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mRNA-1018 for H5N8

Phase 1

Influenza | Monoclonal antibody | Infectious Disease |Moderna, Inc.|Last Updated: Jul 16, 2025

Success Probability
Approval Probability 71%
TA Base Rate26%
Adjusted LOA41%
ML RiskLOW_RISK
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Market & Valuation
rNPV $3.2B
Market Size $9.4B
Revenue Basis $1.6B
Competitors 6
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Trial Design
RandomizedDouble-BlindCONTROLLEDBiomarker
Total Trials1
Total Enrollment1,504
FDA Designations
No designations recorded
Clinical Trials (1)
NCT IDTitlePhaseStatusEnrollmentVelocityDesignStartCompletionLast UpdatedSitesCountries
NCT05972174A Study of mRNA-1018 Pandemic Influenza Candidate Vaccines in Healthy AdultsPHASE1 COMPLETED 1,504Jul 10, 2023Jul 16, 2024Jul 16, 202527 United States, United Kingdom
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Study Endpoints
Primary Endpoints
Number of Participants with Solicited Local and Systemic Adverse Reactions (ARs)
Up to Day 29 (7 days after each injection)
Number of Participants with Unsolicited Adverse Events (AEs)
Up to Day 43 (21 days after each injection)
Number of Participants with AEs Leading to Discontinuation From Study
Day 1 to Day 205 (end of study [EoS])
Number of Participants with Medically-Attended AEs (MAAEs)
Day 1 to Day 205 (EoS)
Number of Participants with Serious Adverse Events (SAEs)
Day 1 to Day 205 (EoS)
Number of Participants with Adverse Events of Special Interest (AESIs)
Day 1 to Day 205 (EoS)
Secondary Endpoints
Geometric Mean Titer (GMT) of Anti-Hemagglutinin (HA) Antibodies at Days 22, 29, and 43, as Measured by Hemagglutination Inhibition (HAI) Assay
Days 22, 29, and 43
Geometric Mean Fold Rise (GMFR) of Anti-HA Antibodies From Baseline to Days 22, 29, and 43, as Measured by HAI Assay
Baseline (Day 1), Days 22, 29, and 43
Number of Participants With Seroconversion at Days 22, 29, and 43, as Measured by HAI Assay
Baseline (Day 1) to Days 22, 29, and 43
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Study Design & Arms
AllocationRANDOMIZED
MaskingTRIPLE
ModelPARALLEL
PurposePREVENTION
Treatment Arms
ArmTypeDescription
Part A Group 1 Vaccine: mRNA-1018 for H5N8 Dose Level 1EXPERIMENTALParticipants will receive mRNA-1018 for H5N8 at dose level 1 by intramuscular (IM) injection on Day 1 and Day 22.
Part A Group 1 Vaccine: mRNA-1018 for H5N8 Dose Level 2EXPERIMENTALParticipants will receive mRNA-1018 for H5N8 at dose level 2 by IM injection on Day 1 and Day 22.
Part A Group 1 Vaccine: mRNA-1018 for H5N8 Dose Level 3EXPERIMENTALParticipants will receive mRNA-1018 for H5N8 at dose level 3 by IM injection on Day 1 and Day 22.
Part A Group 1 Vaccine: mRNA-1018 for H5 Only Dose Level 1EXPERIMENTALParticipants will receive mRNA-1018 for H5 only at dose level 1 by IM injection on Day 1 and Day 22.
Part A Group 1 Vaccine: mRNA-1018 for H5 Only Dose Level 2EXPERIMENTALParticipants will receive mRNA-1018 for H5 only at dose level 2 by IM injection on Day 1 and Day 22.
Part A Group 1 Vaccine: mRNA-1018 for H5 Only Dose Level 3EXPERIMENTALParticipants will receive mRNA-1018 for H5 only at dose level 3 by IM injection on Day 1 and Day 22.
Part A Group 2 Vaccine: mRNA-1018 for H7N9 Dose Level 1EXPERIMENTALParticipants will receive mRNA-1018 for H7N9 at dose level 1 by IM injection on Day 1 and Day 22.
Part A Group 2 Vaccine: mRNA-1018 for H7N9 Dose Level 2EXPERIMENTALParticipants will receive mRNA-1018 for H7N9 at dose level 2 by IM injection on Day 1 and Day 22.
Part A Group 2 Vaccine: mRNA-1018 for H7N9 Dose Level 3EXPERIMENTALParticipants will receive mRNA-1018 for H7N9 at dose level 3 by IM injection on Day 1 and Day 22.
Part A Group 2 Vaccine: mRNA-1018 for H7 Only Dose Level 1EXPERIMENTALParticipants will receive mRNA-1018 for H7 only at dose level 1 by IM injection on Day 1 and Day 22.
Part A Group 2 Vaccine: mRNA-1018 for H7 Only Dose Level 2EXPERIMENTALParticipants will receive mRNA-1018 for H7 only at dose level 2 by IM injection on Day 1 and Day 22.
Part A Group 2 Vaccine: mRNA-1018 for H7 Only Dose Level 3EXPERIMENTALParticipants will receive mRNA-1018 for H7 only at dose level 3 by IM injection on Day 1 and Day 22.
Part B Group 1 Vaccine: mRNA-1018 for H5 Only-CG Dose Level 1EXPERIMENTALParticipants will receive mRNA-1018 for H5 Only-CG at dose level 1 by IM injection on Day 1 and Day 22.
Part B Group 1 Vaccine: mRNA-1018 for H5 Only-CG Dose Level 2EXPERIMENTALParticipants will receive mRNA-1018 for H5 Only-CG at dose level 2 by IM injection on Day 1 and Day 22.
Part B Group 1 Vaccine: mRNA-1018 for H5 Only-CG Dose Level 3EXPERIMENTALParticipants will receive mRNA-1018 for H5 Only-CG at dose level 3 by IM injection on Day 1 and Day 22.
Interventions
NameTypeDescription
mRNA-1018 for H5N8BIOLOGICALSterile liquid for injection
mRNA-1018 for H7N9BIOLOGICALSterile liquid for injection
mRNA-1018 for H5 OnlyBIOLOGICALSterile liquid for injection
mRNA-1018 for H7 OnlyBIOLOGICALSterile liquid for injection
mRNA-1018 for H5 Only-CGBIOLOGICALSterile liquid for injection
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Eligibility Criteria
Age Range18 Years — N/A
SexALL
Healthy VolunteersYes
Study Sites27

Key Inclusion Criteria: * Healthy as determined by medical evaluation including medical history, physical examination, laboratory tests, and results of electrocardiogram testing. * Body mass index of 18 kilograms (kg)/square meter (m\^2) to 39 kg/m\^2 (inclusive) at the Screening visit. * For femal...

Countries:United StatesUnited Kingdom
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