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Takeda Reports Third-Quarter FY2025 Results: Updates Full Year Outlook to Reflect VYVANSE® Generics Impact, OPEX Discipline and FX Tailwind; Progressing Toward Three Transformative Launches Ahead

Key Takeaway: Takeda reported its third-quarter results for FY2025, highlighting a narrowing gap between Growth & Launch Products revenue and VYVANSE erosion. The company raised its forecasts due to operational efficiencies and foreign exchange benefits. Takeda is on track to launch three transformative products within 18 months, aiming to redefine care standards and enhance shareholder value.
Price reaction · baseline $16.69 (2026-01-28 close) · hit pre-market · 1 other TAK headline(s) in the window, move may be shared
day 0 close · peak
+2.9%

Market Sentiment Analysis

POSITIVE FACTORS

  • Takeda is raising its full-year forecasts due to operational efficiencies.
  • Multiple late-stage programs with high revenue potential are underway.
  • The company is preparing for significant new product launches.

CONCERNS & RISKS

  • The impact of VYVANSE generics is affecting revenue management.
  • Operating expenses, including R&D, are still a concern despite reductions.

BiopharmaWatch Analysis

From our catalyst data and publicly available data · not financial advice
Best trade, last catalyst
+20%
120-day peak, hindsight
Typical move
1.3%
average across 15 past catalysts
Lead asset
TAK-559
Phase 3 · Diabetes Mellitus

Full Press Release Details

OSAKA, Japan--(BUSINESS WIRE)--Takeda (TOKYO:4502/NYSE:TAK) today announced earnings results for the third quarter of fiscal year 2025 (nine months ended December 31, 2025). The gap between incremental Growth & Launch Products revenue and VYVANSE erosion is narrowing, and operational efficiencies drove year-on-year reductions in operating expenses, including R&D. The company raised its full-year forecasts based on cost discipline and FX tailwind, while its Revenue Management Guidance has been updated primarily due to the impact of VYVANSE generics.
Takeda is positioned for long-term growth and has multiple late-stage programs with multibillion-dollar peak revenue potential. Following the positive readouts from Phase 3 studies in 2025, the company has submitted New Drug Applications (NDAs) for oveporexton and rusfertide and is on track to file an NDA for zasocitinib. Each of these programs, which Takeda expects to launch within the next 18 months, has the potential to redefine standards of care, transform patient lives and contribute to Takeda's new growth trajectory.
Takeda chief financial officer, Milano Furuta, commented:“While we manage the impact of VYVANSE generics, we are implementing disciplined cost management and improving operational efficiency and therefore expect to achieve the previously disclosed Management Guidance for Core Operating Profit.
“FY2025 remains a truly pivotal year for Takeda as we are in a phase of preparing for significant new product launches. Looking ahead, with multiple innovative launches and a robust late-stage pipeline, Takeda is positioned to bring life-transforming medicines that improve patient lives and deliver long-term shareholder value.”

