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Brenipatide

Phase 3

Depressive Disorder, Major | Small molecule | Other |Eli Lilly and Company|Last Updated: Mar 23, 2026

Success Probability
Approval Probability 71%
TA Base Rate26%
Adjusted LOA41%
ML RiskLOW_RISK
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Market & Valuation
rNPV $3.2B
Market Size $9.4B
Revenue Basis $1.6B
Competitors 6
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Trial Design
RandomizedDouble-BlindPLACEBO_CONTROLLEDDMC
Total Trials1
Total Enrollment1,000
FDA Designations
No designations recorded
Clinical Trials (1)
NCT IDTitlePhaseStatusEnrollmentVelocityDesignStartCompletionLast UpdatedSitesCountries
NCT07412756A Study of Brenipatide in Adult Participants With Major Depressive DisorderPHASE3 RECRUITING 1,000Feb 9, 2026Feb 1, 2028Mar 23, 2026186 United States, Australia +13
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Study Endpoints
Primary Endpoints
Time to Relapse Defined as the Number of Days from Randomization to Date on Which the Participant Meets Any Relapse Criterion of Major Depressive Disorder (MDD)
From Randomization in Double-Blind Adjunctive Treatment to First Relapse For at Least 12 Months
Secondary Endpoints
Mean Percent Change from Baseline in Body Weight in Participants with a Baseline Body Mass Index (BMI) ≥25 kg/m2
Baseline, Up to at Least 6 Months
Change from Baseline in Montgomery-Åsberg Depression Rating Scale (MADRS) Total Score
Baseline, Up to at Least 6 Months
Change from Baseline in Sheehan Disability Scale (SDS) Global Functional Impairment Score
Baseline, Up to at Least 6 Months
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Study Design & Arms
AllocationRANDOMIZED
MaskingDOUBLE
ModelPARALLEL
PurposeTREATMENT
Treatment Arms
ArmTypeDescription
Brenipatide Dose 1EXPERIMENTALBrenipatide administered subcutaneously (SC) + standard of care (SoC).
Brenipatide Dose 2EXPERIMENTALBrenipatide administered SC + SoC
Brenipatide Dose 3EXPERIMENTALBrenipatide administered SC + SoC
PlaceboPLACEBO_COMPARATORPlacebo administered SC + SoC.
Interventions
NameTypeDescription
BrenipatideDRUGAdministered SC
PlaceboDRUGAdministered SC
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Eligibility Criteria
Age Range18 Years — 75 Years
SexALL
Healthy VolunteersNo
Study Sites186

Inclusion Criteria: * Meet the diagnostic criteria for major depressive disorder * Are on a stable standard of care medication for major depressive disorder * Are reliable and willing to make themselves available for the duration of the study and attend required study visits, and are willing and ab...

Countries:United StatesAustraliaBrazilCanadaChinaGermanyGreeceJapanMexicoPolandPuerto RicoSouth KoreaSpainTaiwanUnited Kingdom
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Recent Changes (Last 90 Days)
LOWMay 26, 2026NCT07412756Status: NOT_YET_RECRUITING → RECRUITING
LOWMay 24, 2026NCT07412756studyFirstPostDate: changed