Recent Updates
Recently added Catalysts
GILD Positive Sentiment

Gilead, Merck Clear Path to Market for Daily HIV Pills With New Late-Stage Data

Key Takeaway: Gilead and Merck are advancing their daily HIV pills towards market launch, supported by new Phase 3 data presented at CROI 2026. Gilead's BIC/LEN showed sustained virologic suppression comparable to existing treatments. Meanwhile, Merck's DOR/ISL also demonstrated strong efficacy but may struggle against Gilead's established market dominance. Regulatory submissions for both drugs are anticipated soon.
Price reaction · baseline $147.12 (2026-02-25 close) · hit after-hours · 3 other GILD headline(s) in the window, move may be shared
day 0 close · peak
-2.3%

Market Sentiment Analysis

POSITIVE FACTORS

  • Gilead and Merck show promising Phase 3 data for their HIV pills.
  • BIC/LEN demonstrated non-inferiority to multi-tablet regimens.
  • Analysts expect Gilead's long-term growth in the HIV market.

CONCERNS & RISKS

  • Merck's DOR/ISL may only provide incremental benefits.
  • Merck's market presence is significantly smaller than Gilead's.

BiopharmaWatch Analysis

From our catalyst data and publicly available data · not financial advice
Best trade, last catalyst
+15%
120-day peak, hindsight
Typical move
1.4%
average across 15 past catalysts
Lead asset
Ranolazine
Phase 2 · Diabetes Mellitus, Type 2

Full Press Release Details

As Gilead and Merck race to bring their respective daily HIV pills to the market, new Phase 3 data presented at a key medical conference earlier this week show that these oral drugs can keep virus levels suppressed over a long period of time.
At the 33rd Conference on Retroviruses and Opportunistic Infections (CROI 2026), Gilead unveiled updated data from the late-stage ARTISTRY-1 and ARTISTRY-2 studies, which investigated a daily single-tablet combination of its integrase strand transfer inhibitor bictegravir and the capsid blocker lenacapavir (BIC/LEN). Lenacapavir is also the active ingredient in the pharma’srecently approvedtwice-yearly pre-exposure prophylaxis shot Yeztugo.
In the respective trials, patients who achieved virological suppression after their baseline complex regimen or after Biktarvy treatment were assigned to either receive the daily BIC/LEN combo or stay on their current schedule. Results from ARTISTRY-1 showed that BIC/LEN was non-inferior to a multi-tablet regimen at sustaining virologic suppression after 48 weeks, according to anews release on Wednesday.
ARTISTRY-2 returned similar outcomes: After 48 weeks, 1.3% of patients on BIC/LEN had HIV RNA levels exceeding or equal to a predetermined suppression threshold, as opposed to 1% of comparators on Biktarvy.
These data, analysts at Truist Securities said in a Wednesday note, “reinforce the durability of the company’s HIV franchise.” With BIC/LEN and other earlier-stage HIV assets, “we believe [Gilead’s] long-standing dominance in HIV leadership a likely path to continue long-term growth.”
Gilead in December 2025 said the ARTISTRY programwill form the basisof a regulatory submission for BIC/LEN. Truist expects that a market launch could happen in the back half of this year.
Also at CROI 2026 is Merck, which is developing a daily HIV pill combining its nucleoside analog islatravir with the non-nucleoside reverse transcriptase inhibitor doravirine (DOR/ISL). Phase 3 data presented Wednesday showed the drug wasnon-inferiorto Gilead’s Biktarvy, with viral suppression rates of 91.8% for Merck’s pill and 90.6% for Gilead’s drug at 48 weeks.
DOR/ISL maintained high levels of viral suppression at 96 weeks, though Merck did not perform statistical testing at this time point.
The FDA is currently reviewing DOR/ISL with a target action date of April 28, the pharma said on Wednesday. Results presented at CROI, according to analysts at RBC Capital Markets, make approval “likely.”
Still, if approved, DOR/ISL will only be an “incremental positive” for Merck, the analysts said, adding that it will continue to be overshadowed in the HIV space by Gilead. “Biktarvy has become the dominant standard-of-care in treatment-naïve patients,” they explained, adding that Merck’s presence in the space is nevertheless “significantly smaller” than Gilead’s “and share capture requires steep pricing discounts or heavy investment.”

Frequently Asked Questions

What are the new findings from Gilead's ARTISTRY studies?

Gilead's ARTISTRY studies showed that BIC/LEN maintained virologic suppression comparable to multi-tablet regimens after 48 weeks.

How does Merck's DOR/ISL compare to Gilead's Biktarvy?

Merck's DOR/ISL demonstrated a viral suppression rate of 91.8%, slightly higher than Biktarvy's 90.6% at 48 weeks.

When is the FDA expected to decide on DOR/ISL?

The FDA has a target action date of April 28 for the review of Merck's DOR/ISL.

What is the significance of the Phase 3 data presented?

The Phase 3 data reinforces the potential for both Gilead and Merck's HIV pills to enter the market successfully.

What challenges does Merck face in the HIV market?

Merck's DOR/ISL may only provide incremental benefits and faces strong competition from Gilead's established products.

Last updated: Feb 26, 2026