Recent Updates
Recently added Catalysts
NVAX Neutral Sentiment Score: 55/100

Investor Presentation © 2024 NOVAVAX. All rights reserved. 1 NASDAQ: NVAX | NOVEMBER 2024 2 Cautionary note regarding forward-looking statements © 2024 NOVAVAX. All rights reserved. This presentation includes f

Key Takeaway: Novavax has outlined its financial guidance for 2024, projecting $100 million in APA dose deliveries and between $75 million to $125 million in commercial sales for the second half. The company highlights its competitive position in the COVID-19 vaccine market, achieving a 70% regional market share, primarily among the 65+ audience. However, it faces substantial risks including production delays, challenges in regulatory approvals, and dependence on partnerships. The company has also cautioned investors regarding the uncertainty of forward-looking statements.

Market Sentiment Analysis

POSITIVE FACTORS

  • Forecasting approximately $100 million in APA dose deliveries in 1H 2024.
  • Achieved 70% market share in selected regions against competitors.
  • Significant revenue from a $500 million agreement with Sanofi.

CONCERNS & RISKS

  • Risks related to potential delays in production and regulatory approvals.
  • Challenges in obtaining market acceptance for their updated COVID-19 vaccine.
  • Dependence on external partners may affect operational timelines.

Full Press Release Details

We undertake no obligation to update or revise this guidance in the future. 1. Full year 2024 product sales guidance reflects approximately $100 million in APA dose deliveries in 1H 2024 and $75 million to $125 million of commercial market sales in 2H 2024. 2. Full year 2024 Licensing, royalties and other revenue guidance includes $450 million of revenue recognition from the $500 million Sanofi agreement upfront payment and $25 million in royalty and other revenue from partner-related activities. 3.
COVID-19 2024-2025 Season: Early highlights Focused Commercial Approach Establishing a solid foundation - Maintained a competitive position against mRNA vaccines in select settings - Achieved ~70% market share in a regional retailer - Targeted marketing campaign, with 53% of Nuvaxovid claims coming from primary target audience of 65+ Establishing a solid foundation for next season 2024 NOVAVAX.
Non-GAAP financial measures should be considered in addition to, and not as an alternative for, the Company's reported results prepared in accordance with GAAP. The use of this non-GAAP financial measure may differ from similar measures reported by other companies and may not be comparable to other similarly titled measures. Company SECTION Overview 2024 NOVAVAX.
The Company believes that the presentation of this adjusted financial measure is useful to investors as it provides additional information on comparisons between periods by including certain items that affect overall comparability. The Company uses this non-GAAP financial measure for business planning purposes and to consider underlying trends of its business and believes presenting this measure also provides useful information to investors and others for understanding and evaluating trends in the Company's expenses in the same manner as the Company's management.
Our business is subject to substantial risks and uncertainties, including those referenced above. Investors, potential investors, and others should give careful consideration to these risks and uncertainties. NovavaxTM (and all associated logos) is a trademark of Novavax, Inc. Matrix-MTM is a trademark of Novavax AB. 3 Non-GAAP financial measures 2024 NOVAVAX.
Novavax cautions investors not to place considerable reliance on the forward-looking statements contained in this presentation. Investors are encouraged to read Novavax' filings with the Securities and Exchange Commission, available at www.sec.gov and on our website at www.novavax.com, for a discussion of these and other risks and uncertainties. The forward-looking statements in this presentation speak only as of the date of this presentation, and we undertake no obligation to update or revise any of these statements.
