Recent Updates
Recently added Catalysts

MEDI4736

Phase 2

Adenocarcinoma of the Oesophagus | Small molecule | Oncology |Eli Lilly and Company|Last Updated: Jun 10, 2025

Success Probability
Approval Probability 71%
TA Base Rate26%
Adjusted LOA41%
ML RiskLOW_RISK
Premium
Market & Valuation
rNPV $3.2B
Market Size $9.4B
Revenue Basis $1.6B
Competitors 6
Premium
Trial Design
RandomizedACTIVE_CONTROLLEDDMCBiomarker
Total Trials1
Total Enrollment494
FDA Designations
No designations recorded
Clinical Trials (1)
NCT IDTitlePhaseStatusEnrollmentVelocityDesignStartCompletionLast UpdatedSitesCountries
NCT02678182Planning Treatment for Oesophago-gastric Cancer: a Maintenance Therapy TrialPHASE2 ACTIVE NOT_RECRUITING 494Feb 1, 2015Jun 1, 2027Jun 10, 20251 United Kingdom
Unlock Drug Trial Details
Study Endpoints
Primary Endpoints
Progression Free Survival (PFS)
5 years

The progression free survival will be calculated from the date of randomisation to the date of disease progression according to RECIST 1.1 criteria or death from any cause, whichever comes first. In HER 2 negative patients the PFS will be compared between the standard Arm (A1) and capecitabine (A2) and then separately between standard arm (A1) and MEDI 4736 (A3), or standard arm (A1) and Rucaparib (A4), or standard arm (A1) and Ramucirumab (A5).

Secondary Endpoints
Progression - free rate (PFR)
5 years
Overall survival (OS)
5 years
Objective response rate (ORR) by RECIST 1.1
5 years
Unlock Study Endpoints
Study Design & Arms
AllocationRANDOMIZED
MaskingNONE
ModelPARALLEL
PurposeTREATMENT
Treatment Arms
ArmTypeDescription
A1: SurveillanceNO_INTERVENTIONPatients in this Arm will follow current UK standard of care for this setting and will be reviewed every 4 weeks
Arm A2: Capecitabine MaintenanceEXPERIMENTAL1250 mg/M2/DAY on days 1-21
Arm A3: MEDI4736 (Durvalumab)EXPERIMENTALIV treatment on day 1 +15, on a 28 day cycle.
Arm B1: Trastuzumab MaintenanceACTIVE_COMPARATOR6mg/kg on day 1 every 21 days
Arm A4: RucaparibEXPERIMENTAL600mg PO twice daily
Arm A5: Capecitabine and RamucirumabEXPERIMENTALcapecitabine 1250 mg/m2/day PO in two divided doses continuously from days 1-21 of each 21 day cycle (see section 12) and ramucirumab 8mg/kg IV day 1 and day 8
Interventions
NameTypeDescription
CapecitabineDRUG1250 mg/m2/day, 21 day cycle
MEDI4736 (Durvalumab)DRUGIV treatment on days 1\&15 of 28 day cycle
TrastuzumabDRUG6mg/kg on day 1 cycle every 21 days
RucaparibDRUG600mg PO twice daily
RamucirumabDRUGramucirumab 8mg/kg IV day 1 and day 8
Unlock Study Design Details
Eligibility Criteria
Age Range18 Years — N/A
SexALL
Healthy VolunteersNo
Study Sites1

Inclusion Criteria - All Patients * Histologically verified inoperable locally advanced or metastatic adenocarcinoma of the oesophagus, oesophago-gastric junction, or stomach. * Completion of 18 weeks of first-line chemotherapy with either CX/ CAPOX or FOLFOX (HER2 negative) or CX/ CF + trastuzumab...

Countries:United Kingdom
Unlock Eligibility Criteria
Recent Changes (Last 90 Days)
LOWMay 26, 2026NCT02678182primaryCompletionDate: changed
LOWMay 24, 2026NCT02678182studyFirstPostDate: changed