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Patrick Ryan Investor Contacts: Peter Dannenbaum (973) 275-7075 (908) 740-1037 Melissa Moody Raychel Kruper (215) 407-3536 (908) 740-2107 Merck Announces Third-Quarter 2021 Financial

Key Takeaway: FOR IMMEDIATE RELEASE Merck Announces Third-Quarter 2021 Financial Results KENILWORTH, N.J., Oct. 28, 2021 - Merck (NYSE: MRK), known as MSD outside the United States and Canada, today announced financial results for the third quarter of 2021. "Merck delivered another strong q

Full Press Release Details

FOR IMMEDIATE RELEASE
Media Contacts: Patrick Ryan Investor Contacts: Peter Dannenbaum
(973) 275-7075 (908) 740-1037
Melissa Moody Raychel Kruper
(215) 407-3536 (908) 740-2107
Merck Announces Third-Quarter 2021 Financial Results
Results Demonstrate Strong Momentum Across Business
Third-Quarter 2021 Worldwide Sales Were $13.2 Billion, 20% Above Third-Quarter 2020; Excluding the Impact from Foreign Exchange, Sales Grew 19% Reflecting Strong Demand for the Company's Robust Portfolio:
o KEYTRUDA Sales Grew 22% to $4.5 Billion; Excluding the Impact from Foreign Exchange, Sales Grew 21%
o GARDASIL/GARDASIL 9 Sales Grew 68% to $2.0 Billion; Excluding the Impact from Foreign Exchange, Sales Grew 63%
o Animal Health Sales Grew 16% to $1.4 Billion; Excluding the Impact from Foreign Exchange, Sales Grew 14%
Third-Quarter 2021 GAAP EPS from Continuing Operations Was $1.80; Third-Quarter 2021 Non-GAAP EPS from Continuing Operations Was $1.75
Bolstered Innovation with Agreement to Acquire Acceleron Pharma, Complementing and Expanding Merck's Cardiovascular Pipeline
Progressed Regulatory Applications, Secured Multiple Regulatory Approvals, and Saw Advancement of Key Government Recommendations, Including:
o Submission of Emergency Use Authorization Application to FDA for Molnupiravir, an Investigational Oral Antiviral Medicine for the Treatment of At-Risk Patients with Mild-to-Moderate COVID-19
o FDA Approval of WELIREG for the Treatment of Adult Patients with Certain Types of Von Hippel-Lindau Disease-Associated Tumors
o FDA Approval of KEYTRUDA in Combination with Lenvima for the First-Line Treatment of Adult Patients with Advanced Renal Cell Carcinoma
o FDA Approval of KEYTRUDA in Combination with Chemotherapy, with or Without Bevacizumab, for the Treatment of Certain Patients with Persistent, Recurrent or Metastatic Cervical Cancer
o U.S. CDC's Advisory Committee on Immunization Practices Vote to Provisionally Recommend Vaccination with a Sequential Regimen of VAXNEUVANCE Followed by PNEUMOVAX 23 as an Option both for Adults 65 Years and Older and for Adults Ages 19 to 64 with Certain Underlying Medical Conditions
o Raises and Narrows Estimated Full-Year 2021 Revenue Range to Be Between $47.4 Billion and $47.9 Billion, Including a Positive Impact from Foreign Exchange of Approximately 1.5%; Now Expects Full-Year 2021 Sales Growth of 14% to 15%
o Raises and Narrows Full-Year 2021 GAAP EPS to be Between $4.71 and $4.76; Raises and Narrows Full-Year 2021 Non-GAAP EPS to be Between $5.65 and $5.70, Including a Positive Impact from Foreign Exchange of Approximately 2%
KENILWORTH, N.J., Oct. 28, 2021 - Merck (NYSE: MRK), known as MSD outside the United States and Canada, today announced financial results for the third quarter of 2021.
