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FID 123320

Phase 3

Ocular Redness | Small molecule | Other |Alcon Inc.|Last Updated: Jan 22, 2026

Success Probability
Approval Probability 71%
TA Base Rate26%
Adjusted LOA41%
ML RiskLOW_RISK
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Market & Valuation
rNPV $3.2B
Market Size $9.4B
Revenue Basis $1.6B
Competitors 6
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Trial Design
RandomizedDouble-BlindPLACEBO_CONTROLLEDBiomarker
Total Trials1
Total Enrollment283
FDA Designations
No designations recorded
Clinical Trials (1)
NCT IDTitlePhaseStatusEnrollmentVelocityDesignStartCompletionLast UpdatedSitesCountries
NCT06538662An Investigation of FID 123320 for the Reduction of Ocular Redness in Pediatric and Adult PopulationsPHASE3 COMPLETED 283Oct 7, 2024Apr 3, 2025Jan 22, 202610 United States
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Study Endpoints
Primary Endpoints
Mean change from baseline in investigator-assessed ocular redness at 15 minutes post-instillation on Day 1 (Visit 2) - Adult Cohort
Day 1 (Visit 2) pre-instillation; Day 1 (Visit 2) at 15 minutes post-instillation

Ocular redness will be assessed by the investigator using a 0-4 unit ocular hyperemia scale. This is a co-primary endpoint.

Mean change from baseline in investigator-assessed ocular redness at 10 hours (600 minutes) post-instillation on Day 1 (Visit 2) - Adult Cohort
Day 1 (Visit 2) pre-instillation; Day 1 (Visit 2) at 10 hours (600 minutes) post-instillation

Ocular redness will be assessed by the investigator using a 0-4 unit ocular hyperemia scale. This is a co-primary endpoint.

Mean change from baseline in investigator-assessed ocular redness at 1 hour (60 minutes) post-instillation on Day 1 (Visit 2) - Pediatric Cohort (12-17 years)
Day 1 (Visit 2) pre-instillation; Day 1 (Visit 2) at 1 hour (60 minutes) post-instillation

Ocular redness will be assessed by the investigator using a 0-4 unit ocular hyperemia scale.

Secondary Endpoints
Mean change from baseline in the investigator-assessed ocular redness at 1 minute post-instillation on Day 1 (Visit 2) - Adult Cohort
Day 1 (Visit 2) pre-instillation; Day 1 (Visit 2) at 1 minute post-instillation
Mean change from baseline in the investigator-assessed ocular redness at 8 hours (480 minutes) post-instillation on Day 1 (Visit 2) - Adult Cohort
Day 1 (Visit 2) pre-instillation; Day 1 (Visit 2) at 8 hours (480 minutes) post-instillation
Mean change from baseline in the investigator-assessed ocular redness at 12 hours (720 minutes) post-instillation on Day 1 (Visit 2) - Adult Cohort
Day 1 (Visit 2) pre-instillation; Day 1 (Visit 2) at 12 hours (720 minutes) post-instillation
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Study Design & Arms
AllocationRANDOMIZED
MaskingDOUBLE
ModelPARALLEL
PurposeTREATMENT
Treatment Arms
ArmTypeDescription
FID 123320 Ophthalmic Solution - Adult CohortEXPERIMENTAL1 drop instilled in each eye at Visit 2 (Day 1), followed by one drop instilled in each eye twice a day (approximately 12 hours apart) Day 2 up to Visit 5 (Day 56), followed by 1 drop instilled in each eye at Visit 5 (Day 56).
Vehicle - Adult CohortPLACEBO_COMPARATOR1 drop instilled in each eye at Visit 2 (Day 1), followed by one drop instilled in each eye twice a day (approximately 12 hours apart) Day 2 up to Visit 5 (Day 56), followed by 1 drop instilled in each eye at Visit 5 (Day 56).
FID 123320 Ophthalmic Solution - Pediatric CohortEXPERIMENTAL1 drop instilled in each eye at Visit 2 (Day 1), followed by one drop instilled in each eye twice a day (approximately 12 hours apart) Day 2 up to Visit 5 (Day 56), followed by 1 drop instilled in each eye at Visit 5 (Day 56).
Vehicle - Pediatric CohortPLACEBO_COMPARATOR1 drop instilled in each eye at Visit 2 (Day 1), followed by one drop instilled in each eye twice a day (approximately 12 hours apart) Day 2 up to Visit 5 (Day 56), followed by 1 drop instilled in each eye at Visit 5 (Day 56).
Interventions
NameTypeDescription
FID 123320 Ophthalmic SolutionDRUGInvestigational sterile aqueous solution
VehicleDRUGFID 123320 Ophthalmic Solution inactive ingredients
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Eligibility Criteria
Age Range5 Years — N/A
SexALL
Healthy VolunteersNo
Study Sites10

Key Inclusion Criteria - Adult Cohort: * Capable of giving signed informed consent; * Willing and able to follow all instructions and attend all study visits; * Able to self-administer eye drops in the opinion of the investigator; * Have a history of vasoconstrictor (redness relief drop) use within...

Countries:United States
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