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BAF312

Phase 3

Secondary Progressive Multiple Sclerosis | Small molecule | Immunology |Novartis AG|Last Updated: Jun 5, 2024

Success Probability
Approval Probability 71%
TA Base Rate26%
Adjusted LOA41%
ML RiskLOW_RISK
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Market & Valuation
rNPV $3.2B
Market Size $9.4B
Revenue Basis $1.6B
Competitors 6
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Trial Design
RandomizedDouble-BlindPLACEBO_CONTROLLED
Total Trials1
Total Enrollment1,651
FDA Designations
No designations recorded
Clinical Trials (1)
NCT IDTitlePhaseStatusEnrollmentVelocityDesignStartCompletionLast UpdatedSitesCountries
NCT01665144Exploring the Efficacy and Safety of Siponimod in Patients With Secondary Progressive Multiple Sclerosis (EXPAND)PHASE3 COMPLETED 1,651Dec 20, 2012Mar 31, 2023Jun 5, 2024290 United States, Argentina +29
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Study Endpoints
Primary Endpoints
Percentage of Participants With 3-month Confirmed Disability Progression (CDP) Events as Measured by the Expanded Disability Status Scale (EDSS)
Baseline, every 3 month up to the maximum of approximately 3 years

The EDSS uses an ordinal scale to assess neurologic impairment in MS based on a neurological examination. Scores in each of 7 functional systems (Visual, Brain Stem, Pyramidal, Cerebellar, Sensory, Bowel \& Bladder, and Cerebral) and an ambulation score were combined to determine the EDSS steps, ranging from 0 (normal) to 10 (death due to MS). 3-month confirmed disability progression is defined as an increase of score of 1 point in patients with baseline score of 3.0 to 5.0 and 0.5 point increase with baseline score of 5.5 to 6.5 sustained for at least 3 months.

Secondary Endpoints
Percentage of Participants With 3-month Confirmed Worsening in T25W of at Least 20% From Baseline
Baseline, every 3 months up to the maximum of approximately 3 years
Change From Baseline in T2 Lesion Volume
Baseline, Month 12 and Month 24
Percentage of Participants With 6-month Confirmed Disability Progression (CDP) Events as Measured by the Expanded Disability Status Scale (EDSS)
Baseline, every 3 months up to the maximum of approximately 3 years
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Study Design & Arms
AllocationRANDOMIZED
MaskingDOUBLE
ModelPARALLEL
PurposeTREATMENT
Treatment Arms
ArmTypeDescription
Siponimod (BAF312)EXPERIMENTALParticipants started on Day 1 and were uptitrated from 0.25 mg to 2 mg of BAF312 orally over a period of 6 days. After Day 7, participants continued on the treatment epoch for 3 months. During the Core Part of the study, participants participated in a maximum of 3 epochs. Following the Core Part, eligible patients enter the Extension Part during which all receive open-label BAF312.
PlaceboPLACEBO_COMPARATORMatching placebo to BAF312 was administered orally during the Core Part of the trial. Following the Core Part, eligible participants enter the Extension Part during which all receive open-label BAF312.
Interventions
NameTypeDescription
BAF312DRUG0.25, 0.5, 1, and 2 mg film-coated tablets
PlaceboDRUGFilm-coated tablets
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Eligibility Criteria
Age Range18 Years — 60 Years
SexALL
Healthy VolunteersNo
Study Sites290

Inclusion Criteria: * Prior history of relapsing remitting MS * SPMS defined as progressive increase of disability over at least 6 months * EDSS score of 3.0 to 6.5 * No relapse of corticosteroid treatment within 3 months Exclusion Criteria: * Women of child bearing potential must use reliable fo...

Countries:United StatesArgentinaAustraliaAustriaBelgiumBulgariaCanadaChinaCzechiaEstoniaFranceGermanyGreeceHungaryIrelandIsraelItalyJapanLatviaLithuaniaNetherlandsPolandPortugalRomaniaRussiaSlovakiaSpainSwedenSwitzerlandTurkey (Türkiye)United Kingdom
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