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TAR-200

Phase 3

Non-Muscle Invasive Bladder Neoplasms | Small molecule | Oncology |Johnson & Johnson|Last Updated: Jun 5, 2026

Success Probability
Approval Probability 71%
TA Base Rate26%
Adjusted LOA41%
ML RiskLOW_RISK
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Market & Valuation
rNPV $3.2B
Market Size $9.4B
Revenue Basis $1.6B
Competitors 6
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Trial Design
RandomizedACTIVE_CONTROLLEDDMCBiomarker
Total Trials1
Total Enrollment272
FDA Designations
No designations recorded
Clinical Trials (1)
NCT IDTitlePhaseStatusEnrollmentVelocityDesignStartCompletionLast UpdatedSitesCountries
NCT06211764A Study of TAR-200 Versus Intravesical Chemotherapy in Participants With Recurrent High-Risk Non-Muscle-Invasive Bladder Cancer (HR-NMIBC) After Bacillus Calmette-Guérin (BCG)PHASE3 ACTIVE NOT_RECRUITING 272Apr 9, 2024Apr 14, 2031Jun 5, 2026123 United States, Argentina +12
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Study Endpoints
Primary Endpoints
Disease-free Survival (DFS)
Up to 6 years 7 months

DFS will be measured as the time from randomization to the time of the first recurrence of high-risk non-muscle-invasive bladder cancer (HR-NMIBC) \[high grade (HG) Ta, any T1 or carcinoma in situ (CIS)\], progression, or death due to any cause, whichever occurs first.

Secondary Endpoints
Recurrence-Free Survival (RFS)
Up to 6 years 7 months
Time to Next Intervention (TTNI)
Up to 6 years 7 months
Time to Disease Worsening (TTDW)
Up to 6 years 7 months
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Study Design & Arms
AllocationRANDOMIZED
MaskingNONE
ModelPARALLEL
PurposeTREATMENT
Treatment Arms
ArmTypeDescription
Group A: TAR-200EXPERIMENTALParticipants will receive intravesical TAR-200 every 3 weeks during an induction phase and every 12 weeks during a maintenance phase.
Group B: Mitomycin C (MMC) or GemcitabineACTIVE_COMPARATORParticipants will receive either single agent intravesical MMC or gemcitabine every week during an induction phase and every 4 weeks during a maintenance phase.
Interventions
NameTypeDescription
TAR-200DRUGParticipants will receive TAR-200 intravesically.
Mitomycin CDRUGParticipants will receive MMC intravesically.
GemcitabineDRUGParticipants will receive gemcitabine intravesically.
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Eligibility Criteria
Age Range18 Years — N/A
SexALL
Healthy VolunteersNo
Study Sites123

Inclusion Criteria: * Histologically confirmed diagnosis by local pathology (within 90 days of documented informed consent) of recurrent, papillary-only high-risk non-muscle-invasive bladder cancer (HR-NMIBC) \[defined as high-grade Ta or any T1, no carcinoma in situ (CIS)\] * Participants with var...

Countries:United StatesArgentinaBelgiumBrazilChinaFranceGermanyItalyJapanPolandRomaniaSouth KoreaSpainUnited Kingdom
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Recent Changes (Last 90 Days)
LOWJun 5, 2026NCT06211764lastUpdatePostDate: changed
LOWJun 5, 2026NCT06211764lastUpdatePostDate: changed
LOWJun 5, 2026NCT06211764lastUpdatePostDate: changed
LOWJun 5, 2026NCT06211764lastUpdatePostDate: changed
LOWMay 26, 2026NCT06211764primaryCompletionDate: changed
LOWMay 24, 2026NCT06211764studyFirstPostDate: changed