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Natera Reports First Quarter 2023 Financial Results

Key Takeaway: Natera, Inc. reported significant financial growth in its first quarter of 2023, with a total revenue of $241.8 million, marking a 24.5% increase from the previous year. The company processed approximately 626,200 tests, including a notable increase in oncology tests. Despite the positive revenue growth and new Medicare coverage for Prospera, Natera faced challenges with decreased gross margins and a continuing net loss of $136.9 million. The company has raised its revenue guidance for the year, demonstrating confidence in its ongoing expansion and market position.

Market Sentiment Analysis

POSITIVE FACTORS

  • Reported a 24.5% increase in total revenues year-over-year.
  • Processed approximately 626,200 tests in Q1 2023, an increase of 28.0%.
  • Received Medicare coverage for Prospera in heart transplantation.
  • Raised 2023 annual revenue guidance to a new range of $995 million to $1.015 billion.

CONCERNS & RISKS

  • Gross margin decreased from 46.8% to 38.7% due to increased costs.
  • Operating expenses increased, reflecting higher headcount and expansion costs.
  • Net loss remains significant at $136.9 million for Q1 2023.

Full Press Release Details

Natera Reports First Quarter 2023 Financial Results
AUSTIN, Texas, May 9, 2023
- Natera, Inc. (NASDAQ: NTRA), a global leader in cell-free DNA testing,
today reported financial results for the first quarter ended March 31, 2023.
Recent Strategic and Financial Highlights
Generated total revenues of $241.8 million in the first quarter of 2023, compared to $194.1 million in the first quarter of 2022, an increase of 24.5%. Product revenues grew 25.2% over the same period.
Processed approximately 626,200 tests in the first quarter of 2023, compared to approximately 489,300 tests in the first quarter of 2022, an increase of 28.0%.
Performed 71,000 oncology tests in the first quarter of 2023, compared to approximately 35,100 units in the first quarter of 2022, an increase of 102.2%.
Reinforced Panorama NIPT differentiation and data leadership with three papers (2 published, 1 accepted), including new evidence from the SMART study.
Received Medicare coverage for Prospera in heart transplantation.
Secured first commercial coverage decisions for Signatera, including pan-cancer coverage policy from Blue Shield of California.
New study published in Cancer highlights Signatera's performance in stages III - IV melanoma.
Expanded I-SPY2 study published in Cancer Cell demonstrates prognostic and predictive value of Signatera for breast cancer patients in the neoadjuvant setting.
Raising 2023 annual revenue guidance from $990 million to $1.0 billion to a new range of $995 million to $1.015 billion.
"We are off to an excellent start in 2023,"
said Steve Chapman, Natera's Chief Executive Officer. "We published important new data sets in the women's health and
oncology settings, received the first commercial coverage policies for Signatera, and secured Medicare reimbursement for Prospera in
heart transplantation. Our performance demonstrates the strength of our technology, and we look forward to helping millions of additional
patients and advancing our mission to transform the management of disease."
First Quarter Ended March 31, 2023 Financial Results
Total revenues were $241.8 million in the first
quarter of 2023, compared to $194.1 million for the first quarter of 2022, an increase of 24.5%. Product revenues were $237.8 million
in the first quarter of 2023, compared to $190.0 million in the first quarter of 2022, an increase of 25.2%. The growth in product revenues
was driven by an increase in test volumes compared to the first quarter of 2022.
Natera processed approximately 626,200 tests
in the first quarter of 2023, including approximately 607,700 tests accessioned in its laboratory. This compares to approximately 489,300
tests processed in the first quarter of 2022, including approximately 473,200 tests accessioned in its laboratory, an increase of 28.0%.
In the three months ended March 31, 2023,
Natera recognized revenue on approximately 583,400 tests for which results were reported to customers in the period (tests reported),
including approximately 566,000 tests reported from its laboratory, compared to approximately 456,100 tests reported, including approximately
440,900 tests reported from its laboratory, in the first quarter of 2022, an increase of 27.9% for the quarter.
Gross profit* for the three months ended March 31,
2023 and 2022 was $93.6 million and $90.9 million, respectively, representing a gross margin of 38.7% and 46.8%. Natera had
