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QAW039

Phase 3

Asthma | Small molecule | Respiratory |Novartis AG|Last Updated: Jan 13, 2026

Success Probability
Approval Probability 71%
TA Base Rate26%
Adjusted LOA41%
ML RiskLOW_RISK
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Market & Valuation
rNPV $3.2B
Market Size $9.4B
Revenue Basis $1.6B
Competitors 6
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Trial Design
RandomizedDouble-BlindPLACEBO_CONTROLLEDDMCBiomarker
Total Trials7
Total Enrollment4,599
FDA Designations
No designations recorded
Clinical Trials (7)
NCT IDTitlePhaseStatusEnrollmentVelocityDesignStartCompletionLast UpdatedSitesCountries
NCT03215758Study of Efficacy and Safety of QAW039 When Added to Standard-of-care Asthma Therapy in Patients With Uncontrolled AsthmaPHASE3 COMPLETED 675Nov 1, 2017Jul 30, 2019Jan 13, 2026110 United States, Argentina +8
NCT03226392Study of Efficacy and Safety of QAW039 When Added to Standard-of-care Asthma Therapy in Patients With Uncontrolled AsthmaPHASE3 COMPLETED 704Oct 31, 2017Aug 1, 2019Jan 13, 2026142 United States, Brazil +16
NCT02555683Study of Efficacy and Safety of QAW039 in Patients With Severe Asthma Inadequately Controlled With Standard of Care Asthma Treatment.PHASE3 COMPLETED 894Dec 11, 2015Nov 4, 2019May 18, 2020233 United States, Argentina +25
NCT02563067Study of Efficacy and Safety of QAW039 in Patients With Severe Asthma Inadequately Controlled With Standard of Care Asthma Treatment.PHASE3 COMPLETED 877Dec 3, 2015Aug 2, 2019May 3, 2021163 United States, Argentina +17
NCT01836471A Study to Assess the Effect of QAW039 in Non-atopic Asthmatic PatientsPHASE2 COMPLETED 345May 1, 2013Feb 1, 2016Mar 20, 201776 United States, Belgium +8
NCT01545726Safety and Efficacy of QAW039 in Sputum Eosinophilia and Persistent AsthmaPHASE2 COMPLETED 61Feb 1, 2012Jun 1, 2013Oct 9, 20131 United Kingdom
NCT01437735Dose Finding Study for QAW039 in AsthmaPHASE2 COMPLETED 1,043Aug 1, 2011Nov 1, 2013Dec 19, 2020206 United States, Argentina +20
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Study Endpoints
Primary Endpoints
Change From Baseline in Pre-dose FEV1 at Week 12
Week 12

Forced Expiratory Volume in one second (FEV1) is calculated as the volume of air forcibly exhaled in one second as measured by a spirometer. Baseline is defined as the last available FEV1 measurement taken prior to the first dose of randomized study drug.

Change From Baseline in Pre-dose FEV1
Baseline and Week 12

Forced Expiratory Volume in one second (FEV1) is calculated as the volume of air forcibly exhaled in one second as measured by a spirometer. Baseline is defined as the last available FEV1 measurement taken prior to the first dose of randomized study drug.

Rate of Moderate-to-severe Asthma Exacerbations During the 52-week Treatment Period in High Eosinophils Subpopulation
Baseline, Week 52

A severe asthma exacerbation is defined as treatment with 'rescue' systemic corticosteroids for greater than or equal to 3 days and hospitalization; or treatment with 'rescue' systemic corticosteroids for greater than or equal to 3 days and emergency department visit (greater than 24 hours\*); or death due to asthma. A moderate asthma exacerbation is defined as treatment with 'rescue' systemic corticosteroids for greater than or equal to 3 days either as an outpatient or in emergency department visits (Emergency department visit less than or equal to 24 hours). The high eosinophils subpopulation consists of all patients with blood eosinophil count ≥ 250 cells/μL at baseline.

Rate of Moderate-to-severe Asthma Exacerbations During the 52-week Treatment Period in Overall Population
Baseline, Week 52

A severe asthma exacerbation is defined as treatment with 'rescue' systemic corticosteroids for greater than or equal to 3 days and hospitalization; or treatment with 'rescue' systemic corticosteroids for greater than or equal to 3 days and emergency department visit (greater than 24 hours\*); or death due to asthma. A moderate asthma exacerbation is defined as treatment with 'rescue' systemic corticosteroids for greater than or equal to 3 days either as an outpatient or in emergency department visits (Emergency department visit less than or equal to 24 hours).

Change From Baseline in Trough FEV1 (L) in Non-atopic Patients at Week 12 - Full Analysis Set
baseline,12 weeks

Forced Expiratory Volume in one second (FEV1) is calculated as the volume of air forcibly exhaled in one second as measured by a spirometer. Baseline is defined as the last available FEV1 measurement taken prior to the first dose of randomized study drug. Data within 6 hr of rescue medication use is excluded from this analysis. For subjects with missing trough FEV1 (L) at Week 12, the last post baseline observation were used (LOCF). Estimates are from a mixed effects model with treatment, subject population (non-atopic vs. atopic), treatment by subject population interaction, baseline trough FEV1 and region as fixed effects and center nested within region as random effects. Full analysis set included all randomized subjects who received at least one dose of study drug.

