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HHS Backs Prasad Amid Moderna Flu Shot Blowback

Key Takeaway: The HHS has backed Vinay Prasad after the FDA rejected Moderna's mRNA flu vaccine application. The rejection was due to Moderna's failure to follow FDA guidance regarding clinical trials and the use of appropriate control groups. Concerns were raised about the safety of older participants, and the FDA indicated that a resubmission could be more successful if focused on a narrower age group.
Price reaction · baseline $40.51 (2026-02-11 close) · hit after-hours · 4 other MRNA headline(s) in the window, move may be shared
day 0 close · peak
-1%

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CONCERNS & RISKS

  • Moderna's flu vaccine application was rejected by the FDA.
  • Concerns were raised about the safety of participants aged 65 and over.
  • Moderna allegedly used a substandard control group to inflate efficacy.
  • The FDA suggested that Moderna should show humility in future submissions.

BiopharmaWatch Analysis

From our catalyst data and publicly available data · not financial advice
Best trade, last catalyst
+47%
120-day peak, hindsight
Typical move
5.1%
average across 3 past catalysts
Cash runway
~22 mo
Low dilution risk
Lead asset
mRNA-1645-eODGT8
Phase 1 · HIV Infections

Full Press Release Details

The Department of Health and Human Services has come out in support of Center for Biologics Evaluation and Research head Vinay Prasad after the health official shot down Moderna’s mRNA flu vaccine mRNA-1010, refusing to accept the application for review.
“The FDA rejected Moderna’s application for filing because the company refused to follow very clear FDA guidance from 2024 to test its product in a clinical trial against a CDC-recommended flu vaccine to compare safety and efficacy,” Andrew Nixon, spokesperson for the department, said in a statement, according to a Wednesday report fromFierce Biotech.
Nixon also asserted that Moderna “exposed participants aged 65 and over to increased risk of severe illness” by using “substandard of care against the recommendations of FDA career scientists.” The company, he continued, should have used certain high-dose flu shots as controls for this age group, in keeping with CDC guidelines. The CDCrecommendsthat people 65 and older receive a high-dose shot, but says when such a shot is not available, they may be given a standard dose instead.
In itsrefusal-to-file letter, which Moderna made public on its website, the FDA similarlysaidthat the company failed to present an “adequate and well-controlled” study to support mRNA-1010. In particular, Moderna used a control group that “does not reflect the best-available standard of care.”
Moderna hit back in anews release on Wednesday, pointing out that the FDA’s guidance for vaccine development does not “contain any reference to the use of a comparator reflecting the ‘best-available standard of care.’” The company also said that the refusal-to-file letter is “inconsistent” with previous communications with the FDA, which had agreed that using a standard-dose flu control was “acceptable.”
The letter itself does not make mention of the 2024 FDA guidance that Nixon brought up, only noting that the need to use the “best-available standard of care” vaccine as a comparator was “consistent with the FDA’s advice given to you prior your study.”
A senior FDA official, speaking to reporters on Wednesday off-the-record, suggested that Moderna used the “substandard” comparator to inflate the efficacy of its product, according toNBC News. “You can either do what’s right, and give seniors the standard of care that best protects them the best, or you can kind of rig the study so it makes your product look better.”
The official added that the doors haven’t closed yet for a resubmission—though it would be good for Moderna to “show some humility and that, yes, we didn’t follow your recommendation.”
A refiling, the unnamed FDA official continued, would likely also fare better if it were focused on a narrower age group, proposing mRNA-1010 for patients aged 50 to 64 years. If proven effective and safe, “doctors can use it off-label if it ends up getting approved,” the official added, according to reporting fromEndpoints News.

Frequently Asked Questions

Why did the FDA reject Moderna's flu vaccine application?

The FDA rejected the application because Moderna did not follow guidance to test the vaccine against a CDC-recommended flu vaccine.

What concerns were raised about the study's control group?

Concerns were raised that Moderna used a substandard control group, which could inflate the perceived efficacy of its vaccine.

What did HHS say about the risks to older participants?

HHS stated that Moderna exposed participants aged 65 and over to increased risks by not using recommended high-dose flu shots.

Can Moderna resubmit its vaccine application?

Yes, the FDA indicated that a resubmission could be more successful if focused on a narrower age group.

Last updated: Feb 12, 2026