"Merck delivered another strong quarter with positive momentum across our business and meaningful progress across our pipeline. Our teams continued to excel as we focus on evolving our operations, while driving innovations in our labs that exemplify the best of Merck science," said Robert M. Davis, chief executive officer and president, Merck. "We achieved notable clinical milestones in the key areas of oncology and COVID-19, including positive Phase 3 results for molnupiravir. We recently announced our proposed acquisition of Acceleron, which will strengthen our cardiovascular portfolio with complementary, cutting-edge science and an exciting late-stage candidate. Looking ahead, we remain focused on building more momentum, delivering on our mission of saving and improving lives and continuing to expand our portfolio and pipeline for long-term success and sustainable value creation."
Financial Summary - Continuing Operations
Financial information presented in this release reflects Merck's results on a continuing operations basis, which excludes Organon & Co., that was spun-off on June 2, 2021.
Third Quarter
$ in millions, except EPS amounts 2021 2020 Change Change Ex-Exchange
Sales $ 13,154 $ 10,929 20 % 19 %
GAAP net income from continuing operations 1 4,567 2,324 97 % 94 %
Non-GAAP net income that excludes certain items 1,2* 4,439 3,486 27 % 26 %
GAAP EPS from continuing operations 1.80 0.92 96 % 93 %
Non-GAAP EPS that excludes certain items 2* 1.75 1.37 28 % 26 %
*Refer to table on page 13.
GAAP (generally accepted accounting principles) earnings per share assuming dilution (EPS) was $1.80 for the third quarter of 2021. Non-GAAP EPS of $1.75 for the third quarter of 2021 excludes acquisition- and divestiture-related costs, restructuring costs, income and losses from investments in equity securities and certain other items. Year-to-date results can be found in the attached tables.
Strong Performance Across the Business
Merck achieved strong performance across its key pillars of Oncology, Vaccines, and Animal Health, led by highly innovative products, including KEYTRUDA (pembrolizumab), Lynparza (olaparib), Lenvima (lenvatinib), GARDASIL [Human Papillomavirus Quadrivalent (Types 6, 11, 16, and 18) Vaccine, Recombinant], GARDASIL 9 (Human Papillomavirus 9-valent Vaccine, Recombinant) and the BRAVECTO (fluralaner) line of products. In addition, BRIDION (sugammadex) injection 100 mg/mL saw strong growth in the quarter. The company continues to benefit from strong underlying demand for its products, as well as broad commercial scale and improved patient access to its innovative medicines across the globe.
1 Net income from continuing operations attributable to Merck & Co., Inc.
2 Merck is providing certain 2021 and 2020 non-GAAP information that excludes certain items because of the nature of these items and the impact they have on the analysis of underlying business performance and trends. Management believes that providing this information enhances investors' understanding of the company's results and permits investors to understand how management assesses performance. Management uses these measures internally for planning and forecasting purposes and to measure the performance of the company along with other metrics. In addition, senior management's annual compensation is derived in part using non-GAAP pretax income. This information should be considered in addition to, but not as a substitute for or superior to, information prepared in accordance with GAAP. For a description of the non-GAAP adjustments, see Table 2a attached to this release.
Merck Reported Positive Phase 3 Results for Molnupiravir, an Investigational Oral Antiviral COVID-19 Treatment
Merck and Ridgeback Biotherapeutics announced positive results from the interim analysis of the Phase 3 MOVe-OUT trial of investigational oral antiviral therapeutic molnupiravir (MK-4482/EIDD-2801) in at-risk, non-hospitalized adult patients with mild-to-moderate COVID-19. The company announced on Oct. 11, 2021, the submission of an application for Emergency Use Authorization (EUA) to the U.S. Food and Drug Administration (FDA) based on these findings and plans to submit marketing applications to other regulatory bodies worldwide. If authorized or approved, Merck anticipates that molnupiravir can become an important treatment as part of the global effort to fight the COVID-19 pandemic. On Oct. 14, 2021, the FDA announced a Nov. 30, 2021, meeting of its Antimicrobial Drugs Advisory Committee to discuss the available data supporting the use of molnupiravir to treat at-risk adults with mild-to-moderate COVID-19. On Oct. 25, 2021, the European Medicines Agency (EMA) initiated a rolling review for molnupiravir for the treatment of COVID-19 in adults. Merck plans to work with the EMA's Committee for Medicinal Products for Human Use (CHMP) to complete the rolling review process to facilitate initiating the formal review of the Marketing Authorization Application.
