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Raloxifene

Phase 3

Breast Cancer | Small molecule | Oncology |AstraZeneca PLC|Last Updated: Oct 6, 2015

Success Probability
Approval Probability 71%
TA Base Rate26%
Adjusted LOA41%
ML RiskLOW_RISK
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Market & Valuation
rNPV $3.2B
Market Size $9.4B
Revenue Basis $1.6B
Competitors 6
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Trial Design
RandomizedDouble-BlindACTIVE_CONTROLLEDDMCBiomarker
Total Trials1
Total Enrollment19,747
FDA Designations
No designations recorded
Clinical Trials (1)
NCT IDTitlePhaseStatusEnrollmentVelocityDesignStartCompletionLast UpdatedSitesCountries
NCT00003906Study of Tamoxifen and Raloxifene (STAR) for the Prevention of Breast Cancer in Postmenopausal WomenPHASE3 COMPLETED 19,747May 1, 1999Aug 1, 2012Oct 6, 2015516 United States, Canada +1
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Study Endpoints
Primary Endpoints
Incidence of invasive breast cancer; superiority of one of the therapies.
Time from randomization to the occurance of invasive breast cancer.

Determine which of the following is true: 1. compared to tamoxifen, raloxifene significantly reduces the incidence rate of invasive breast cancer; 2. compared to raloxifene, tamoxifen significantly reduces the incidence rate of invasive breast cancer; or 3. the statistical superiority of one of the treatments cannot be demonstrated and the choice of therapy should be based on benefit/risk considerations.

Secondary Endpoints
Effect of the study therapies on the incidence of intraductal carcinoma in situ (DCIS) or lobular carcinoma in situ (LCIS).
Time from randomization to the occurance of DCIS or LCIS.
Effect of the study therapies on the incidence of endometrial cancer.
Time from randomization to the occurance of endometrial cancer.
Effect of the study therapies on the incidence of ischemic heart disease.
Time from randomization to the occurance of ischimic heart disease.
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Study Design & Arms
AllocationRANDOMIZED
MaskingDOUBLE
ModelPARALLEL
PurposePREVENTION
Treatment Arms
ArmTypeDescription
Group 1ACTIVE_COMPARATORTamoxifen and placebo
Group 2EXPERIMENTALRaloxifene and Placebo
Interventions
NameTypeDescription
RaloxifeneDRUG60 mg/day plus placebo for 5 years
TamoxifenDRUG20 mg/day plus placebo for 5 years
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Eligibility Criteria
Age Range35 Years — N/A
SexFEMALE
Healthy VolunteersNo
Study Sites516

DISEASE CHARACTERISTICS: * Postmenopausal women at increased risk for developing invasive breast cancer, who meet one of the following criteria: * At least 12 months since spontaneous menstrual bleeding * Prior documented hysterectomy and bilateral salpingo-oophorectomy * At least 55 years o...

Countries:United StatesCanadaPuerto Rico
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Competitive Landscape -Breast Cancer 408 trials
CompanyTickerTrialsLead PhaseDrugs
Merck & Co., Inc.MRK12PHASE3Pembrolizumab, Paclitaxel, Doxorubicin, Epirubicin, Cyclophosphamide
AstraZeneca PLCAZN47PHASE3Fulvestrant, Capivasertib, Trastuzumab Deruxtecan, Paclitaxel, Trastuzumab
Gilead Sciences, Inc.GILD13PHASE3Sacituzumab Govitecan-hziy, Eribulin, Capecitabine Product, Gemcitabine, Vinorelbine
Eli Lilly and CompanyLLY27PHASE3Abemaciclib, Standard Adjuvant Endocrine Therapy, Imlunestrant, Tamoxifen, Anastrozole
BioNTech SE Sponsored ADRBNTX7PHASE3DB-1303/BNT323, T-DM1, Capecitabine, Paclitaxel, Nab-paclitaxel
Novartis AG Sponsored ADRNVS30PHASE3Ribociclib, Alpelisib, Fulvestrant, Trastuzumab, Pertuzumab
Olema Pharmaceuticals, Inc.OLMA5PHASE3Palazestrant, Fulvestrant, Anastrozole, Letrozole, Exemestane
Pfizer Inc.PFE34PHASE3ARV-471, Fulvestrant, PF-07220060, letrozole, abemaciclib
BeOne Medicines Ltd. Sponsored ADRONC6PHASE3BGB-43395, Letrozole, Abemaciclib, Palbociclib, Ribociclib
Jazz Pharmaceuticals Public Limited CompanyJAZZ3PHASE3Zanidatamab, Trastuzumab, Eribulin, Vinorelbine, Gemcitabine
Celcuity Inc.CELC3PHASE3Gedatolisib, Palbociclib, Fulvestrant, Alpelisib, Arm A: Gedatolisib + Palbociclib + Fulvestrant
Relay Therapeutics, Inc.RLAY2PHASE3RLY-2608, Capivasertib, Fulvestrant, Palbociclib, Ribociclib
GSK plc Sponsored ADRGSK2PHASE3Niraparib
Greenwich LifeSciences, Inc.GLSI1PHASE3GLSI-100
Bristol-Myers Squibb CompanyBMY5PHASE2Iza-bren, Nab-paclitaxel, Paclitaxel, Capecitabine, Carboplatin
BriaCell Therapeutics CorpBCTX2PHASE3SV-BR-1-GM, Cyclophosphamide, Interferon infiltration of the inoculation site, Retifanlimab, Treatment of Physician's Choice
Incyte CorporationINCY4PHASE2Ruxolitinib, Capecitabine, Regorafenib, Pembrolizumab, Axatilimab
Natera, Inc.NTRA3PHASE2Discontinuation of the anti-HER2 maintenance therapy
Puma Biotechnology, Inc.PBYI3PHASE2Neratinib, Loperamide, Colesevelam, Alisertib, Endocrine therapy
Immutep Ltd Sponsored ADRIMMP1PHASE2eftilagimod alpha, Paclitaxel
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