
TA Base Rate26%
Adjusted LOA41%
ML RiskLOW_RISK
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Market & Valuation
rNPV $3.2B
Market Size $9.4B
Revenue Basis $1.6B
Competitors 6
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Trial Design
RandomizedDouble-BlindPLACEBO_CONTROLLED
Total Trials1
Total Enrollment45
FDA Designations
No designations recorded
Clinical Trials (1)
NCT IDTitlePhaseStatusEnrollmentVelocityDesignStartCompletionLast UpdatedSitesCountries
NCT04097379Safety, Tolerability and Preliminary Efficacy of Multiple Intra-articular Injections of LRX712 in Patients With Knee OAPHASE2 COMPLETED 45Jul 20, 2020Jan 17, 2025Jan 30, 20261 Netherlands
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Study Endpoints
Primary Endpoints
Change From Baseline in Cartilage Volume in the Index Region Measured by 7 Tesla MRI
Baseline, Week 28

Magnetic resonance images (MRI) were obtained from the target knee to visualize and quantify changes in the volume of cartilage in the index region. The index region was defined as the combination of the femoral medial anterior (FMA), central (FMC) and posterior (FMP) cartilage subregions in the knee. Change from baseline in cartilage volume was analyzed using the mixed effects model for repeated measures (MMRM). The model included baseline, treatment, timepoint and treatment-timepoints as fixed effects, and participant as random effect. Missing data was assumed to be Missing at Random (MAR).

Secondary Endpoints
Time to Reach the Maximum Plasma Concentration (Tmax) of LRX712
Pre-dose, 0.5, 12, 24 and 168 hours after dose on Day 1; Pre-dose, 24 and 168 hours after dose on Day 29; Pre-dose, 24, 168, 1344 and 3360 hours after dose on Day 57
Maximum Observed Plasma Concentration (Cmax) of LRX712
Pre-dose, 0.5, 12, 24 and 168 hours after dose on Day 1; Pre-dose, 24 and 168 hours after dose on Day 29; Pre-dose, 24, 168, 1344 and 3360 hours after dose on Day 57
Minimum Observed Plasma Concentration (Cmin) of LRX712
Pre-dose on Day 29; Pre-dose, 1344 hours after dose on Day 57 (LRX712 15 mg arm) and 3360 hours after dose on Day 57 (LRX712 25 mg and 75 mg arms)
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Study Design & Arms
AllocationRANDOMIZED
MaskingQUADRUPLE
ModelPARALLEL
PurposeTREATMENT
Treatment Arms
ArmTypeDescription
LRX712 15 mgEXPERIMENTALLRX712 15 mg was administered intra-articularly (i.a.) every four weeks, for a total of three administrations.
LRX712 25 mgEXPERIMENTALLRX712 25 mg was administered i.a. every four weeks, for a total of three administrations.
LRX712 75 mgEXPERIMENTALLRX712 75 mg was administered i.a. every four weeks, for a total of three administrations.
PlaceboPLACEBO_COMPARATORPlacebo was administered i.a. every four weeks, for a total of three administrations.
Interventions
NameTypeDescription
LRX712DRUGLRX712 intra-articular injections
PlaceboOTHERPlacebo intra-articular injections
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Eligibility Criteria
Age Range35 Years — 75 Years
SexALL
Healthy VolunteersNo
Study Sites1

Inclusion Criteria: Written informed consent must be obtained before any assessment is performed. To be eligible for inclusion in this study patients must meet all of the following criteria: * Patient must have a BMI between 18 -35 kg/m2 * Patient must have symptomatic knee osteoarthritis predomi...

Countries:Netherlands
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