Merck is committed to providing timely access to molnupiravir globally, if it is authorized or approved, and plans to implement a tiered pricing approach based on World Bank country income criteria to reflect countries' relative ability to finance their pandemic response and health systems. Merck has entered into non-exclusive voluntary licensing agreements with established generic manufacturers in India for molnupiravir. Additionally, Merck and the Medicines Patent Pool (MPP) jointly announced the signing of a voluntary licensing agreement to facilitate access to generic molnupiravir, upon local regulatory authorization. These agreements will help expand access to molnupiravir in more than 100 low- and middle-income countries.
Merck has entered into supply and purchase commitments for molnupiravir with several governments worldwide, including Australia, New Zealand, South Korea, the U.K. and the U.S., pending regulatory authorization, and is currently in discussions with other governments. The company expects to produce 10 million courses of treatment by the end of 2021, with at least 20 million additional courses expected to be produced in 2022.
Planned Acquisition of Acceleron Bolsters Innovation and Broadens Cardiovascular Pipeline
Merck announced a definitive agreement and tender offer to acquire Acceleron Pharma Inc. (Acceleron). The planned acquisition complements and strengthens Merck's cardiovascular pipeline with Acceleron's lead therapeutic candidate, sotatercept, a potentially first-in-class therapy in Phase 3 clinical trials for the treatment of pulmonary arterial hypertension. Merck commenced a tender offer on Oct. 12, 2021, and upon successful completion of the tender offer and receipt of necessary regulatory approvals, Merck, through a subsidiary, will acquire Acceleron for $180 per share in cash for an approximate total equity value of $11.5 billion. The transaction is expected to close in the fourth quarter of 2021.
Oncology Program Highlights
Merck continued to advance development programs across its oncology portfolio, anticipating more than 90 potential new indications by 2028, including notable progress for KEYTRUDA, the company's anti-PD-1 therapy; Lynparza, an oral poly (ADP-ribose) polymerase (PARP) inhibitor being co-developed and co-commercialized with AstraZeneca; Lenvima, an orally available tyrosine kinase inhibitor (TKI) being co-developed and co-commercialized with Eisai Co., Ltd. (Eisai); and WELIREG (belzutifan), an oral hypoxia-inducible factor-2 alpha inhibitor (HIF-2 ).
o FDA approval of WELIREG for the treatment of adult patients with von Hippel-Lindau disease who require therapy for associated renal cell carcinoma (RCC), central nervous hemangioblastomas, or pancreatic neuroendocrine tumors, not requiring immediate surgery based on the open label Study 004 trial. WELIREG is the first HIF-2 inhibitor therapy approved in the U.S. and is currently being evaluated in three Phase 3 studies as monotherapy and in combination with other novel therapies.
o FDA approval of KEYTRUDA in combination with Lenvima for the first-line treatment of adult patients with advanced RCC. The approval was based on results from the pivotal Phase 3 CLEAR study (KEYNOTE-581/Study 307).
o FDA approval of KEYTRUDA in combination with chemotherapy, with or without bevacizumab, for the treatment of patients with persistent, recurrent or metastatic cervical cancer whose tumors express PD-L1 (Combined Positive Score [CPS] 1) as determined by an FDA-approved test, based on results from the Phase 3 KEYNOTE-826 trial.
o FDA priority review for a new supplemental Biologics License Application (sBLA) for KEYTRUDA for the adjuvant treatment of patients with RCC at intermediate-high or high risk of recurrence following nephrectomy (surgical removal of a kidney), or following nephrectomy and resection of metastatic lesions. This sBLA was based on data that demonstrated a statistically significant and clinically meaningful improvement in disease-free survival compared to placebo from the pivotal Phase 3 KEYNOTE-564 trial. The Prescription Drug User Fee Act (PDUFA) date is Dec. 10, 2021.
