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Cetrelimab

Phase 3

Urinary Bladder Neoplasms | Monoclonal antibody | Oncology |Johnson & Johnson|Last Updated: Jun 5, 2026

Success Probability
Approval Probability 71%
TA Base Rate26%
Adjusted LOA41%
ML RiskLOW_RISK
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Market & Valuation
rNPV $3.2B
Market Size $9.4B
Revenue Basis $1.6B
Competitors 6
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Trial Design
RandomizedACTIVE_CONTROLLEDDMCBiomarker
Total Trials1
Total Enrollment518
FDA Designations
No designations recorded
Clinical Trials (1)
NCT IDTitlePhaseStatusEnrollmentVelocityDesignStartCompletionLast UpdatedSitesCountries
NCT04658862A Study of TAR-200 in Combination With Cetrelimab Versus Concurrent Chemoradiotherapy in Participants With Muscle-invasive Bladder Cancer (MIBC) of the BladderPHASE3 ACTIVE NOT_RECRUITING 518Dec 7, 2020Dec 31, 2028Jun 5, 2026290 United States, Argentina +23
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Study Endpoints
Primary Endpoints
Time from Randomization to the First Bladder Intact Event-free Survival (BI-EFS) event
Up to 8 years

Time from randomization to the first BI-EFS event includes histologically proven presence of muscle-invasive bladder cancer (MIBC), clinical evidence of nodal or metastatic disease (as assessed by RECIST 1.1 criteria), radical cystectomy (RC), or death due to any cause.

Secondary Endpoints
Metastasis-free survival (MFS)
Up to 8 years
Overall Survival (OS)
Up to 8 years
Overall Response Rate (ORR)
Up to 8 years
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Study Design & Arms
AllocationRANDOMIZED
MaskingNONE
ModelPARALLEL
PurposeTREATMENT
Treatment Arms
ArmTypeDescription
TAR-200 + CetrelimabEXPERIMENTALParticipants will receive intravesical TAR-200 every 3 weeks (21 days indwelling) for first 18 weeks and thereafter from Week 24 every 12 weeks through study Year 3 in combination with intravenous (IV) Cetrelimab.
Chemotherapy (cisplatin or gemcitabine) + Radiation TherapyACTIVE_COMPARATORParticipants will receive chemotherapy based on investigator's choice from either cisplatin intravenously once weekly for 4 to 6 treatment weeks or gemcitabine intravenously twice weekly for 4 to 6 treatment weeks as Standard of Care (SOC) along with radiation therapy from either conventional radiotherapy (64 Gray \[Gy\], bladder only) for up to 6.5 treatment weeks or hypo-fractionated radiotherapy (55 Gy, bladder only) for up to 4 weeks.
Interventions
NameTypeDescription
CetrelimabBIOLOGICALParticipants will receive intravenous Cetrelimab.
TAR-200DRUGParticipants will receive intravesical TAR-200.
CisplatinDRUGParticipants will receive cisplatin intravenously.
GemcitabineDRUGParticipants will receive gemcitabine intravenously.
Conventional radiation therapyRADIATIONParticipants will receive conventional radiation therapy for bladder (64 gy).
Hypo-fractioned radiation therapyRADIATIONParticipants will receive hypo-fractioned radiation therapy for bladder (55 gy).
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Eligibility Criteria
Age Range18 Years — N/A
SexALL
Healthy VolunteersNo
Study Sites290

Inclusion Criteria: * Ineligible for or have elected not to undergo radical cystectomy * All adverse events associated with any prior surgery and/or intravesical therapy must have resolved to Common Terminology Criteria for Adverse Events (CTCAE) version 5.0 Grade less than (\<) 2 prior to randomiz...

Countries:United StatesArgentinaAustraliaAustriaBelgiumBrazilCanadaChinaCzechiaFranceGermanyGreeceHungaryIndiaItalyJapanMexicoPolandPortugalRussiaSouth KoreaSpainTaiwanTurkey (Türkiye)Ukraine
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Recent Changes (Last 90 Days)
LOWJun 5, 2026NCT04658862lastUpdatePostDate: changed
LOWJun 5, 2026NCT04658862lastUpdatePostDate: changed
LOWJun 5, 2026NCT04658862lastUpdatePostDate: changed
LOWJun 5, 2026NCT04658862lastUpdatePostDate: changed
LOWMay 26, 2026NCT04658862primaryCompletionDate: changed
LOWMay 24, 2026NCT04658862studyFirstPostDate: changed