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Arcus Kidney Cancer Drug Casdatifan Advances to Challenge Merck’s Welireg

Key Takeaway: Arcus Biosciences has reported updated data on its kidney cancer drug casdatifan, showing an increased response rate of 46% in a Phase I/Ib trial. The drug, combined with Exelixis' Cabometyx, demonstrated no significant overlapping toxicity. Analysts express optimism about the results, while Arcus plans to initiate a Phase III trial focusing on progression-free survival. However, Gilead's decision to pass on licensing the drug raises concerns.
Price reaction · baseline $8.93 (2025-05-30 close) · clean, no other RCUS news in the window
day 0 close · peak
+3.2%

Market Sentiment Analysis

POSITIVE FACTORS

  • Increased response rate from 41% to 46% in the trial.
  • No significant overlapping toxicity observed with Cabometyx.
  • Analysts are encouraged by the improved response rate.
  • Strong financial position with $1 billion in assets.

CONCERNS & RISKS

  • Gilead passed on an option to license casdatifan.
  • Survival data from the Phase I/Ib trial has not yet been shared.

BiopharmaWatch Analysis

From our catalyst data and publicly available data · not financial advice
Cash runway
~19 mo
Low dilution risk
Lead asset
Atezolizumab
Phase 2 · Prostate Adenocarcinoma

Full Press Release Details

Arcus Biosciencesreportedupdated data on its kidney cancer candidate casdatifan Sunday, providing more evidence that the HIF-2a blocker can challenge Merck’s rival treatment.
The biotech shared updated data from a Phase I/Ib trial at the 2025 American Society of Clinical Oncology (ASCO) Annual Meeting. When abstracts for the conference were released last month, Arcus reported a 41% response rate. By the cut-off for this weekend’s oral presentation, the response rate had increased to 46%. The figure reflects one complete response and 10 partial responses in 24 patients with metastatic kidney cancer.
Arcus generated its Phase I/Ib data in patients who had received and progressed on prior immunotherapy. Patients received casdatifan in combination with Exelixis’ Cabometyx. Patients saw no “meaningful overlapping toxicity” for the two drugs, according to Arcus, and no Grade 4 or 5 adverse events were linked to casdatifan.
Truist Securities analysts said in a note to investors that they “are encouraged by the improved response rate,” which is in line with the 40% to 50% range they were targeting ahead of the release of the ASCO abstract.
The analysts considered the response rate seen in recipients of Merck’s Welireg when setting the target range for casdatifan. Like Arcus’ drug candidate, Welireg is designed to block the action of a protein that is involved in the formation of the new blood vessels that tumors need to grow. MerckwonFDA approval for Welireg in advanced renal cell carcinoma, a form of kidney cancer, in 2023.
The biotech is planning a Phase III trial of the combination in kidney cancer patients who have previously received an anti-PD-1/L1 immunotherapy. Arcus has picked progression-free survival (PFS) as its primary endpoint and overall survival as a key secondary endpoint.
Merckreporteda response rate of 32% and median PFS of 13.8 months in the comparable cohort of its Welireg-Cabometyx combination study. Arcus is yet to share survival data from its Phase I/Ib trial. The biotech had followed patients for a median of 5.3 months as of the cut-off for the oral presentation.
Gileadpassed onan option to license casdatifan earlier this year. Arcus responded by holding a stock offering, which Gilead took part in, to fund development of the cancer candidate. The biotechendedMarch with $1 billion in various assets to its name, a sum it said will fund operations beyond the initial readout from the planned Phase III trial of casdatifan.
Correction (June 2): This article has been updated from its original version to correct a statement that Arcus was carrying $1.2 billion in debt. It is an accumulated deficit of $1.2 billion, not debt.

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the response rate for casdatifan?

The response rate for casdatifan has increased to 46% in the trial.

What is the primary endpoint for the Phase III trial?

The primary endpoint for the Phase III trial is progression-free survival.

What combination is used with casdatifan?

Casdatifan is used in combination with Exelixis' Cabometyx.

What was the response rate for Merck's Welireg?

Merck reported a response rate of 32% for Welireg.

How much funding does Arcus have for development?

Arcus holds $1 billion in assets to fund its operations.

Last updated: Jun 2, 2025