o FDA priority review for a new sBLA for KEYTRUDA for the adjuvant treatment of adult and pediatric patients (12 years and older) with STAGE IIB or IIC melanoma following complete resection, based on results from the Phase 3 KEYNOTE-716 trial that showed a statistically significant and clinically meaningful improvement in recurrence-free survival compared to placebo. The PDUFA date is Dec. 4, 2021.
o FDA review of a new sBLA seeking approval for KEYTRUDA as a single agent for the treatment of patients with advanced endometrial carcinoma (EC) that is microsatellite instability-high (MSI-H) or mismatch repair deficient (dMMR), who have disease progression following prior systemic therapy in any setting and are not candidates for curative surgery or radiation. The application is based on overall response data from Cohorts D and K of the KEYNOTE-158 trial. The PDUFA date is March 28, 2022.
o Positive opinion from the CHMP of the EMA for KEYTRUDA in combination with chemotherapy for the treatment of locally recurrent unresectable or metastatic triple-negative breast cancer (TNBC) in adults whose tumors express PD-L1 (CPS 10) and who have not received prior chemotherapy for metastatic disease. The positive opinion is based on progression-free survival and overall survival (OS) results from the Phase 3 KEYNOTE-355 trial.
o European Commission approval of KEYTRUDA, in combination with chemotherapy, for the first-line treatment of locally recurrent unresectable or metastatic TNBC in adults whose tumors express PD-L1 (CPS 10) and who have not received prior chemotherapy for metastatic disease.
o Positive opinions from the CHMP of the EMA recommending approval of the combination of KEYTRUDA plus Lenvima for two different indications: advanced RCC and advanced or recurrent EC. The positive opinions are based on data from two pivotal Phase 3 trials: CLEAR (KEYNOTE-581/Study 307) evaluating the combination in adult patients with advanced RCC and KEYNOTE-775/Study 309 evaluating the combination in certain patients with advanced or recurrent EC.
o National Medical Products Administration approval in China of KEYTRUDA in combination with platinum- and fluoropyrimidine-based chemotherapy for the first-line treatment of patients with locally advanced unresectable or metastatic carcinoma of the esophagus or gastroesophageal junction. This new indication was granted approval based on OS findings from the pivotal Phase 3 KEYNOTE-590 trial. KEYTRUDA is now approved for eight indications across five different types of cancer in China.
o Final OS results from the pivotal Phase 3 KEYNOTE-355 trial were presented at the European Society for Medical Oncology (ESMO) Congress 2021 demonstrating a 27% reduction in risk of death for patients with metastatic TNBC whose tumors expressed PD-L1 (CPS 10) using first-line treatment of KEYTRUDA in combination with chemotherapy (paclitaxel, nab-paclitaxel or gemcitabine/carboplatin) as compared to chemotherapy alone.
o Positive results from the Phase 3 PROpel trial demonstrating superior radiographic progression-free survival with Lynparza in combination with abiraterone and prednisone versus abiraterone plus prednisone as a first-line treatment for men with metastatic castration-resistant prostate cancer with or without homologous recombination repair gene mutations.
Other Highlights
Merck announced positive topline results from the pivotal Phase 3 PNEU-PED (V114-029) study evaluating the immunogenicity, safety and tolerability of VAXNEUVANCE (Pneumococcal 15-valent Conjugate Vaccine) in healthy infants enrolled between 42-90 days of age.
Merck announced that the CHMP of the EMA has recommended the approval of VAXNEUVANCE for active immunization for the prevention of invasive disease and pneumonia caused by Streptococcus pneumoniae in individuals 18 years of age and older. The CHMP recommendation will now be reviewed by the European Commission for marketing authorization in the EU, and a final decision is expected by the end of the year.
