Recent Updates
Recently added Catalysts

Varicella Zoster Vaccine

Phase 2

Herpes Zoster | Monoclonal antibody | Infectious Disease |Bristol-Myers Squibb Company|Last Updated: May 6, 2026

Success Probability
Approval Probability 71%
TA Base Rate26%
Adjusted LOA41%
ML RiskLOW_RISK
Premium
Market & Valuation
rNPV $3.2B
Market Size $9.4B
Revenue Basis $1.6B
Competitors 6
Premium
Trial Design
RandomizedDouble-BlindPLACEBO_CONTROLLEDDMCBiomarker
Total Trials1
Total Enrollment154
FDA Designations
No designations recorded
Clinical Trials (1)
NCT IDTitlePhaseStatusEnrollmentVelocityDesignStartCompletionLast UpdatedSitesCountries
NCT03604406The Immunogenicity and Safety of Zostavax® and Shingrix® in Rheumatoid Arthritis Patients Using AbataceptPHASE2 COMPLETED 154May 8, 2014Jan 12, 2026May 6, 20265 United States
Unlock Drug Trial Details
Study Endpoints
Primary Endpoints
Change in ELISPOT response from baseline to week 6, and one year post vaccination
1) Baseline visit prior to vaccination; 2) 6 weeks post-vaccination; 3) 1 year post-vaccination

Surrogate measures of vaccine efficacy will be performed on all patients using samples collected at baseline prior to vaccination, and subsequently at 6 weeks, and one year post vaccination. These measures will include: a. Frequency of VZV-specific T cells as measured by interferon-gamma ELISPOT assay. Changes in these outcome measures will be evaluated using geometric means and percentage increases in geometric means of (a) VZV-specific reactive lymphocytes.

Change in IgG titer from baseline to week 6, and one year post vaccination
1) Baseline visit prior to vaccination; 2) 6 weeks post-vaccination; 3) 1 year post-vaccination

Surrogate measures of vaccine efficacy will be performed on all patients using samples collected at baseline prior to vaccination, and subsequently at 6 weeks, and one year post vaccination. These measures will include: b. VZVgp-specific IgG titer as measured by ELISA Changes in these outcome measures will be evaluated using geometric means and percentage increases in geometric means of (b) VZV antibody titers in vaccine recipients as compared to placebo, as well as relative to baseline measures prior to vaccination.

Secondary Endpoints
Development of Varicella Zoster Virus
Within 42 days of vaccination
Unlock Study Endpoints
Study Design & Arms
AllocationRANDOMIZED
MaskingQUADRUPLE
ModelPARALLEL
PurposePREVENTION
Treatment Arms
ArmTypeDescription
Varicella Zoster Vaccine (Zostavax)EXPERIMENTALLive zoster vaccine injection will be administered as a single 0.65-mL dose subcutaneously in the deltoid region of the upper arm at the baseline visit
Placebo Injection (Zostavax Comparator)PLACEBO_COMPARATORSaline injection will be administered as a single 0.65-mL dose subcutaneously in the deltoid region of the upper arm at the baseline visit
Varicella Zoster Vaccine (Shingrix)EXPERIMENTALNon-live zoster vaccine injection will be administered twice, 8 weeks apart, as a single 0.65-mL dose subcutaneously in the deltoid region of the upper arm at the baseline visit
Placebo Injection (Shingrix Comparator)PLACEBO_COMPARATORSaline injection will be administered twice, 8 weeks apart, as a single 0.65-mL dose subcutaneously in the deltoid region of the upper arm at the baseline visit
Interventions
NameTypeDescription
Varicella Zoster VaccineBIOLOGICALlive-attenuated vaccine to prevent herpes zoster
Placebo InjectionOTHERSaline solution injection
Unlock Study Design Details
Eligibility Criteria
Age Range18 Years — N/A
SexALL
Healthy VolunteersNo
Study Sites5

Inclusion criteria include: * be \>= 50 years of age or older (for the Zostavax® sub-study only) * be \>= 18 years of age or older (for the Shingrix® sub-study only) * be currently treated with abatacept therapy at the time of enrollment * Eligible women must be post-menopausal (\> 1 year since las...

Countries:United States
Unlock Eligibility Criteria
Recent Changes (Last 90 Days)
MEDIUMJun 6, 2026NCT03604406TRIAL_REMOVED: changed
MEDIUMJun 6, 2026NCT03604406TRIAL_REMOVED: changed
MEDIUMJun 6, 2026NCT03604406TRIAL_REMOVED: changed
MEDIUMJun 6, 2026NCT03604406TRIAL_REMOVED: changed
MEDIUMJun 6, 2026NCT03604406TRIAL_REMOVED: changed
MEDIUMJun 6, 2026NCT03604406TRIAL_REMOVED: changed
LOWMay 24, 2026NCT03604406studyFirstPostDate: changed