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mFOLFOX6 3-6 month

Phase 2

Stage III Colon Cancer | Small molecule | Oncology |Natera, Inc.|Last Updated: Jun 3, 2026

Success Probability
Approval Probability 71%
TA Base Rate26%
Adjusted LOA41%
ML RiskLOW_RISK
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Market & Valuation
rNPV $3.2B
Market Size $9.4B
Revenue Basis $1.6B
Competitors 6
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Trial Design
RandomizedACTIVE_CONTROLLEDDMCBiomarker
Total Trials1
Total Enrollment1,912
FDA Designations
No designations recorded
Clinical Trials (1)
NCT IDTitlePhaseStatusEnrollmentVelocityDesignStartCompletionLast UpdatedSitesCountries
NCT05174169Colon Adjuvant Chemotherapy Based on Evaluation of Residual DiseasePHASE2 RECRUITING 1,912Jul 8, 2022Mar 10, 2030Jun 3, 20261061 United States, Canada +1
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Study Endpoints
Primary Endpoints
ctDNA positive status (TTPos)
Time from randomization to the first TTPos event, a maximum of 3 years

TTPos is defined as time from randomization until ctDNA positive event: TTPos events are first ctDNA positive result after randomization for the immediate adjuvant chemo arm (Arm 1), 2nd ctDNA positive result after randomization for the delayed adjuvant chemo (Arm 2) and recurrence without a positive ctDNA result for both arms.

Disease-Free Survival (DFS)
Time from randomization to disease-free survival event, a maximum of 5 years]

Time from randomization to first disease-free survival event (recurrence, second primary colorectal cancer or death from any cause).

Secondary Endpoints
Baseline post-surgery ctDNA positivity rate
At time of randomization
Overall Survival (OS)
Time from randomization to death, a maximum of 5 years.
Recurrence
Time from randomization to disease recurrence, a maximum of 5 years
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Study Design & Arms
AllocationRANDOMIZED
MaskingNONE
ModelPARALLEL
PurposeTREATMENT
Treatment Arms
ArmTypeDescription
Cohort A - Arm 1 (ctDNA-ve)ACTIVE_COMPARATOROxaliplatin 85 mg/m2 IV + Leucovorin 400mg/m2 IV + 5-Fluorouracil (5-FU) 400mg/m2 bolus + 5-Fluorouracil (5-FU) 2400mg/m2 IV continuous infusion over 46-48 hours (total dose) Day1 every 2 weeks for 6-12 cycles OR Oxaliplatin 130 mg/m2 IV Day 1 every 3 weeks + Capecitabine 1000 mg/m2 BID by mouth days 1-14 every 3 weeks for 4 cycles
Cohort A - Arm 2 (ctDNA-ve)EXPERIMENTALSerial ctDNA monitoring no treatment
Cohort B - Arm 3 (ctDNA+ve)ACTIVE_COMPARATOROxaliplatin 85 mg/m2 IV + Leucovorin 400mg/m2 IV + 5-Fluorouracil (5-FU) 400mg/m2 bolus + 5-Fluorouracil (5-FU) 2400mg/m2 IV continuous infusion over 46-48 hours (total dose) Day1 every 2 weeks for 12 cycles OR Oxaliplatin 130 mg/m2 IV Day 1 every 3 weeks + Capecitabine 1000 mg/m2 BID by mouth days 1-14 every 3 weeks for 8 cycles
Cohort B - Arm 4 (ctDNA+ve)EXPERIMENTALOxaliplatin 85 mg/m2 IV + Leucovorin 400mg/m2 IV + Irinotecan 150 mg/m2 IV continuous infusion (30-90 minutes) + 5-Fluorouracil (5-FU) 2400mg/m2 IV continuous infusion over 46-48 hours (total dose) Day1 every 2 weeks for 12 cycles
Interventions
NameTypeDescription
Signatera testDEVICECentral ctDNA testing for all patients
mFOLFOX6 3-6 monthDRUGOxaliplatin 85 mg/m2 IV + Leucovorin 400mg/m2 IV + 5-Fluorouracil (5-FU) 400mg/m2 bolus + 5-Fluorouracil (5-FU) 2400mg/m2 IV continuous infusion over 46-48 hours (total dose) Day1 every 2 weeks for 6-12 cycles
CAPOX 3 monthDRUGOxaliplatin 130 mg/m2 IV Day 1 every 3 weeks + Capecitabine 1000 mg/m2 BID by mouth days 1-14 every 3 weeks for 4 cycles
mFOLFIRINOXDRUGOxaliplatin 85 mg/m2 IV + Leucovorin 400mg/m2 IV + Irinotecan 150 mg/m2 IV continuous infusion (30-90 minutes) + 5-Fluorouracil (5-FU) 2400mg/m2 IV continuous infusion over 46-48 hours (total dose) Day1 every 2 weeks for 12 cycles
mFOLFOX6 6 monthDRUGOxaliplatin 85 mg/m2 IV + Leucovorin 400mg/m2 IV + 5-Fluorouracil (5-FU) 400mg/m2 bolus + 5-Fluorouracil (5-FU) 2400mg/m2 IV continuous infusion over 46-48 hours (total dose) Day1 every 2 weeks for 12 cycles
CAPOX 6 monthDRUGOxaliplatin 130 mg/m2 IV Day 1 every 3 weeks + Capecitabine 1000 mg/m2 BID by mouth days 1-14 every 3 weeks for 8 cycles
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Eligibility Criteria
Age Range18 Years — N/A
SexALL
Healthy VolunteersNo
Study Sites1061

Inclusion Criteria: The patient must have an ECOG performance status of 0 or 1. Patients must have histologically/pathologically confirmed Stage IIB, IIC, or Stage III colon adenocarcinoma with R0 resection according to AJCC 8th edition criteria. No radiographic evidence of overt metastatic disea...

Countries:United StatesCanadaPuerto Rico
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Recent Changes (Last 90 Days)
LOWJun 4, 2026NCT05174169lastUpdatePostDate: changed
LOWJun 4, 2026NCT05174169lastUpdatePostDate: changed
LOWJun 4, 2026NCT05174169lastUpdatePostDate: changed
LOWJun 4, 2026NCT05174169lastUpdatePostDate: changed
LOWJun 4, 2026NCT05174169lastUpdatePostDate: changed
LOWMay 26, 2026NCT05174169primaryCompletionDate: changed
LOWMay 24, 2026NCT05174169studyFirstPostDate: changed