Infectious Diseases
Third-Quarter Revenue Performance
The following table reflects sales of the company's top pharmaceutical products, as well as sales of Animal Health products.
Third Quarter
$ in millions 2021 2020 Change Change Ex-Exchange
Total Sales $ 13,154 $ 10,929 20 % 19 %
Pharmaceutical 11,496 9,714 18 % 17 %
KEYTRUDA 4,534 3,715 22 % 21 %
GARDASIL / GARDASIL 9 1,993 1,187 68 % 63 %
JANUVIA / JANUMET 1,339 1,327 1 % 0 %
PROQUAD, M-M-R II and VARIVAX 661 576 15 % 14 %
BRIDION 369 320 16 % 15 %
PNEUMOVAX 23 277 375 -26 % -26 %
Lynparza* 246 196 25 % 25 %
ROTATEQ 227 210 8 % 7 %
SIMPONI 203 209 -3 % -5 %
ISENTRESS / ISENTRESS HD 189 205 -8 % -7 %
Lenvima* 188 142 32 % 30 %
Animal Health 1,417 1,220 16 % 14 %
Livestock 864 758 14 % 12 %
Companion Animals 553 462 20 % 18 %
Other Revenues** 241 (5 ) >100 % >100 %
*Alliance revenue for this product represents Merck's share of profits, which are product sales net of cost of sales and commercialization costs.
**Other revenues are comprised primarily of third-party manufacturing sales and miscellaneous corporate revenues,
including revenue-hedging activities. Other revenues in the third quarter of 2021 include $135 million
related to the receipt of a milestone payment for an out-licensed product.
Pharmaceutical Revenue
Third-quarter pharmaceutical sales increased 18% to $11.5 billion, compared to the third quarter of 2020. Excluding the favorable effect of foreign exchange, sales grew by 17%, reflecting strength in the company's oncology and vaccine businesses.
Growth in oncology was largely driven by higher sales of KEYTRUDA, which rose 22% to $4.5 billion in the quarter. Global sales growth of KEYTRUDA reflects continued strong momentum from the non-small-cell lung cancer indications as well as uptake in other indications, including RCC, head and neck squamous cell carcinoma, TNBC and MSI-H cancers. Also contributing to higher sales in oncology was a 25% increase in Lynparza alliance revenue, primarily reflecting continued uptake in the United States and Europe, as well as a 32% increase in Lenvima alliance revenue, driven primarily by higher demand in the United States and China.
Growth in vaccines for the third quarter was primarily driven by higher combined sales of GARDASIL and GARDASIL 9, vaccines to prevent certain cancers and other diseases caused by HPV. Third-quarter 2021 GARDASIL/GARDASIL 9 sales grew 68% to $2.0 billion, primarily driven by strong global demand, particularly in China, which also benefitted from increased supply, as well as in the United States, which also benefitted from the timing of public sector purchases.
Combined sales of pediatric vaccines VARIVAX (Varicella Virus Vaccine Live), a vaccine to help prevent chickenpox; PROQUAD (Measles, Mumps, Rubella and Varicella Virus Vaccine Live), a combination vaccine to help protect against measles, mumps, rubella and varicella; and M-M-R II (Measles, Mumps and Rubella Virus Vaccine Live), a vaccine to help prevent measles, mumps and rubella, also contributed to higher sales in vaccines, increasing by 15% to $661 million primarily driven by the ongoing recovery of wellness visits in the United States.
Vaccine performance was negatively affected by lower sales of PNEUMOVAX 23, a vaccine to help prevent pneumococcal disease, which declined 26% to $277 million primarily driven by lower demand in the United States reflecting prioritization of the COVID-19 vaccine.
