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Novartis Investigational H5N1 vaccine

Phase 3

Influenza, Human | Monoclonal antibody | Infectious Disease |Novartis AG|Last Updated: Nov 4, 2016

Success Probability
Approval Probability 71%
TA Base Rate26%
Adjusted LOA41%
ML RiskLOW_RISK
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Market & Valuation
rNPV $3.2B
Market Size $9.4B
Revenue Basis $1.6B
Competitors 6
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Trial Design
RandomizedDouble-BlindACTIVE_CONTROLLED
Total Trials1
Total Enrollment540
FDA Designations
No designations recorded
Clinical Trials (1)
NCT IDTitlePhaseStatusEnrollmentVelocityDesignStartCompletionLast UpdatedSitesCountries
NCT02091908Safety and Immunogenicity of Two Doses of aH5N1 Vaccine in Adult and Elderly Subjects With and Without Underlying Medical ConditionsPHASE3 COMPLETED 540Apr 1, 2014Apr 1, 2015Nov 4, 20166 Germany
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Study Endpoints
Primary Endpoints
Percentage of subjects achieving seroconversion
day 43

Seroconversion is defined as hemagglutination inhibition (HI) ≥1:40 for subjects who were seronegative at baseline \[day 1 HI titer \<1:10\] or a minimum 4-fold increase in HI titer for subjects who were seropositive at baseline \[day 1 HI titer ≥1:10\])

Geometric mean ratios (GMRs) as determined by HI assay
day 43
Percentage of subjects with an HI titer ≥1:40
day 43
Solicited and unsolicited adverse events
day 202

In pooled age groups 18 years of age and older subjects who are healthy or with underlying medical condition who have received aTIV or aH5N1 vaccine.

Secondary Endpoints
Geometric mean titers (GMTs) as determined by HI
day 1
Geometric mean ratios (GMRs) as determined by SRH
day 22
Percentage of subjects with an HI titer ≥1:40
day 22
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Study Design & Arms
AllocationRANDOMIZED
MaskingDOUBLE
ModelPARALLEL
PurposePREVENTION
Treatment Arms
ArmTypeDescription
Arm 1: aH5N1 adultEXPERIMENTALaH5N1 healthy and non-healthy adults
Arm 2: aH5N1 elderlyEXPERIMENTALaH5N1 healthy and non-healthy elderly
Arm 3: aTIV adultACTIVE_COMPARATORaTIV healthy and non-healthy adults
Arm 4: aTIV elderlyACTIVE_COMPARATORaTIV healthy and non-healthy elderly
Interventions
NameTypeDescription
Novartis Investigational H5N1 vaccineBIOLOGICAL2 doses of 0.5 ml, 3 weeks apart
Novartis Seasonal Influenza VaccineBIOLOGICAL2 doses of 0.5 ml, 3 weeks apart
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Eligibility Criteria
Age Range18 Years — N/A
SexALL
Healthy VolunteersYes
Study Sites6

Inclusion Criteria: * \- Male and female individuals 18 years of age and older at the time of enrollment who are mentally competent, willing and able to understand the nature and risks of the proposed study, and able to sign the consent form prior to study entry; * Individuals who are able to compl...

Countries:Germany
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