FINANCIAL HIGHLIGHTS for FY2025 Q3 YTD Ended December 31, 2025

(Billion yen, except percentages and per share amounts)
Item FY2025 Q3 YTD FY2024 Q3 YTD vs. PRIOR YEAR(Actual % change)
Revenue 3,411.2 3,528.2 -3.3%
Operating Profit 422.4 417.5 +1.2%
Net Profit 216.1 211.1 +2.4%
EPS (Yen) 137 134 +2.7%
Operating Cash Flow 966.9 835.0 +15.8%
Adjusted Free Cash Flow (Non-IFRS) 625.9 568.3 +10.1%
Core (Non-IFRS)
(Billion yen, except percentages and per share amounts)
Item FY2025 Q3 YTD FY2024 Q3 YTD vs. PRIOR YEAR(Actual % change) vs. PRIOR YEAR(CER % change)
Revenue 3,411.2 3,528.2 -3.3% -2.8%
Operating Profit 971.6 1,006.3 -3.4% -3.4%
Margin 28.5% 28.5% -0.0 pp
Net Profit 673.6 698.9 -3.6% -3.4%
EPS (Yen) 428 443 -3.3% -3.1%
FY2025 Outlook
Updating Full Year Management Guidance for Revenue and Forecasts
Takeda has updated its full year Management Guidance for Revenue primarily due to VYVANSE and raised full year forecasts to reflect cost discipline and FX tailwind.
FY2025 Management Guidance Core Change at CER (Non-IFRS)
Item FY2025 PREVIOUS MANAGEMENT GUIDANCE(October 2025) FY2025 REVISED MANAGEMENT GUIDANCE(January 2026)
Core Revenue Broadly flat Low-single-digit % decline
Core Operating Profit Low-single-digit % decline Low-single-digit % decline
Core EPS Low-single-digit % decline Low-single-digit % decline
FY2025 Reported and Core Forecasts
(Billion yen, except percentages and per share amounts)
Item FY2025PREVIOUS FORECAST(October 2025) FY2025REVISED FORECAST(January 2026)
Revenue 4,500.0 4,530.0
Core Revenue (Non-IFRS) 4,500.0 4,530.0
Operating Profit 400.0 410.0
Core Operating Profit (Non-IFRS) 1,130.0 1,150.0
Net Profit 153.0 154.0
EPS (Yen) 97 98
Core EPS (Yen) (Non-IFRS) 479 486
Adjusted Free Cash Flow (Non-IFRS) 600.0-700.0 650.0-750.0
Annual Dividend per Share (Yen) 200 200
Additional Information About Takeda’s FY2025 Q3 ResultsFor more details about Takeda’s FY2025 Q3 results, commercial progress, pipeline updates and other financial information, including key assumptions in the FY2025 forecast and management guidance as well as definitions of non-IFRS measures, please refer to Takeda’s FY2025 Q3 investor presentation (available athttps://www.takeda.com/investors/financial-results/quarterly-results/).
About TakedaTakeda is focused on creating better health for people and a brighter future for the world. We aim to discover and deliver life-transforming treatments in our core therapeutic and business areas, including gastrointestinal and inflammation, rare diseases, plasma-derived therapies, oncology, neuroscience and vaccines. Together with our partners, we aim to improve the patient experience and advance a new frontier of treatment options through our dynamic and diverse pipeline. As a leading values-based, R&D-driven biopharmaceutical company headquartered in Japan, we are guided by our commitment to patients, our people and the planet. Our employees in approximately 80 countries and regions are driven by our purpose and are grounded in the values that have defined us for more than two centuries. For more information, visitwww.takeda.com.
Important NoticeFor the purposes of this notice, “press release” means this document, any oral presentation, any question and answer session and any written or oral material discussed or distributed by Takeda Pharmaceutical Company Limited (“Takeda”) regarding this press release. This press release (including any oral briefing and any question-and-answer in connection with it) is not intended to, and does not constitute, represent or form part of any offer, invitation or solicitation of any offer to purchase, otherwise acquire, subscribe for, exchange, sell or otherwise dispose of, any securities or the solicitation of any vote or approval in any jurisdiction. No shares or other securities are being offered to the public by means of this press release. No offering of securities shall be made in the United States except pursuant to registration under the U.S. Securities Act of 1933, as amended, or an exemption therefrom. This press release is being given (together with any further information which may be provided to the recipient) on the condition that it is for use by the recipient for information purposes only (and not for the evaluation of any investment, acquisition, disposal or any other transaction). Any failure to comply with these restrictions may constitute a violation of applicable securities laws.
The companies in which Takeda directly and indirectly owns investments are separate entities. In this press release, “Takeda” is sometimes used for convenience where references are made to Takeda and its subsidiaries in general. Likewise, the words “we”, “us” and “our” are also used to refer to subsidiaries in general or to those who work for them. These expressions are also used where no useful purpose is served by identifying the particular company or companies.
The product names appearing in this document are trademarks or registered trademarks owned by Takeda, or their respective owners.
Forward-Looking StatementsThis press release and any materials distributed in connection with this press release may contain forward-looking statements, beliefs or opinions regarding Takeda’s future business, future position and results of operations, including estimates, forecasts, targets and plans for Takeda. Without limitation, forward-looking statements often include words such as “targets”, “plans”, “believes”, “hopes”, “continues”, “expects”, “aims”, “intends”, “ensures”, “will”, “may”, “should”, “would”, “could”, “anticipates”, “estimates”, “projects”, “forecasts”, “outlook” or similar expressions or the negative thereof. These forward-looking statements are based on assumptions about many important factors, including the following, which could cause actual results to differ materially from those expressed or implied by the forward-looking statements: the economic circumstances surrounding Takeda’s global business, including general economic conditions in Japan and the