Performance in hospital acute care reflects the suspension of sales of ZERBAXA for injection, a combination cephalosporin antibacterial and beta-lactamase inhibitor for the treatment of adults with certain bacterial infections, following a product recall in the fourth quarter of 2020. This unfavorability was partially offset by higher demand globally for BRIDION injection 100 mg/mL, a medicine for the reversal of neuromuscular blockade induced by rocuronium bromide or vecuronium bromide in adults and pediatric patients aged 2 years and older undergoing surgery, which increased 16% to $369 million due in part to the ongoing COVID-19 pandemic recovery, and growth in DIFICID (fidaxomicin), a macrolide antibacterial drug for treatment of Clostridioides difficile -associated diarrhea in adults and pediatric patients aged 6 months and older, in the United States.
Animal Health Revenue
Animal Health sales totaled $1.4 billion for the third quarter of 2021, an increase of 16% compared with the third quarter of 2020. Excluding the favorable effect from foreign exchange, Animal Health sales increased 14%, reflecting growth across geographies and species, including the biopharmaceutical portfolio and the Animal Health Intelligence portfolio. Sales growth in livestock was primarily driven by higher demand globally for ruminant products, including Animal Health Intelligence products. Sales growth in companion animal was primarily driven by the BRAVECTO parasiticide line of products, as well as vaccines.
Third-Quarter Expense, EPS and Related Information
The tables below present selected expense information.
$ in millions GAAP Acquisition- and Divestiture- Related Costs 3 Restructuring Costs (Income) Loss from Investments in Equity Securities Certain Other Items Non- GAAP 2
Third-Quarter 2021
Cost of sales $ 3,450 $ 346 $ 48 $ - $ - $ 3,056
Selling, general and administrative 2,336 61 5 - - 2,270
Research and development 2,445 48 8 - (87 ) 2,476
Restructuring costs 107 - 107 - - -
Other (income) expense, net (450 ) (10 ) - (684 ) - 244
Third-Quarter 2020
Cost of sales $ 3,013 $ 403 $ 38 $ - $ - $ 2,572
Selling, general and administrative 2,060 25 15 - - 2,020
Research and development 3,349 19 19 - 1,082 2,229
Restructuring costs 113 - 113 - - -
Other (income) expense, net (312 ) - - (346 ) (1 ) 35
GAAP Expense, EPS and Related Information
Gross margin was 73.8% for the third quarter of 2021 compared to 72.4% for the third quarter of 2020. The increase primarily reflects the favorable effects of product mix and lower acquisition- and divestiture-related costs, partially offset by higher manufacturing costs.
Selling, general and administrative expenses were $2.3 billion in the third quarter of 2021, an increase of 13% compared to the third quarter of 2020. The increase primarily reflects higher administrative costs, increased promotional expenses in support of the company's growth pillars, higher acquisition- and divestiture-related costs, as well as the unfavorable effects of foreign exchange.
Research and development expenses were $2.4 billion in the third quarter of 2021 compared with $3.3 billion in the third quarter of 2020. The decrease was primarily driven by lower upfront payments related to collaborations and license agreements, partially offset by higher oncology and COVID-19 clinical development spending, as well as increased investment in discovery research and early drug development.
3 Includes expenses for the amortization of intangible assets and purchase accounting adjustments to inventories, intangible asset impairment charges and expense or income related to changes in the estimated fair value measurement of liabilities for contingent consideration. Also includes integration, transaction and certain other costs related to acquisitions and divestitures.
Other (income) expense, net, was $450 million of income in the third quarter of 2021 compared to $312 million of income in the third quarter of 2020, primarily reflecting higher income from investments in equity securities, net, partially offset by higher pension settlement costs.
The effective income tax rate was 13.2% for the third quarter of 2021, reflecting the beneficial impact of the settlement of a foreign tax matter.
GAAP EPS was $1.80 for the third quarter of 2021 compared with $0.92 for the third quarter of 2020.
Non-GAAP Expense, EPS and Related Information
Non-GAAP gross margin was 76.8% for the third quarter of 2021 compared to 76.5% for the third quarter of 2020. The increase in non-GAAP gross margin primarily reflects the favorable effect of product mix, partially offset by higher manufacturing costs.