Ltd. and Serum Life Sciences Limited for co-formulation and filling Novavax's COVID-19 vaccine and the impact of any delays or disruptions in their operations; difficulty obtaining scarce raw materials and supplies including for its proprietary adjuvant; resource constraints, including human capital and manufacturing capacity; constraints on Novavax's ability to pursue planned regulatory pathways, alone or with partners; challenges in implementing its global restructuring and cost reduction plan; challenges in obtaining commercial adoption and market acceptance of its updated 2024-2025 formula COVID-19 vaccine or any COVID-19 variant strain containing formulation, or for its CIC vaccine candidate and stand-alone influenza vaccine candidate or other product candidates; challenges meeting contractual requirements under agreements with multiple commercial, governmental, and other entities, including requirements to deliver doses that may require Novavax to refund portions of upfront and other payments previously received or result in reduced future payments pursuant to such agreements and challenges in amending or terminating such agreements; challenges related to the seasonality of vaccinations against COVID-19; challenges related to the demand for vaccinations against COVID-19 or influenza; challenges in identifying and successfully pursuing innovation expansion opportunities; Novavax's expectations as to expenses and cash needs may prove not to be correct for reasons such as changes in plans or actual events being different than its assumptions; and the risks identified under the heading Risk Factors in Novavax' most recent Annual Report on Form 10-K and subsequent Quarterly Reports on Form 10-Q, as well as subsequent filings with the Securities and Exchange Commission.
Novavax cautions that these forward-looking statements are subject to numerous risks and uncertainties that could cause actual results to differ materially from those expressed or implied by such statements. These risks and uncertainties include, without limitation, Novavax's ability to successfully and timely manufacture, market, distribute, or deliver its updated 2024-2025 formula COVID-19 vaccine and the impact of its not having received a BLA from the FDA for the 2024-2025 vaccination season; challenges related to Novavax's partnership with Sanofi and in pursuing additional partnership opportunities; challenges satisfying, alone or together with partners, various safety, efficacy, and product characterization requirements, including those related to process qualification, assay validation and stability testing, necessary to satisfy applicable regulatory authorities; challenges or delays in conducting clinical trials or studies for its product candidates, including increased costs associated with the Phase 3 trial for our CIC and stand-alone influenza vaccine candidates; challenges or delays in obtaining regulatory authorization for its product candidates, including for future COVID-19 variant strain changes, its CIC vaccine candidate, its stand-alone influenza vaccine candidate or other product candidates; manufacturing, distribution or export delays or challenges; Novavax's substantial dependence on Serum Institute of India Pvt.
These forward-looking statements address various matters including Novavax's corporate strategy and operating plans, objectives and prospects; its value drivers and near-term priorities; its partnerships, including expectations with respect to potential royalties, milestones, and cost reimbursement, and plans for additional potential partnering activities; its expectations regarding manufacturing capacity, timing, production and delivery for its COVID-19 vaccine; the development of Novavax's clinical and preclinical product candidates and innovation expansion opportunities; the conduct, timing and potential results from clinical trials and other preclinical studies; scope, timing and outcome of future and pending regulatory filings and actions; potential market sizes and demand for its COVID-19 vaccine and product candidates; full year 2024 financial guidance; expected combined annual R&D and SG&A expenses for 2025 and 2026; the amount and impact of Novavax's cost reduction plans; Novavax's future financial or business performance; plans with respect to Novavax's existing advanced purchase agreements; and the potential sale of its Czech Republic manufacturing facility.
COVID-19 BLA submission (PDUFA action date of April 2025) Execute seamless transition of lead commercial activities to Sanofi

Frequently Asked Questions

What is Novavax's sales guidance for 2024?

Novavax expects approximately $100 million in APA dose deliveries in 1H 2024 and $75 million to $125 million in commercial sales for 2H 2024.

What revenue is anticipated from the Sanofi agreement in 2024?

Novavax anticipates $450 million from the Sanofi agreement and $25 million from royalties and partner activities.

How much market share does Novavax hold against mRNA vaccines?

Novavax has achieved approximately 70% market share in selected regional retail settings.

What are the major risks facing Novavax?

Novavax faces risks including manufacturing challenges, market acceptance, and regulatory hurdles.

What does Novavax suggest about forward-looking statements?

Novavax cautions that forward-looking statements are subject to risks that may cause actual results to differ.

Last updated: Nov 20, 2024