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Ribociclib

Phase 3

Breast Cancer Female | Small molecule | Oncology |Exact Sciences Corporation|Last Updated: Aug 26, 2025

Success Probability
Approval Probability 71%
TA Base Rate26%
Adjusted LOA41%
ML RiskLOW_RISK
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Market & Valuation
rNPV $3.2B
Market Size $9.4B
Revenue Basis $1.6B
Competitors 6
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Trial Design
RandomizedNO_TREATMENT_CONTROLLEDDMCBiomarker
Total Trials1
Total Enrollment1,684
FDA Designations
No designations recorded
Clinical Trials (1)
NCT IDTitlePhaseStatusEnrollmentVelocityDesignStartCompletionLast UpdatedSitesCountries
NCT04055493Adj. Marker-adjusted Personalized Therapy Comparing ET+Ribociclib vs Chemotherapy in Intermediate Risk, HR+/HER2- EBCPHASE3 ACTIVE NOT_RECRUITING 1,684Jul 2, 2019Jul 31, 2027Aug 26, 202586 Germany
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Study Endpoints
Primary Endpoints
invasive disease-free survival (iDFS)
at end of study, on average 5 years after start of treatment

superiority in invasive disease-free survival (iDFS) of ribociclib + ET vs. standard-of-care chemotherapy

distant disease-free survival (dDFS)
at end of study, on average 5 years after start of treatment

distant disease-free survival (dDFS) in the ribociclib + ET-group to demonstrate survival rate \>92%

Secondary Endpoints
overall survival (OS) 95 % CI
at end of study, on average 5 years after start of treatment
distant disease-free survival (dDFS) 95 % CI
at end of study, on average 5 years after start of treatment
QoL
at end of study, on average 5 years after start of treatment
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Study Design & Arms
AllocationRANDOMIZED
MaskingNONE
ModelPARALLEL
PurposeTREATMENT
Treatment Arms
ArmTypeDescription
Ribociclib plus ETEXPERIMENTALRibociclib 600mg / day over 26 cycles + endocrine treatment of physician´s choice
Standard-of-care chemotherapyNO_INTERVENTIONStandard-of-care chemotherapy according to the clinical guidelines, e.g., of the Breast Committee of the German Gynecological Oncology Group (AGO), and regional prescribing information depending on patient's needs for 16-24 weeks,
Interventions
NameTypeDescription
Ribociclib 200Mg Oral TabletDRUG3 x 200 MG per os
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Eligibility Criteria
Age Range18 Years — N/A
SexFEMALE
Healthy VolunteersNo
Study Sites86

Inclusion Criteria: Patients eligible for inclusion in this study have to meet all of the following criteria: A. Prior to REGISTRATION in the study: 1\. Written informed consent prior to any screening procedures. 2. Female. 3. ≥ 18 years of age. 4a. EITHER: (Post)menopausal status at the time of ...

Countries:Germany
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Recent Changes (Last 90 Days)
LOWMay 24, 2026NCT04055493studyFirstPostDate: changed