Non-GAAP selling, general and administrative expenses were $2.3 billion in the third quarter of 2021, an increase of 12% compared to the third quarter of 2020. The increase primarily reflects higher administrative costs, increased promotional expenses in support of the company's growth pillars, as well as the unfavorable effects of foreign exchange.
Non-GAAP R&D expenses were $2.5 billion in the third quarter of 2021, an 11% increase compared to the third quarter of 2020. The increase primarily reflects higher oncology and COVID-19 clinical development spending, as well as increased investment in discovery research and early drug development.
Non-GAAP other (income) expense, net, was $244 million of expense in the third quarter of 2021 compared to $35 million of expense in the third quarter of 2020, primarily reflecting higher pension settlement costs.
The non-GAAP effective income tax rate was 13.0% for the third quarter of 2021, reflecting the beneficial impact of the settlement of a foreign tax matter.
Non-GAAP EPS was $1.75 for the third quarter of 2021 compared with $1.37 for the third quarter of 2020.
A reconciliation of GAAP to non-GAAP net income and EPS is provided in the table that follows.
$ in millions, except EPS amounts Third Quarter
2021 2020
EPS
GAAP EPS $ 1.80 $ 0.92
Difference (0.05 ) 0.45
Non-GAAP EPS that excludes items listed below 2 $ 1.75 $ 1.37
Net Income
GAAP net income 1 $ 4,567 $ 2,324
Difference (128 ) 1,162
Non-GAAP net income that excludes items listed below 1,2 $ 4,439 $ 3,486
Decrease (Increase) in Net Income Due to Excluded Items:
Acquisition- and divestiture-related costs 3 $ 445 $ 447
Restructuring costs 168 185
(Income) loss from investments in equity securities (684 ) (346 )
Charges for acquisitions and collaborations 4 - 1,082
Other (87 ) (1 )
Net decrease (increase) in income before taxes (158 ) 1,367
Income tax (benefit) expense 5 30 (205 )
Decrease (increase) in net income $ (128 ) $ 1,162
Financial Outlook
Merck continues to experience strong global underlying demand across its business. Consequently, Merck is raising and narrowing its full-year estimated ranges for revenue and EPS. At mid-October 2021 exchange ranges, Merck now expects sales growth of 14% to 15% in 2021, with full-year 2021 revenue estimated to be between $47.4 billion and $47.9 billion, including a positive impact from foreign exchange of approximately 1.5%.
Merck continues to believe that the global health systems and patients have largely adapted to the impacts of the COVID-19 pandemic, and, that while certain negative effects will persist, the trend will continue to improve. Merck continues to estimate that the pandemic will have a net unfavorable impact to 2021 revenues of less than 3%, all of which relates to the pharmaceutical segment.
4 2020 includes $832 million related to the Seagen collaborations.
5 Includes the estimated tax impact on the reconciling items. In addition, the amount for 2020 includes a tax cost of $67 million, representing an adjustment to the tax benefits recorded in conjunction with the 2015 acquisition of Cubist Pharmaceuticals, Inc.
Merck is raising and narrowing its full-year 2021 GAAP EPS range to be between $4.71 and $4.76.
Merck is raising and narrowing its non-GAAP EPS range and now expects full-year 2021 to be between $5.65 and $5.70, including a positive impact from foreign exchange of approximately 2%. The non-GAAP range excludes acquisition- and divestiture-related costs, costs related to restructuring programs, income and losses from investments in equity securities, and certain other items. Neither the sales nor the EPS ranges provided above include the impact of the potential launch of Merck's COVID-19 antiviral drug candidate, molnupiravir.
The following table summarizes the company's full-year 2021 financial guidance.
GAAP Non-GAAP 2
Revenue $47.4 to $47.9 billion $47.4 to $47.9 billion*
Operating expenses Lower than 2020 by a mid-single digit rate Higher than 2020 by a high-single digit rate
Effective tax rate 14.5% to 15.0% 14.0% to 14.5%
EPS** $4.71 to $4.76 $5.65 to $5.70
*The company does not have any non-GAAP adjustments to revenue.
Last updated: Oct 28, 2021