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Progesterone

Phase 1

Pre Term Birth | Small molecule | Other |Dare Bioscience, Inc.|Last Updated: May 8, 2026

Success Probability
Approval Probability 71%
TA Base Rate26%
Adjusted LOA41%
ML RiskLOW_RISK
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Market & Valuation
rNPV $3.2B
Market Size $9.4B
Revenue Basis $1.6B
Competitors 6
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Trial Design
ACTIVE_CONTROLLEDBiomarker
Total Trials1
Total Enrollment60
FDA Designations
No designations recorded
Clinical Trials (1)
NCT IDTitlePhaseStatusEnrollmentVelocityDesignStartCompletionLast UpdatedSitesCountries
NCT06668896Comparing the Pharmacokinetics of a Progesterone Ring Versus a Progesterone Vaginal InsertPHASE1 NOT YET_RECRUITING 60Sep 1, 2026Apr 1, 2028May 8, 2026 -
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Study Endpoints
Primary Endpoints
Systemic pharmacokinetics of progesterone, Concentration over 24 hours
14 days

Describe the concentration of progesterone (P4) in blood prior to, during and after 24 hours of DARE-PTB1 IVR (8mg and 12mg) over 14 days of use.

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Study Design & Arms
AllocationNON_RANDOMIZED
MaskingNONE
ModelPARALLEL
PurposeTREATMENT
Treatment Arms
ArmTypeDescription
DARE-PTB1 8mg IVREXPERIMENTALIntravaginal ring containing 8mg progesterone administered once for 14 days.
DARE-PTB1 12mg IVREXPERIMENTALIntravaginal ring containing 12mg progesterone administered once for 14 days.
DARE-PTB1 12mg IVR every 3 daysEXPERIMENTALIntravaginal ring containing 12mg progesterone administered every 3 days for 15 days.
Endometrin 100mgACTIVE_COMPARATOR100mg progesterone vaginal insert, three times daily for 14 days.
Interventions
NameTypeDescription
ProgesteroneDRUGEach arm will administer different amounts of progesterone vaginally (8mg to 100mg) over a 14-15 day time period.
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Eligibility Criteria
Age Range40 Years — 65 Years
SexFEMALE
Healthy VolunteersYes

Inclusion Criteria: * Individuals assigned female at birth who are post-menopausal, women 40 to 65 years of age, inclusive. Postmenopausal is defined as 6-months of spontaneous amenorrhea with serum FSH levels \> 40 mIU/mL (if not taking systemic hormone therapy) or 6 weeks postsurgical bilateral o...

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Recent Changes (Last 90 Days)
MEDIUMMay 26, 2026NCT06668896primaryCompletionDate: changed
LOWMay 24, 2026NCT06668896studyFirstPostDate: changed