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LY2951742

Phase 2

Migraine Headache | Small molecule | Neurology |Eli Lilly and Company|Last Updated: Jan 9, 2020

Success Probability
Approval Probability 71%
TA Base Rate26%
Adjusted LOA41%
ML RiskLOW_RISK
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Market & Valuation
rNPV $3.2B
Market Size $9.4B
Revenue Basis $1.6B
Competitors 6
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Trial Design
RandomizedDouble-BlindPLACEBO_CONTROLLEDBiomarker
Total Trials1
Total Enrollment218
FDA Designations
No designations recorded
Clinical Trials (1)
NCT IDTitlePhaseStatusEnrollmentVelocityDesignStartCompletionLast UpdatedSitesCountries
NCT01625988A Study of LY2951742 in Participants With MigrainePHASE2 COMPLETED 218Jun 28, 2012Sep 18, 2013Jan 9, 202037 United States
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Study Endpoints
Primary Endpoints
Mean Change From Baseline in the Number of Migraine Headache Days in the Last 28-day Period of the 12-week Treatment Phase
Baseline, 12 weeks

The criteria for a migraine headache was adapted from the standard International Headache Society (IHS) International Classification of Headache Disorders II guidelines 1.1 and 1.2 (ICHD-II, Cephalgia 2004). The definition of a migraine headache was a headache with or without aura, of ≥30 minutes (min) duration, and with both ("A" and "B") required features from the IHS ICHD-II definition. Required feature "A" includes at least 2 of the following headache characteristics: unilateral location, pulsatile quality, moderate or severe pain intensity, or aggravation by or causing avoidance of routine physical activity. Required feature "B" includes at least 1 of the following during the headache: nausea and/or vomiting, or photophobia and phonophobia. Least square (LS) means were calculated using mixed model repeated measures (MMRM) with baseline value, treatment, month, and treatment-by-month interaction as fixed effects and participant as random effect.

Secondary Endpoints
Mean Change From Baseline in the Number of Headache Days in the Last 28-day Period of the 12-week Treatment Phase
Baseline, 12 weeks
Mean Change From Baseline in the Number of Migraine Attacks in the Last 28-day Period of the 12-week Treatment Phase
Baseline, 12 weeks
Percentage of Responders
Baseline, 4, 8, and 12 weeks
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Study Design & Arms
AllocationRANDOMIZED
MaskingDOUBLE
ModelPARALLEL
PurposeTREATMENT
Treatment Arms
ArmTypeDescription
LY2951742EXPERIMENTALLY2951742: 150 milligrams (mg), subcutaneous (SC) injection on Day 1 and then once every other week for a total of 6 doses during the 12-week Treatment Period.
PlaceboPLACEBO_COMPARATORPlacebo: 0.9% Sodium Chloride, Untied States Pharmacopoeia (USP), subcutaneous (SC) injection on Day 1 and then once every other week for a total of 6 doses during the 12-week Treatment Period.
Interventions
NameTypeDescription
LY2951742DRUG -
PlaceboDRUG -
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Eligibility Criteria
Age Range18 Years — 65 Years
SexALL
Healthy VolunteersNo
Study Sites37

Inclusion Criteria: * Have a history of migraine as defined by the International Headache Society (IHS) International Classification of Headache Disorders II guidelines 1.1 and 1.2 (ICHD-II, Cephalgia 2004) of at least 1 year prior to enrollment, migraine onset prior to age 50, and a moderate frequ...

Countries:United States
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