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Abemaciclib

Phase 3

Non Small Cell Lung Cancer | Small molecule | Oncology |Eli Lilly and Company|Last Updated: Feb 6, 2026

Success Probability
Approval Probability 71%
TA Base Rate26%
Adjusted LOA41%
ML RiskLOW_RISK
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Market & Valuation
rNPV $3.2B
Market Size $9.4B
Revenue Basis $1.6B
Competitors 6
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Trial Design
RandomizedCONTROLLEDDMCBiomarker
Total Trials2
Total Enrollment553
FDA Designations
No designations recorded
Clinical Trials (2)
NCT IDTitlePhaseStatusEnrollmentVelocityDesignStartCompletionLast UpdatedSitesCountries
NCT02152631A Study of Abemaciclib (LY2835219) in Participants With Previously Treated KRAS Mutated Lung CancerPHASE3 ACTIVE NOT_RECRUITING 453Oct 3, 2014Dec 1, 2026Feb 6, 2026231 United States, Argentina +19
NCT02779751A Study of Abemaciclib (LY2835219) in Participants With Non-Small Cell Lung Cancer or Breast CancerPHASE1 ACTIVE NOT_RECRUITING 100Nov 14, 2016Dec 1, 2026Jan 26, 202624 United States, Belgium +5
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Study Endpoints
Primary Endpoints
Overall Survival (OS)
From Randomization Date to Date of Death from Any Cause (Up to 32 Months)

OS defined as from randomization date to the date of death due to any cause. For each participant who is not known to have died as of the data-inclusion cutoff date for overall survival analysis, OS time was censored on the last date the participant is known to be alive.

Number of Participants with One or More Serious Adverse Event(s) (SAEs)
Baseline through Study Treatment Completion (Approximately 6 Months)
Number of Participants with Non-Serious Adverse Event(s)
Baseline through Study Treatment Completion (Approximately 6 Months)
Secondary Endpoints
Percentage of Participants With Complete Response (CR) or Partial Response (PR) (Objective Response Rate [ORR])
From Randomization Date to Objective Progression (Up to 32 Months)
Progression Free Survival (PFS)
From Randomization Date until Disease Progression or Death from Any Cause (Up to 32 Months)
Change From Baseline in MD Anderson Symptom Inventory-Lung Cancer (MDASI-LC) Score
From Randomization Date through End of Study (Up to 32 Months)
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Study Design & Arms
AllocationRANDOMIZED
MaskingNONE
ModelPARALLEL
PurposeTREATMENT
Treatment Arms
ArmTypeDescription
AbemaciclibEXPERIMENTAL200 milligrams (mg) abemaciclib administered, orally, every 12 hours plus best supportive care (BSC) on Days 1 to 28 (28 day cycles).
ErlotinibACTIVE_COMPARATOR150 mg erlotinib administered, orally, every 24 hours plus BSC on Days 1 to 28 (28 day cycles).
NSCLC KRAS mt, PD-L1+EXPERIMENTALAbemaciclib given orally every 12 hours (Q12H) on days 1 to 21 of each 21 day cycle in combination with pembrolizumab given intravenously (IV) on day 1 of each 21 day cycle. Participants may continue to receive treatment until discontinuation criteria are met.
NSCLC SquamousEXPERIMENTALAbemaciclib given orally Q12H on days 1 to 21 of each 21 day cycle in combination with pembrolizumab given IV on day 1 of each 21 day cycle. Participants may continue to receive treatment until discontinuation criteria are met.
HR+, HER2- Metastatic Breast CancerEXPERIMENTALAbemaciclib given orally Q12H on days 1 to 21 of each 21 day cycle in combination with pembrolizumab given IV on day 1 of each 21 day cycle. Participants may continue to receive treatment until discontinuation criteria are met.
HR+, HER2- Locally Advanced or Metastatic Breast CancerEXPERIMENTALAbemaciclib given orally Q12H on days 1 to 21 of each 21 day cycle in combination with pembrolizumab given IV on day 1 of each 21 day cycle and anastrozole given orally Q24H on days 1 to 21 of each 21 day cycle. Participants may continue to receive treatment until discontinuation criteria are met.
Interventions
NameTypeDescription
AbemaciclibDRUGAdministered orally
ErlotinibDRUGAdministered orally
PembrolizumabDRUGAdministered IV
AnastrozoleDRUGAdministered orally
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Eligibility Criteria
Age Range18 Years — N/A
SexALL
Healthy VolunteersNo
Study Sites231

Inclusion Criteria: * Have confirmed diagnosis of stage IV non-small cell lung cancer (NSCLC) according to the American Joint Committee on Cancer Staging Handbook. * Determined to have detectable mutations in codons 12 or 13 of the kirsten rat sarcoma (KRAS) oncogene by an investigational assay at ...

