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Lu-PSMA-617

Phase 2

Metastatic Castration-Resistant Prostate Cancer (mCRPC) | Small molecule | Oncology |Novartis AG|Last Updated: Jun 8, 2026

Success Probability
Approval Probability 71%
TA Base Rate26%
Adjusted LOA41%
ML RiskLOW_RISK
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Market & Valuation
rNPV $3.2B
Market Size $9.4B
Revenue Basis $1.6B
Competitors 6
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Trial Design
RandomizedACTIVE_CONTROLLEDBiomarker
Total Trials2
Total Enrollment125
FDA Designations
No designations recorded
Clinical Trials (2)
NCT IDTitlePhaseStatusEnrollmentVelocityDesignStartCompletionLast UpdatedSitesCountries
NCT05670106A Study to Evaluate the Efficacy, Safety, Pharmacokinetics and Dosimetry of [177Lu]Lu-PSMA-617 in Chinese Adult Male Patients With Progressive PSMA-Positive mCRPCPHASE2 COMPLETED 62May 16, 2023Apr 22, 2026Jun 8, 202617 China
NCT05658003A Study Evaluating [177Lu]Lu-PSMA-617 vs. a Change of Androgen Receptor-directed Therapy in Taxane Treatment Naive Chinese Male Patients With Progressive Metastatic Castrate Resistant Prostate CancerPHASE2 ACTIVE NOT_RECRUITING 63May 5, 2023Jan 13, 2027Mar 23, 202615 China
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Study Endpoints
Primary Endpoints
Main part: Confirmed Overall Response Rate (ORR) per Blinded Independent Central Review (BICR)
From date of randomization until date of radiographic progression or date of death from any cause, whichever comes first, approx. 1 year

Confirmed Overall Response Rate (ORR) is defined as the proportion of participants with Best Overall Response (BOR) of Complete Response (CR) or Partial Response (PR). ORR is based on PCWG3-modified RECIST v1.1 response for patients with measurable disease at baseline.

Radiographic progression free survival (rPFS)
From date of randomization until date of radiographic progression or date of death from any cause, whichever comes first, assessed up to 47 months (estimated final analysis)

Radiographic progression free survival (rPFS) is defined as the time of radiographic progression by Prostate Cancer Working Group 3 (PCWG3)-modified RECIST V1.1 as assessed by blinded independent central review, or death.

Secondary Endpoints
Main & extension parts: Radiographic progression free survival (rPFS)
From date of randomization until date of radiographic progression or date of death from any cause, whichever comes first.
Main & extension parts: Overall survival (OS)
From date of randomization until date of death from any cause.
Main & extension parts: Overall response rate (ORR)
From date of randomization till radiographic progression or date of death from any cause.
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Study Design & Arms
AllocationNA
MaskingNONE
ModelSINGLE_GROUP
PurposeTREATMENT
Treatment Arms
ArmTypeDescription
[177Lu]Lu-PSMA-617 plus best supportive/best standard of care (BS/BSOC)EXPERIMENTALPatients will receive the investigational product 7.4 GBq (+/- 10%) 177Lu-PSMA-617 intravenously every 6 weeks (+/- 1 week) for a maximum of 6 cycles. Best supportive/best standard of care (BS/BSOC) may be used
[177Lu]Lu-PSMA-617EXPERIMENTALParticipants will receive 7.4 GBq (200 mCi) +/- 10% \[177Lu\]Lu-PSMA-617 once every 6 weeks for 6 cycles. Best supportive care, including ADT may be used.
Androgen receptor-directed therapy (ARDT)ACTIVE_COMPARATORFor participants randomized to the ARDT arm, the change of ARDT treatment will be administered per the physician's orders. Best supportive care, including ADT may be used.
Interventions
NameTypeDescription
[177Lu]Lu-PSMA-617DRUGAdministered intravenously once every 6 weeks (1 cycle) for a maximum of 6 cycles.
Best supportive/best standard of care (BS/BSOC)OTHERBest supportive/best standard of care as defined by the local investigator
68Ga-PSMA-11DRUGAdministered single intravenous dose of approximately 150 MBq. Administered dose could not be lower than 111 MBq or higher than 259 MBq (3 - 7 mCi).
ARDTDRUGadministered orally on a continuous basis, as per package insert and guidelines
[68Ga]Ga-PSMA-11DRUGsingle intravenous dose of approximately 150 MBq. Administered dose must not be lower than 111 MBq or higher than 259 MBq (3 - 7 mCi).
Best supportive careOTHERBest supportive/best standard of care as defined by the local investigator
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Eligibility Criteria
Age Range18 Years — 100 Years
SexMALE
Healthy VolunteersNo
Study Sites17

Inclusion Criteria: * Written informed consent must be obtained before any assessment is performed. * Participants must be Chinese male adults \>= 18 years of age. * Participants must have histological, pathological, and/or cytological confirmation of prostate cancer. * Participants must be \[68Ga\...

Countries:China
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Recent Changes (Last 90 Days)
HIGHJun 8, 2026NCT05670106Status: ACTIVE_NOT_RECRUITING → COMPLETED
HIGHJun 8, 2026NCT05670106Status: ACTIVE_NOT_RECRUITING → COMPLETED
HIGHJun 8, 2026NCT05670106Status: ACTIVE_NOT_RECRUITING → COMPLETED
LOWMay 26, 2026NCT05670106primaryCompletionDate: changed
LOWMay 26, 2026NCT05658003primaryCompletionDate: changed
LOWMay 24, 2026NCT05670106studyFirstPostDate: changed
LOWMay 24, 2026NCT05658003studyFirstPostDate: changed