Recent Updates
Recently added Catalysts

Nogapendekin alfa inbakicept

Phase 2

Sepsis | Small molecule | Infectious Disease |ImmunityBio, Inc.|Last Updated: May 11, 2026

Success Probability
Approval Probability 71%
TA Base Rate26%
Adjusted LOA41%
ML RiskLOW_RISK
Premium
Market & Valuation
rNPV $3.2B
Market Size $9.4B
Revenue Basis $1.6B
Competitors 6
Premium
Trial Design
RandomizedACTIVE_CONTROLLEDBiomarker
Total Trials1
Total Enrollment50
FDA Designations
No designations recorded
Clinical Trials (1)
NCT IDTitlePhaseStatusEnrollmentVelocityDesignStartCompletionLast UpdatedSitesCountries
NCT07578558NAI for Sepsis With Persistent LymphopeniaPHASE2 NOT YET_RECRUITING 50Jul 6, 2026Oct 4, 2027May 11, 2026 -
Unlock Drug Trial Details
Study Endpoints
Primary Endpoints
28-day all-cause mortality rate
28 days

Proportion of participants who die from any cause within 28 days of randomization

Secondary Endpoints
Change in absolute lymphocyte count (ALC)
Baseline through Day 28
ICU re-admission rate
Up to Day 90
Secondary infections
Up to Day 90
Unlock Study Endpoints
Study Design & Arms
AllocationRANDOMIZED
MaskingNONE
ModelPARALLEL
PurposeTREATMENT
Treatment Arms
ArmTypeDescription
NAI + Standard of CareEXPERIMENTALNAI 1.2 mg subcutaneous injection administered on Days 3 (or earlier if ALC \<700 cells/µL), Day 14, and Day 21 if needed for ALC \<1,000 cells/µL, plus institutional standard of care for sepsis
Standard of Care AloneACTIVE_COMPARATORInstitutional standard of care for sepsis including antimicrobial therapy, fluid resuscitation, vasopressor support, and mechanical ventilation as clinically indicated
Interventions
NameTypeDescription
Nogapendekin alfa inbakicept (NAI)DRUGIL-15 receptor agonist complex; 1.2 mg subcutaneous injection administered on Days 3 (or earlier if ALC \<700 cells/µL), Day 14, and Day 21 if needed for ALC \<1,000 cells/µL
Standard of Care (SOC)OTHERInstitutional standard of care for sepsis including antimicrobial therapy, fluid resuscitation, vasopressor support, organ support, and mechanical ventilation as clinically indicated
Unlock Study Design Details
Eligibility Criteria
Age Range18 Years — N/A
SexALL
Healthy VolunteersNo

Inclusion Criteria: 1. Age 18 years or older at the time of informed consent 2. Admitted to the ICU with a diagnosis of sepsis as defined by Sepsis-3 criteria: life-threatening organ dysfunction caused by a dysregulated host response to infection, operationalized as a Sequential Organ Failure Asses...

Unlock Eligibility Criteria
Recent Changes (Last 90 Days)
LOWMay 26, 2026NCT07578558primaryCompletionDate: changed
LOWMay 24, 2026NCT07578558studyFirstPostDate: changed
LOWMay 21, 2026NCT07578558NEW_TRIAL: changed
LOWMay 21, 2026NCT07578558NEW_TRIAL: changed