Countries:United StatesArgentinaAustriaBrazilCanadaChinaFranceGermanyGreeceIsraelItalyJapanPolandPuerto RicoRomaniaRussiaSouth KoreaSpainTaiwanTurkey (Türkiye)UkraineBelgium
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Competitive Landscape -Non-Small Cell Lung Cancer 406 trials
CompanyTickerTrialsLead PhaseDrugs
Merck & Co., Inc.MRK25PHASE3Pembrolizumab, Olaparib, Etoposide, Carboplatin, Cisplatin
Amgen Inc.AMGN5PHASE3AMG 510, Docetaxel, ABP 234, Pembrolizumab, Sotorasib
AstraZeneca PLCAZN63PHASE3Datopotamab deruxtecan, Durvalumab, Carboplatin, Pembrolizumab, Cisplatin
Revolution Medicines, Inc.RVMD8PHASE3daraxonrasib, docetaxel, RMC-6291, Elironrasib, Daraxonrasib
Eli Lilly and CompanyLLY19PHASE3Selpercatinib, Carboplatin, Cisplatin, Pemetrexed, Pembrolizumab
AbbVie, Inc.ABBV10PHASE3Telisotuzumab Vedotin, Docetaxel, Telisotuzumab vedotin, Telisotuzumab Adizutecan, Livmoniplimab
Bristol-Myers Squibb CompanyBMY20PHASE3Repotrectinib, Crizotinib, Nivolumab, Carboplatin, Cisplatin
BioNTech SE Sponsored ADRBNTX7PHASE3Gotistobart, Docetaxel, PM8002, Carboplatin, Pemetrexed
Gilead Sciences, Inc.GILD4PHASE3Sacituzumab Govitecan-hziy, Docetaxel, Zimberelimab, Domvanalimab, Pembrolizumab
GSK plc Sponsored ADRGSK4PHASE3Cobolimab, Dostarlimab, Docetaxel, Belrestotug, Pembrolizumab
Johnson & JohnsonJNJ18PHASE3Lazertinib, Amivantamab, Pemetrexed, Carboplatin, Osimertinib
Pfizer Inc.PFE21PHASE3Lorlatinib, Crizotinib, Avelumab, Lorlatanib, Talazoparib
ArriVent BioPharma, Inc.AVBP9PHASE3Firmonertinib, Drug: Furmonertinib, Furmonertinib, JAB-21822, JAB 21822
Novartis AG Sponsored ADRNVS9PHASE3JDQ443, docetaxel, TNO155, tislelizumab, DKY709
Summit Therapeutics IncSMMT2PHASE3Ivonescimab, Pembrolizumab
Nuvation Bio, Inc. Class ANUVB4PHASE3Taletrectinib, Crizotinib, AB-106
Genmab A/S Sponsored ADRGMAB4PHASE3Acasunlimab, Pembrolizumab, Docetaxel, Rina-S, GEN1042
Incyte CorporationINCY1PHASE3Retifanlimab, Pemetrexed, Cisplatin, Carboplatin, Paclitaxel
Regeneron Pharmaceuticals, Inc.REGN6PHASE2cemiplimab, Platinum Doublet, fianlimab, Pemetrexed, Paclitaxel
BeOne Medicines Ltd. Sponsored ADRONC6PHASE3Tislelizumab, Cisplatin, Paclitaxel, Pemetrexed Disodium, Carboplatin
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Recent Changes (Last 90 Days)
LOWMay 26, 2026NCT02152631primaryCompletionDate: changed
LOWMay 26, 2026NCT02779751primaryCompletionDate: changed
LOWMay 24, 2026NCT02152631studyFirstPostDate: changed
LOWMay 24, 2026NCT02779751studyFirstPostDate: changed