lower margins in the first quarter of 2023 compared to the first quarter of 2022 primarily due to increased labor, overhead costs, and
third-party services driven by volume growth and product support.
Total operating expenses, representing research
and development expenses and selling, general and administrative expenses, for the first quarter of 2023 were $231.9 million, compared
to $228.0 million in the same period of the prior year, an increase of 1.7%. The increase was primarily driven by additional
headcount to support the Company's expansion, volume growth, and product development. Loss from operations for the first quarter
of 2023 was $138.3 million, compared to $137.1 million for the same period of the prior year.
The Company reported a net loss for the first
quarter of 2023 of $136.9 million, or ($1.23) per diluted share, compared to a net loss of $138.6 million, or ($1.45) per diluted share,
for the same period in 2022. Weighted average shares outstanding were approximately 111.8 million in the first quarter of 2023, compared
to 95.6 million in the first quarter of the prior year.
As of March 31, 2023, Natera held approximately
$812.0 million in cash, cash equivalents, short-term investments and restricted cash, compared to $898.4 million as of December 31,
2022. As of March 31, 2023, Natera had a total outstanding debt balance of $362.4 million, comprised of $80.4 million including
accrued interest under its line of credit with UBS at a variable interest rate of 30-day SOFR plus 121 basis points and a net carrying
amount of $282.0 million under its seven-year convertible senior notes issued in April 2020. The gross principal balance outstanding
for the convertible senior notes was $287.5 million as of March 31, 2023.
Natera is raising its expectations for 2023 total
revenue from $980 million to $1.0 billion to a new range of $995 million to $1.015 billion, and continues to expect 2023 gross margin
to be approximately 41% to 44% of revenues; selling, general and administrative costs to be approximately $510 million to $540 million;
research and development costs to be $325 million to $345 million, and net cash consumption to be approximately $300 million to $325
* Gross profit is calculated as GAAP total revenues
less GAAP cost of revenues. Gross margin is calculated as gross profit divided by GAAP total revenues.
** Cash consumption is calculated as the sum
of GAAP net cash used by operating activities (estimated for 2023 to be approximately $250 million to $275 million) and GAAP net purchases
of property and equipment (estimated for 2023 to be approximately $50 million).
Unit Q1 2023 Q1 2022 Definition
Tests processed 626,200 489,300 Tests accessioned in our laboratory plus units processed outside of our laboratory
Tests accessioned 607,700 473,200 Test accessioned in our laboratory
Tests reported in our laboratory 566,000 440,900 Total tests reported in our laboratory less units reported outside of our laboratory
Tests reported 583,400 456,100 Total tests reported
is a global leader in cell-free DNA testing, dedicated to oncology, women's health, and organ health. We aim to make personalized
genetic testing and diagnostics part of the standard of care to protect health and enable earlier, more targeted interventions that help
lead to longer, healthier lives. Natera's tests are validated by more than 100 peer-reviewed publications that demonstrate high
accuracy. Natera operates ISO 13485-certified and CAP-accredited laboratories certified under the Clinical Laboratory Improvement Amendments
(CLIA) in Austin, Texas and San Carlos, California. For more information, visit www.natera.com.
Conference Call Information
Event: Natera's First Quarter 2023 Financial Results Conference Call
Date: Tuesday, May 9, 2023
Time: 1:30 p.m. PT (4:30 p.m. ET)
Live Dial-In: (888) 770-7321, Domestic
(929) 201-7107, International
Conference ID: 7684785
Webcast Link: https://events.q4inc.com/attendee/726007467
Forward-Looking Statements
This press release contains forward-looking statements
under the meaning of the Private Securities Litigation Reform Act of 1995. All statements other than statements of historical facts,
including the company's financial guidance for fiscal 2022, its ability to continue to increase its revenues, its product development
plans and its ability to maintain and grow its business operations in light of the COVID-19 pandemic, are forward-looking statements.
Any forward-looking statements contained in this press release are based upon Natera's current plans, estimates, and expectations,
as of the date of this release, and are not a representation that such plans, estimates, or expectations will be achieved.
These forward-looking statements are subject
