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LY2963016

Phase 3

Diabetes Mellitus, Type 1 | Small molecule | Metabolic |Eli Lilly and Company|Last Updated: Oct 9, 2014

Success Probability
Approval Probability 71%
TA Base Rate26%
Adjusted LOA41%
ML RiskLOW_RISK
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Market & Valuation
rNPV $3.2B
Market Size $9.4B
Revenue Basis $1.6B
Competitors 6
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Trial Design
RandomizedDouble-BlindACTIVE_CONTROLLEDDMCBiomarker
Total Trials2
Total Enrollment556
FDA Designations
No designations recorded
Clinical Trials (2)
NCT IDTitlePhaseStatusEnrollmentVelocityDesignStartCompletionLast UpdatedSitesCountries
NCT01421147A Study in Adults With Type 1 DiabetesPHASE3 COMPLETED 536Aug 1, 2011Apr 1, 2013Oct 9, 201452 United States, Belgium +7
NCT01600950A Study to Compare LY2963016 to Lantus After a Single Dose to Participants With Type 1 Diabetes MellitusPHASE1 COMPLETED 20May 1, 2012Jul 1, 2012Oct 7, 20141 Germany
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Study Endpoints
Primary Endpoints
Change From Baseline up to 24 Weeks in Hemoglobin A1c (HbA1c)
Baseline, Endpoint (up to 24 weeks)

HbA1c is the glycosylated fraction of hemoglobin A which provides an estimate of a participant's blood sugar control over a 6- to 12-week period. Least Squares (LS) means were calculated by analysis of covariance (ANCOVA) and adjusted for baseline HbA1c, treatment and time of basal insulin injection (daytime, evening/bedtime) and country.

Pharmacodynamics: Duration of Action of LY2963016 and Lantus
Periods 1 and 2: Baseline up to 42 hours postdose

Duration of action is defined as the period of time elapsed between dose administration and the time at which the participant's blood glucose is consistently \>150 milligrams/deciliter (mg/dL) without any glucose infusion. Participants whose blood glucose did not rise to 150 mg/dL were censored 42 hours postdose.

Secondary Endpoints
Change From Baseline in Insulin Antibody Levels
Baseline, 6 weeks and 12 weeks and Endpoints (up to 24 weeks and up to 52 weeks)
Change From Baseline in Hemoglobin A1c (HbA1c)
Baseline, 6 weeks and 12 weeks and 24 weeks and 36 weeks and 52 weeks and Endpoint (up to 52 weeks)
7-Point Self-Monitored Blood Glucose (SMBG) Profiles
Baseline and Endpoints [up to 24 weeks (wk) and up to 52 weeks]
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Study Design & Arms
AllocationRANDOMIZED
MaskingNONE
ModelPARALLEL
PurposeTREATMENT
Treatment Arms
ArmTypeDescription
LY2963016 + Insulin LisproEXPERIMENTALLY2963016 titrated based on blood glucose readings, administered subcutaneously, once daily at the same timing (daytime or evening/bedtime) as participant's prestudy basal insulin injection schedule in combination with premeal insulin lispro. Insulin lispro titrated based on blood glucose readings, administered subcutaneously, three times a day for 52 weeks.
Lantus + Insulin LisproACTIVE_COMPARATORLantus titrated based on blood glucose readings, administered subcutaneously, once daily at the same timing (daytime or evening/bedtime) as participant's prestudy basal insulin injection schedule in combination with premeal insulin lispro. Insulin lispro titrated based on blood glucose readings, administered subcutaneously, three times a day for 52 weeks.
LY2963016EXPERIMENTALA single 0.3 units per kilogram (U/kg) dose of LY2963016 will be administered subcutaneously followed by a minimum washout period of 7 days.
LantusACTIVE_COMPARATORA single 0.3 U/kg dose of Lantus will be administered subcutaneously followed by a minimum washout period of 7 days.
Interventions
NameTypeDescription
LY2963016DRUGAdministered subcutaneously
LantusDRUGAdministered subcutaneously
Insulin LisproDRUGAdministered subcutaneously
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Eligibility Criteria
Age Range18 Years — N/A
SexALL
Healthy VolunteersNo
Study Sites52

Inclusion Criteria: * Have type 1 diabetes mellitus based on the disease diagnostic criteria \[World Health Organization (WHO) Classification\] * Have duration of diabetes greater than or equal to one year * Have Hemoglobin A1c (HbA1c) less than or equal to 11.0% * On basal-bolus insulin therapy fo...

Countries:United StatesBelgiumGermanyGreeceHungaryJapanMexicoPolandRomania
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