Recent Updates
Recently added Catalysts

Atezolizumab

Phase 3

Muscle-invasive Bladder Cancer | Small molecule | Oncology |Natera, Inc.|Last Updated: Mar 27, 2026

Success Probability
Approval Probability 71%
TA Base Rate26%
Adjusted LOA41%
ML RiskLOW_RISK
Premium
Market & Valuation
rNPV $3.2B
Market Size $9.4B
Revenue Basis $1.6B
Competitors 6
Premium
Trial Design
RandomizedDouble-BlindPLACEBO_CONTROLLEDBiomarker
Total Trials1
Total Enrollment761
FDA Designations
No designations recorded
Clinical Trials (1)
NCT IDTitlePhaseStatusEnrollmentVelocityDesignStartCompletionLast UpdatedSitesCountries
NCT04660344A Study of Atezolizumab Versus Placebo as Adjuvant Therapy in Participants With High-risk Muscle-invasive Bladder Cancer (MIBC) Who Are ctDNA Positive Following CystectomyPHASE3 ACTIVE NOT_RECRUITING 761May 3, 2021Oct 1, 2026Mar 27, 2026148 United States, Argentina +22
Unlock Drug Trial Details
Study Endpoints
Primary Endpoints
Investigator-assessed (INV) - Disease-free Survival (DFS)
Randomization up to first occurrence of DFS event (up to approximately 49 months)

INV-DFS, defined as the time from randomization to the first occurrence of a DFS event, defined as any of the following: * Local (pelvic) recurrence of urothelial carcinoma (UC) (including soft tissue and regional lymph nodes); * Urinary tract recurrence of UC (including all pathological stages and grades); * Distant metastasis of UC; * Death from any cause.

Secondary Endpoints
Overall survival (OS)
Randomization up to death from any cause (up to approximately 6 years)
Independent Review Facility (IRF)-assessed DFS
Randomization up to first occurrence of DFS event (up to approximately 49 months)
INV Disease-specific Survival (DSS)
Randomization to death from UC (up to approximately 6 years)
Unlock Study Endpoints
Study Design & Arms
AllocationRANDOMIZED
MaskingDOUBLE
ModelPARALLEL
PurposeTREATMENT
Treatment Arms
ArmTypeDescription
Arm A: AtezolizumabEXPERIMENTALAtezolizumab will be administered intravenously (IV) at a dose of 1680 milligrams (mg) on Day 1 of each 28-day cycle for 12 cycles or up to 1 year (whichever occurs first). Atezolizumab will be discontinued in the event of disease recurrence, unacceptable toxicity, withdrawal of consent, or study termination by the Sponsor.
Arm B: PlaceboPLACEBO_COMPARATORPlacebo will be administered IV on Day 1 of each 28-day cycle. Placebo will be discontinued in the event of disease recurrence, unacceptable toxicity, withdrawal of consent, or study termination by the Sponsor. Following the primary analysis, participants randomized to the comparator arm might discontinue placebo and may receive treatment outside the study at the investigator's discretion.
Arm C: Surveillance Follow-UpEXPERIMENTALParticipants who remain ctDNA negative at 12 months from the date of cystectomy will not be randomized to treatment and will enter surveillance follow-up.
Interventions
NameTypeDescription
AtezolizumabDRUGctDNA positive participants will receive 1680 mg IV, every 4 weeks (Q4W) on Day 1 of each 28-day cycle.
PlaceboOTHERctDNA positive participants will receive placebo IV, Q4W on Day 1 of each 28-day cycle
SignateraDEVICESignatera will be used to evaluate whether ctDNA is detected during serial monitoring of peripheral blood samples for participants enrolled in surveillance. Participants with a ctDNA positive result will be screened for inclusion in the treatment phase. Participants who remain ctDNA negative at 12 months from the date of cystectomy will not be randomized to treatment and will enter surveillance follow-up.
Unlock Study Design Details
Eligibility Criteria
Age Range18 Years — N/A
SexALL
Healthy VolunteersNo
Study Sites148

Inclusion Criteria: Inclusion Criteria for the Surveillance Phase: * Histologically confirmed MIUC (also termed transitional cell carcinoma \[TCC\]) of the bladder * Tumor, nodes, and metastases (TNM) classification (based on American Joint Committee on Cancer \[AJCC\] Cancer Staging Manual, 8th E...

Countries:United StatesArgentinaBelgiumBrazilChinaColombiaCzechiaFranceGermanyGreeceHong KongIrelandIsraelItalyJapanMexicoPolandRussiaSingaporeSouth KoreaSpainTurkey (Türkiye)UkraineUnited Kingdom
Unlock Eligibility Criteria
Recent Changes (Last 90 Days)
MEDIUMMay 26, 2026NCT04660344primaryCompletionDate: changed
LOWMay 24, 2026NCT04660344studyFirstPostDate: changed