to known and unknown risks and uncertainties that may cause actual results to differ materially, including: we face numerous uncertainties
and challenges in achieving our financial projections and goals; we may be unable to further increase the use and adoption of our products
through our direct sales efforts or through our laboratory partners; we have incurred losses since our inception and we anticipate that
we will continue to incur losses for the foreseeable future; our quarterly results may fluctuate from period to period; our estimates
of market opportunity and forecasts of market growth may prove to be inaccurate; we may be unable to compete successfully with existing
or future products or services offered by our competitors; we may engage in acquisitions, dispositions or other strategic transactions
that may not achieve our anticipated benefits and could otherwise disrupt our business, cause dilution to our stockholders or reduce
our financial resources; we may need to raise additional capital to support our business plans, which may not be available when necessary
or on favorable terms; we may not be successful in commercializing our cloud-based distribution model; our products may not perform as
expected; the results of our clinical studies, including our SNP-based Microdeletion and Aneuploidy RegisTry, or SMART, Study, may not
be compelling to professional societies or payors as supporting the use of our tests, particularly for microdeletions screening, or may
not be able to be replicated in later studies required for regulatory approvals or clearances; if either of our primary CLIA-certified
laboratories becomes inoperable, we will be unable to perform our tests and our business will be harmed; we rely on a limited number
of suppliers or, in some cases, single suppliers, for some of our laboratory instruments and materials and may not be able to find replacements
or immediately transition to alternative suppliers; if we are unable to successfully scale our operations, our business could suffer;
the marketing, sale, and use of Panorama and our other products could result in substantial damages arising from product liability or
professional liability claims that exceed our resources; we may be unable to expand, obtain or maintain third-party payer coverage and
reimbursement for Panorama, Horizon and our other tests, and we may be required to refund reimbursements already received; third-party
payers may withdraw coverage or provide lower levels of reimbursement due to changing policies, billing complexities or other factors;
if the FDA were to begin actively regulating our tests, we could incur substantial costs and delays associated with trying to obtain
premarket clearance or approval and incur costs associated with complying with post-market controls; litigation or other proceedings,
including investigations, subpoenas, demands, disputes, litigation, requests for information and other regulatory or administrative actions
or proceedings, or resulting from either third party claims of intellectual property infringement or asserting infringement by third
parties of our technology, is costly, may result in substantial business and financial penalties, may be time-consuming and could limit
our ability to commercialize our products or services; any inability to effectively protect our proprietary technology could harm our
competitive position or our brand; and we cannot guarantee that we will be able to service and comply with our outstanding debt obligations
or achieve our expectations regarding the conversion of our outstanding convertible notes.
Additional risks and uncertainties that could
affect our financial results are included under the captions, "Risk Factors" and "Management's Discussion and Analysis
of Financial Condition and Results of Operations" in our most recent filings on Forms 10-K and 10-Q and in other filings that we
make with the SEC from time to time. These documents are available on our website at www.natera.com under the Investor Relations section
and on the SEC's website at www.sec.gov.
In light of the significant uncertainties in

Frequently Asked Questions

What were Natera's total revenues in Q1 2023?

Natera generated total revenues of $241.8 million in Q1 2023.

How many tests did Natera process in Q1 2023?

In Q1 2023, Natera processed approximately 626,200 tests.

What is the net loss reported by Natera for Q1 2023?

Natera reported a net loss of $136.9 million for Q1 2023.

What is Natera's 2023 revenue guidance update?

Natera raised its revenue guidance for 2023 to between $995 million and $1.015 billion.

What distinguishes Natera's Panorama NIPT?

Panorama NIPT is differentiated by new evidence published in recent studies.

Last updated: May 9, 2023