Change from baseline in sputum eosinophil percentage at week 12 (baseline measurement is defined as sputum eosinophil percentage at Day1 prior to the first dosing).
Visit 3 (day 1); Visit 5 (day 84)

Sputum induction is performed through the inhalation of hypertonic saline. Sputum is collected and assessed for differential cellular content (absolute numbers and percentages). The primary variable will be summarized by treatment and analyzed using an ANCOVA model with treatment as the fixed effect and the respective baseline value as the covariate.

Change in trough Forced Expiratory Volume in 1 second (FEV1) from baseline to week 12
Baseline and week 12

Forced Expiratory Volume in 1 second (FEV1) (measured in litters), and the trough measurement is taken 24 hours after morning dose on the previous day.

Secondary Endpoints
Change From Baseline in Daytime Asthma Symptom Score
12 weeks
Change From Baseline in Daily Use of SABA
12 weeks
Change From Baseline in Asthma Quality of Life (AQLQ+12) Score
Week 12
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Study Design & Arms
AllocationRANDOMIZED
MaskingDOUBLE
ModelPARALLEL
PurposeTREATMENT
Treatment Arms
ArmTypeDescription
QAW039ACTIVE_COMPARATORQAW039 once daily
PlaceboPLACEBO_COMPARATORPlacebo once daily
QAW039 150 mgEXPERIMENTALQAW039 150 mg once daily
QAW039 450 mgEXPERIMENTALQAW039 450 mg once daily
QAW039 450 mg qd Non-atopicEXPERIMENTALQAW039 450 mg (3 capsules of QAW039 150 mg) qd combined with background ICS (100 μg fluticasone, bid). Non-atopic patients randomized in ratio of approximately 1:1.
Placebo Non-atopicPLACEBO_COMPARATORPlacebo to QAW039 (3 capsules of Placebo of QAW039 150 mg) combined with background ICS (100 μg fluticasone, bid). Non-atopic randomized in ratio of approximately 1:1.
QAW039 450 mg qd AtopicEXPERIMENTALQAW039 450 mg (3 capsules of QAW039 150 mg) qd combined with background ICS (100 μg fluticasone, bid). Atopic patients randomized in a ratio of approximate 1:1:1
Fluticasone 150 mcg bid AtopicACTIVE_COMPARATORPlacebo to QAW039 (3 capsules of Placebo of QAW039 150 mg) combined with 150 μg ICS and with background ICS (100 μg fluticasone, bid). As a consequence total ICS was 250 μg fluticasone bid. Atopic patients randomized in ratio of approximately 1:1:1
Placebo AtopicPLACEBO_COMPARATORPlacebo to QAW039 (3 capsules of Placebo of QAW039 150 mg) combined with background ICS (100 μg fluticasone, bid). Atopic patients andomized in ratio of approximately 1:1:1
QAW039 po dose 1EXPERIMENTAL -
QAW039 po dose 2EXPERIMENTAL -
QAW039 po dose 3EXPERIMENTAL -
QAW039 po dose 4EXPERIMENTAL -
QAW039 po dose 5EXPERIMENTAL -
QAW039 po dose 6EXPERIMENTAL -
QAW039 po dose 7EXPERIMENTAL -
QAW039 po dose 8EXPERIMENTAL -
QAW039 po dose 9EXPERIMENTAL -
QAW039 po dose 10EXPERIMENTAL -
QAW039 po dose 11EXPERIMENTAL -
QAW039 po dose 12EXPERIMENTAL -
QAW039 po dose 13EXPERIMENTAL -
Montelukast po 10 mgACTIVE_COMPARATORComparator leukotriene receptor antagonist (LRTA)
Interventions
NameTypeDescription
QAW039DRUGQAW039 once daily
PlaceboDRUGPlacebo once daily
Placebo QAW039DRUGMatching placebo for QAW039 supplied as hard gelatin capsule were identical in appearance to their active counterparts. Patients took 3 QAW039 matching placebo capsules once a day ( taken with food in the morning) for the approximate period of the study (12 weeks)
Fluticasone 250 mcgDRUGFluticasone was supplied in inhalers with dose strength of 250 mcg. Patients took 250 mcg bid (morning and evening approximately 12 hours between doses) for a total dose of 500 mcg daily for the approximate period of the study (12 weeks).
Fluticasone 100 mcgDRUGBackground therapy - fluticasone was supplied in inhalers with dose strength of 100 mcg. All patients in the study other than the Atopic Fluticasone 150 mcg arm were given the 100 mcg dose strength inhalers and took fluticasone 100 mcg bid (taken morning and evening with approximately 12 hours between doses) as background therapy for the approximate period of the study (12 weeks).
MontelukastDRUGMontelukast 10 mg po
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Eligibility Criteria
Age Range12 Years — N/A
SexALL
Healthy VolunteersNo
Study Sites110

Inclusion Criteria: * A diagnosis of asthma (according to GINA 2016) for a period of at least 6 months. * Treated with medium dose inhaled corticosteroid (ICS), or high dose ICS, or low dose ICS plus long- acting beta agonist (LABA), or low dose ICS plus leukotriene receptor antagonist (LTRA), or m...

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