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INCB161734

Phase 3

Solid Tumors | Small molecule | Oncology |Incyte Corporation|Last Updated: Jun 1, 2026

Success Probability
Approval Probability 71%
TA Base Rate26%
Adjusted LOA41%
ML RiskLOW_RISK
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Market & Valuation
rNPV $3.2B
Market Size $9.4B
Revenue Basis $1.6B
Competitors 6
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Trial Design
RandomizedDouble-BlindCONTROLLEDDMCBiomarker
Total Trials2
Total Enrollment1,298
FDA Designations
No designations recorded
Clinical Trials (2)
NCT IDTitlePhaseStatusEnrollmentVelocityDesignStartCompletionLast UpdatedSitesCountries
NCT07522073A Study to Evaluate Chemotherapy With or Without INCB161734 in Previously Untreated, KRAS G12D-Mutated Metastatic Pancreatic Ductal AdenocarcinomaPHASE3 RECRUITING 588Apr 9, 2026Mar 19, 2029Jun 1, 2026215 United States, Australia +18
NCT06179160A Study to Evaluate INCB161734 in Participants With Advanced or Metastatic Solid Tumors With KRAS G12D MutationPHASE1 RECRUITING 710Jan 4, 2024Jan 1, 2027May 4, 202637 United States, Australia +6
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Study Endpoints
Primary Endpoints
Overall Survival (OS)
Up to approximately 3 years

Defined as the time from the date of randomization to the date of death due to any cause.

Progression-free survival (PFS) by BICR
Up to approximately 2 years

Defined as the time from the date of randomization to the date of the first documented progression as determined by blinded independent central review (BICR) per Response Evaluation Criteria in Solid Tumors (RECIST) v1.1 or death due to any cause.

Objective Response by BICR
Up to approximately 2 years

Defined as complete response (CR) or partial response (PR) as determined by BICR per RECIST v1.1.

Number of participants with Dose Limiting Toxicities (DLTs)
Up to 28 days

Dose-limiting toxicity will be defined as the occurrence of any of the toxicities as per protocol.

Number of participants with Treatment-emergent Adverse Events (TEAEs)
Up to 2 years and 90 days

Defined as adverse events reported for the first time or worsening of a pre-existing event after first dose of study drug monotherapy and in combination with cetuximab and retifanlimab.

Number of participants with TEAEs leading to dose modification or discontinuation
Up to 2 years and 90 days

Number of participants with TEAEs leading to dose modification or discontinuation.

Secondary Endpoints
Duration of Response (DOR) by BICR
Up to approximately 2 years
Disease control by BICR
Up to approximately 2 years
Progression-Free Survival (PFS) by investigator assessment
Up to approximately 2 years
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Study Design & Arms
AllocationRANDOMIZED
MaskingDOUBLE
ModelPARALLEL
PurposeTREATMENT
Treatment Arms
ArmTypeDescription
INCB161734 plus chemotherapyEXPERIMENTALINCB161734 at the protocol-defined dose with investigator's choice of chemotherapy (mFOLFIRINOX or GemNabP) in accordance with the protocol-defined requirements.
Placebo plus chemotherapyEXPERIMENTALPlacebo at the protocol-defined dose with investigator's choice of chemotherapy (mFOLFIRINOX or GemNabP) in accordance with the protocol-defined requirements.
Part 1a: Dose Escalation monotherapyEXPERIMENTALINCB161734 at the protocol-defined dose strength based on cohort assignment.
Part 1b: Dose Expansion monotherapyEXPERIMENTALINCB161734 at the protocol-defined dose strength based on cohort assignment.
Part 1c: Pharmacodynamic cohortEXPERIMENTALINCB161734 at the protocol-defined dose strength based on cohort assignment.
Part 2a: Dose Escalation combinationEXPERIMENTALINCB161734 in combination at the protocol-defined dose strength based on cohort assignment.
Part 2b: Dose Expansion combinationEXPERIMENTALINCB161734 in combination at the protocol-defined dose strength based on cohort assignment.
Part 1d: Food-EffectEXPERIMENTALEvaluate food effect on drug exposure as defined in the protocol.
Interventions
NameTypeDescription
INCB161734DRUGOral; tablet
PlaceboDRUGOral; tablet
Investigator's choice of chemotherapyDRUGThe investigator will select the chemotherapy in accordance with the protocol-defined requirements. The possible choices as defined by the protocol:
CetuximabDRUGCetuximab will be administered at protocol defined dose.
RetifanlimabDRUGRetifanlimab will be administered at protocol defined dose.
GEMNabPDRUGGEMNabP will be administered at protocol defined dose.
mFOLFIRINOXDRUGmFOLFIRINOX will be administered at protocol defined dose.
FOLFOXDRUGFOLFOX will be administered at protocol defined dose.
FOLFIRIDRUGFOLFIRI will be administered at protocol defined dose.
INCA33890DRUGINCA33890 will be administered at protocol defined dose.
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Eligibility Criteria
Age Range18 Years — N/A
SexALL
Healthy VolunteersNo
Study Sites215

Inclusion Criteria: * Histologically or cytologically confirmed metastatic PDAC with a KRAS G12D mutation * No prior systemic treatment in the metastatic setting * ECOG Performance status 0-1 * Adequate organ function Exclusion Criteria: * Prior treatment with any KRAS inhibitor * Chronic or curr...

Countries:United StatesAustraliaAustriaBelgiumCanadaDenmarkFinlandFranceGermanyItalyJapanNetherlandsNorwayPolandPuerto RicoSouth KoreaSpainSwedenSwitzerlandUnited Kingdom
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Recent Changes (Last 90 Days)
LOWJun 2, 2026NCT07522073lastUpdatePostDate: changed
LOWJun 2, 2026NCT07522073lastUpdatePostDate: changed
LOWJun 2, 2026NCT07522073lastUpdatePostDate: changed
LOWMay 27, 2026NCT07522073lastUpdatePostDate: changed
LOWMay 27, 2026NCT07522073lastUpdatePostDate: changed
LOWMay 26, 2026NCT07522073primaryCompletionDate: changed
LOWMay 26, 2026NCT06179160primaryCompletionDate: changed
LOWMay 24, 2026NCT07522073studyFirstPostDate: changed
LOWMay 24, 2026NCT06179160studyFirstPostDate: changed
LOWMay 21, 2026NCT07522073NEW_TRIAL: changed
LOWMay 21, 2026NCT07522073NEW_TRIAL: changed