United States and with respect to international trade relations; competitive pressures and developments; changes to applicable laws and regulations, including drug pricing, tax, tariff and other trade-related rules; challenges inherent in new product development, including uncertainty of clinical success and decisions of regulatory authorities and the timing thereof; uncertainty of commercial success for new and existing products; manufacturing difficulties or delays; fluctuations in interest and currency exchange rates; claims or concerns regarding the safety or efficacy of marketed products or product candidates; the impact of health crises, like the novel coronavirus pandemic; the success of our environmental sustainability efforts, in enabling us to reduce our greenhouse gas emissions or meet our other environmental goals; the extent to which our efforts to increase efficiency, productivity or cost-savings, such as the integration of digital technologies, including artificial intelligence, in our business or other initiatives to restructure our operations will lead to the expected benefits; and other factors identified in Takeda’s most recent Annual Report on Form 20-F and Takeda’s other reports filed with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission, available on Takeda’s website at:https://www.takeda.com/investors/sec-filings-and-security-reports/or atwww.sec.gov. Takeda does not undertake to update any of the forward-looking statements contained in this press release or any other forward-looking statements it may make, except as required by law or stock exchange rule. Past performance is not an indicator of future results and the results or statements of Takeda in this press release may not be indicative of, and are not an estimate, forecast, guarantee or projection of Takeda’s future results.
Financial information and Non-IFRS MeasuresTakeda’s financial statements are prepared in accordance with International Financial Reporting Standards (“IFRS”).
This press release and materials distributed in connection with this press release include certain financial measures not presented in accordance with IFRS, such as Core Revenue, Core Operating Profit, Core Net Profit for the year attributable to owners of the Company, Core EPS, Constant Exchange Rate (“CER”) change, Net Debt, Adjusted Net Debt, EBITDA, Adjusted EBITDA, Free Cash Flow and Adjusted Free Cash Flow. Takeda’s management evaluates results and makes operating and investment decisions using both IFRS and non-IFRS measures included in this press release. These non-IFRS measures exclude certain income, cost and cash flow items which are included in, or are calculated differently from, the most closely comparable measures presented in accordance with IFRS. Takeda’s non-IFRS measures are not prepared in accordance with IFRS and such non-IFRS measures should be considered a supplement to, and not a substitute for, measures prepared in accordance with IFRS (which we sometimes refer to as “reported” measures). Investors are encouraged to review the definitions and reconciliations of non-IFRS measures to their most directly comparable IFRS measures, which are in the Financial Appendix appearing at the end of our FY2025 Q3 investor presentation (available atwww.takeda.com/investors).
Peak Revenue Potential and PTRS EstimatesReferences in this press release to peak revenue ranges are estimates that have not been adjusted for probability of technical and regulatory success (PTRS) and should not be considered a forecast or target. These peak revenue ranges represent Takeda’s assessments of various possible future commercial scenarios that may or may not occur. References in this press release to PTRS are to internal estimates of Takeda regarding the likelihood of obtaining regulatory approval for a particular product in a particular indication. These estimates reflect the subjective judgment of responsible Takeda personnel and have been approved by Takeda’s Portfolio Review Committee for use in internal planning.
U.S. Dollar Convenience TranslationsIn this press release, certain amounts presented in Japanese yen have been translated to U.S. dollars solely for the convenience of the reader. Except where otherwise noted, these convenience translations have been made at an exchange rate of 1USD = 156.80 JPY, the Noon Buying Rate certified by the Federal Reserve Bank of New York on December 31, 2025. The rate and methodologies used for these convenience translations differ from the currency exchange rates and translation methodologies under IFRS used for the preparation of Takeda’s consolidated financial statements. These translations should not be construed as a representation that the Japanese yen amounts could be converted into U.S. dollars at this or any other rate.
Medical informationThis press release contains information about products that may not be available in all countries, or may be available under different trademarks, for different indications, in different dosages, or in different strengths. Nothing contained herein should be considered a solicitation, promotion or advertisement for any prescription drugs including the ones under development.
Please refer to slide 7 of Takeda’s FY2025 Q3 investor presentation (available athttps://www.takeda.com/investors/financial-results/quarterly-results/) for the definition of Growth & Launch Products.

Frequently Asked Questions

What were Takeda's financial highlights for Q3 FY2025?

Takeda reported a narrowing gap in revenue due to VYVANSE erosion and raised its forecasts.

What new products is Takeda planning to launch?

Takeda is preparing to launch oveporexton, rusfertide, and zasocitinib within 18 months.

How is Takeda managing costs amid generics impact?

The company is implementing disciplined cost management and improving operational efficiency.

What is the significance of FY2025 for Takeda?

FY2025 is pivotal for Takeda as it prepares for significant new product launches.

Last updated: Jan 29, 2026