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Dabrafenib

Phase 3

Differentiated Thyroid Cancer (DTC) | Small molecule | Oncology |Novartis AG|Last Updated: Jun 4, 2026

Success Probability
Approval Probability 71%
TA Base Rate26%
Adjusted LOA41%
ML RiskLOW_RISK
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Market & Valuation
rNPV $3.2B
Market Size $9.4B
Revenue Basis $1.6B
Competitors 6
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Trial Design
RandomizedDouble-BlindPLACEBO_CONTROLLEDBiomarker
Total Trials1
Total Enrollment153
FDA Designations
No designations recorded
Clinical Trials (1)
NCT IDTitlePhaseStatusEnrollmentVelocityDesignStartCompletionLast UpdatedSitesCountries
NCT04940052Study of Efficacy and Safety of Dabrafenib in Combination With Trametinib in Previously Treated Patients With Metastatic, Radio-active Iodine Refractory BRAF V600E Mutation Positive Differentiated Thyroid CancerPHASE3 ACTIVE NOT_RECRUITING 153Nov 15, 2021May 17, 2027Jun 4, 202641 United States, Argentina +9
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Study Endpoints
Primary Endpoints
Progression Free Survival (PFS)
From randomization to first documented progression or deaths, whichever comes first, assessed up to approximately 3 years

Progression Free Survival (PFS) was defined as the time from the date of randomization to the date of the first documented progression according to RECIST 1.1 based on Blinded Independent Review Committee (BIRC) assessment, or death due to any cause. The primary analysis was conducted after all patients had either completed a minimum of 16 weeks of treatment or discontinued earlier, and following the occurrence of approximately 95 PFS events (Data cut-off date for the primary analysis was 22 January 2025).

Secondary Endpoints
Overall Response Rate (ORR)
From randomization assessed through Primary Analysis Cut-off date (approximately 3 years)
Overall Survival (OS)
From randomization to death assessed up to approximately 5 years
Duration of Response (DOR)
From the first documented complete or partial response to the first documented progression or death, assessed up to Primary Analysis Cut-off date (approximately 3 years)
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Study Design & Arms
AllocationRANDOMIZED
MaskingQUADRUPLE
ModelCROSSOVER
PurposeTREATMENT
Treatment Arms
ArmTypeDescription
Dabrafenib plus TrametinibEXPERIMENTALEligible participants will receive Dabrafenib 150 mg twice a day (BID) and Trametinib 2 mg once a day (QD) until disease progression as per RECIST 1.1 as confirmed by blinded independent review committee (BIRC), unacceptable toxicity, pregnancy, loss of clinical benefit as determined by the investigator, withdrawal of consent, lost to follow-up, death, or study termination by the sponsor.
Dabrafenib Placebo plus Trametinib PlaceboPLACEBO_COMPARATOREligible participants will receive matching placebo for Dabrafenib 150 mg twice a day (BID) and matching placebo for Trametinib 2 mg once a day (QD) until disease progression as per RECIST 1.1 as confirmed by blinded independent review committee (BIRC), unacceptable toxicity, pregnancy, loss of clinical benefit as determined by the investigator, withdrawal of consent, lost to follow-up, death, or study termination by the sponsor.
Interventions
NameTypeDescription
DabrafenibDRUGDabrafenib 150 mg capsule administered orally twice a day (BID)
TrametinibDRUGTrametinib 2 mg tablet administered once a day (QD)
Trametinib PlaceboDRUGmatching placebo tablet for Trametinib 2 mg will be administered orally once a day (QD)
Dabrafenib placeboDRUGmatching placebo capsule for Dabrafenib 150 mg will be administered orally twice a day (BID)
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Eligibility Criteria
Age Range18 Years — 99 Years
SexALL
Healthy VolunteersNo
Study Sites41

Key Inclusion Criteria: * Signed informed consent * Male or female ≥ 18 years of age at time of informed consent * Histologically or cytologically confirmed diagnosis of advanced/metastatic differentiated thyroid carcinoma * Radioactive-iodine refractory disease * BRAF V600E mutation-positive tumor...

Countries:United StatesArgentinaBrazilCanadaChinaIndiaMalaysiaSouth KoreaTaiwanTurkey (Türkiye)Vietnam
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Recent Changes (Last 90 Days)
LOWJun 4, 2026NCT04940052lastUpdatePostDate: changed
LOWJun 4, 2026NCT04940052lastUpdatePostDate: changed
LOWJun 4, 2026NCT04940052lastUpdatePostDate: changed
LOWJun 4, 2026NCT04940052lastUpdatePostDate: changed
LOWMay 26, 2026NCT04940052primaryCompletionDate: changed
LOWMay 24, 2026NCT04940052studyFirstPostDate: changed