Recent Updates
Recently added Catalysts

Investigational mRNA-1273.815

Phase 3

SARS-CoV-2 | Monoclonal antibody | Infectious Disease |Moderna, Inc.|Last Updated: May 25, 2025

Success Probability
Approval Probability 71%
TA Base Rate26%
Adjusted LOA41%
ML RiskLOW_RISK
Premium
Market & Valuation
rNPV $3.2B
Market Size $9.4B
Revenue Basis $1.6B
Competitors 6
Premium
Trial Design
RandomizedDouble-BlindACTIVE_CONTROLLEDBiomarker
Total Trials1
Total Enrollment217
FDA Designations
No designations recorded
Clinical Trials (1)
NCT IDTitlePhaseStatusEnrollmentVelocityDesignStartCompletionLast UpdatedSitesCountries
NCT06354998A Study of an Investigational mRNA-1273.815 COVID-19 Vaccine in Previously Vaccinated AdultsPHASE3 COMPLETED 217Apr 8, 2024May 10, 2024May 25, 20257 Australia
Unlock Drug Trial Details
Study Endpoints
Primary Endpoints
Geometric Mean (GM) Value of Neutralizing Antibodies (nAbs) Against SARS-CoV-2-specific Strain at Day 15
Day 15

Antibody values reported as below the lower limit of quantification (LLOQ) were replaced by 0.5 \* LLOQ. Values reported greater than the upper limit of quantification (ULOQ) were replaced by the ULOQ if actual values were not available. LLOQ was 38 arbitrary unit (AU)/milliliter (mL) and ULOQ was 6960 AU/mL. 95% confidence interval (CI) of GM value was calculated based on the t-distribution of the log-transformed values for antibodies, then back transformed to the original scale for presentation.

Secondary Endpoints
Number of Participants With Serious Adverse Events (SAEs), Adverse Events (AEs) of Special Interest (AESIs), and AEs Leading to Withdrawal From the Study
Day 1 through Day 15
Seroresponse Rate of nAb Against the SARS-CoV-2-specific Strain: Percentage of Participants With Seroresponse
Day 15
Unlock Study Endpoints
Study Design & Arms
AllocationRANDOMIZED
MaskingQUADRUPLE
ModelPARALLEL
PurposePREVENTION
Treatment Arms
ArmTypeDescription
Investigational mRNA-1273.815EXPERIMENTALParticipants will receive Investigational mRNA-1273.815 by intramuscular injection.
Licensed Spikevax VaccineACTIVE_COMPARATORParticipants will receive a licensed Spikevax vaccine by intramuscular injection.
Interventions
NameTypeDescription
Investigational mRNA-1273.815BIOLOGICALSterile solution for injection
Licensed Spikevax VaccineBIOLOGICALCommercially available formulation
Unlock Study Design Details
Eligibility Criteria
Age Range18 Years — N/A
SexALL
Healthy VolunteersYes
Study Sites7

Inclusion Criteria: * Participants of childbearing potential may be enrolled in the study if the participant fulfills all of the following criteria: 1. Has a negative pregnancy test on the day of injection prior to vaccine dose being administered (Day 1). 2. Has practiced adequate contraceptio...

Countries:Australia
Unlock Eligibility Criteria