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Nicotine patch

Phase 3

Nicotine Dependence | Small molecule | Other |Jasper Therapeutics, Inc.|Last Updated: May 15, 2026

Success Probability
Approval Probability 71%
TA Base Rate26%
Adjusted LOA41%
ML RiskLOW_RISK
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Market & Valuation
rNPV $3.2B
Market Size $9.4B
Revenue Basis $1.6B
Competitors 6
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Trial Design
RandomizedACTIVE_CONTROLLEDDMCBiomarker
Total Trials1
Total Enrollment360
FDA Designations
No designations recorded
Clinical Trials (1)
NCT IDTitlePhaseStatusEnrollmentVelocityDesignStartCompletionLast UpdatedSitesCountries
NCT06053567Community-based Smoking Cessation Treatment for Adults With High Stress Sensitivity.PHASE3 RECRUITING 360Dec 27, 2023Jun 30, 2029May 15, 20261 United States
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Study Endpoints
Primary Endpoints
7-day point prevalence abstinence (PPA) at 6-month follow-up
Protocol week 30, which is 24 weeks (6 months) after the quit attempt (set at week 6)

Self-report of no smoking (not even a puff) during the previous 7 days, verified by expired carbon monoxide (CO; ≤5ppm), saliva cotinine (\<30 ng/mL), or significant other, and not invalidated by any of these verification measures. Failure to provide any of these 3 verification measures will result in PPA being considered missing.

Secondary Endpoints
7-day point prevalence abstinence (PPA) at 12-month follow-up
Protocol week 54, which is 48 weeks (12 months) after the quit attempt (set at week 6)
7-day point prevalence abstinence (PPA) at 9-month follow-up
Protocol week 42, which is 36 weeks (9 months) after the quit attempt (set at week 6)
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Study Design & Arms
AllocationRANDOMIZED
MaskingNONE
ModelPARALLEL
PurposeTREATMENT
Treatment Arms
ArmTypeDescription
High-Intensity Aerobic ExerciseEXPERIMENTALParticipants assigned to this arm will be instructed to complete 75 minutes per week of aerobic training at 60-85% of the their heart rate reserve.
Low-Intensity Aerobic ExerciseACTIVE_COMPARATORParticipants assigned to this arm will be instructed to complete 75 minutes per week of aerobic training at 20-40% of the their heart rate reserve.
Interventions
NameTypeDescription
Aerobic ExerciseBEHAVIORALParticipants will select a YMCA branch and will be assigned a personal fitness instructor who will oversee a 15-week exercise intervention. The weekly exercise prescription is 75 minutes of aerobic training.
CounselingBEHAVIORALParticipants will receive the standard tobacco cessation package of up to 5 proactive interactions from the Texas Tobacco Quitline (TTQ). Interactions are typically phone calls, but can be chat or live text if the participant prefers. Interaction 1 is for assessment and quit date planning, Interaction 2 occurs prior to the quit date and can be a group session, Interaction 3 occurs shortly following the quit date, and Interactions 4 and 5 are for relapse prevention if the smoker has quit or problem solving if they have not quit. TTQ also offers a tobacco cessation text messaging program and access to a web portal with a variety of cessation resources.
Nicotine patchDRUGOn the target quit day (week 6), participants will be provided 8 weeks of nicotine replacement therapy (24-hour transdermal nicotine patches \[TNP\]).
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Eligibility Criteria
Age Range18 Years — N/A
SexALL
Healthy VolunteersYes
Study Sites1

Inclusion Criteria: * Adult (age ≥ 18); * High Anxiety Sensitivity (≥5 on the Short Scale Anxiety Sensitivity Index \[SSASI\]); * Daily smoker, ≥5 cigarettes (including e-cigarettes, little cigars/cigarillos) for ≥1 year; * Motivated to quit smoking as evidenced by a score of ≥5 on a 0-10 Likert sc...

Countries:United States
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Recent Changes (Last 90 Days)
MEDIUMMay 26, 2026NCT06053567primaryCompletionDate: changed
LOWMay 24, 2026NCT06053567studyFirstPostDate: changed