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Semaglutide Pen Injector

Phase 2

NAFLD | Small molecule | Metabolic |Novo Nordisk A/S|Last Updated: Jun 4, 2026

Success Probability
Approval Probability 71%
TA Base Rate26%
Adjusted LOA41%
ML RiskLOW_RISK
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Market & Valuation
rNPV $3.2B
Market Size $9.4B
Revenue Basis $1.6B
Competitors 6
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Trial Design
RandomizedDouble-BlindPLACEBO_CONTROLLEDDMCBiomarker
Total Trials1
Total Enrollment50
FDA Designations
No designations recorded
Clinical Trials (1)
NCT IDTitlePhaseStatusEnrollmentVelocityDesignStartCompletionLast UpdatedSitesCountries
NCT05424003Randomized Double Blinded Placebo-Controlled w/Semaglutide to Prevent Weight Gain After Liver TransplantPHASE2 RECRUITING 50Feb 22, 2024Aug 1, 2026Jun 4, 20261 United States
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Study Endpoints
Primary Endpoints
Change in weight
Baseline to week 72

Weight measured in kilograms

Secondary Endpoints
Development of NAFLD
Week 72
Change in adiposity
Baseline to week 72
Change in insulin resistance
Baseline to week 72
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Study Design & Arms
AllocationRANDOMIZED
MaskingQUADRUPLE
ModelPARALLEL
PurposePREVENTION
Treatment Arms
ArmTypeDescription
SemaglutideEXPERIMENTALSemaglutide administered subcutaneously (under the skin) once weekly. There will be a 20 week lead in period of dose escalation before reaching the target dose of 2.4mg weekly. Semaglutide will then be administered at the maximum tolerated dose for 52 weeks.
PlaceboPLACEBO_COMPARATORPlacebo administered subcutaneously (under the skin) once weekly.
Interventions
NameTypeDescription
Semaglutide Pen InjectorDRUGStarting dose of 0.24 mg injected weekly and increased every 4 weeks to a potential maximum dose of 2.4 mg weekly at 20 weeks followed by 52 weeks of weekly injections at the maximum tolerable dose
PlaceboDRUGPlacebo solution injected weekly for 72 weeks
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Eligibility Criteria
Age Range18 Years — 75 Years
SexALL
Healthy VolunteersNo
Study Sites1

Inclusion Criteria: * Male or female age 18-75 years who received LT for any indication (i.e. NASH, hepatitis C, alcohol-induced cirrhosis, autoimmune hepatitis, etc.) * Liver transplant surgery within 8-24 weeks prior to randomization * Fasting glucose \> 125 mg/dL or presence of diabetes (HbA1c≥6...

Countries:United States
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Recent Changes (Last 90 Days)
MEDIUMJun 4, 2026NCT05424003primaryCompletionDate: changed
MEDIUMJun 4, 2026NCT05424003primaryCompletionDate: changed
MEDIUMJun 4, 2026NCT05424003primaryCompletionDate: changed
MEDIUMJun 4, 2026NCT05424003primaryCompletionDate: changed
LOWMay 26, 2026NCT05424003primaryCompletionDate: changed
LOWMay 24, 2026NCT05424003studyFirstPostDate: changed